We’ve gotten out our calculator and slide ruler and here are the possible outcomes based on winning and losing. Some of the same logic applies with draws, but the permutations become pretty challenging.
There will be some score board watching tomorrow and losing might very well be a good thing for some teams. In particular, the winner of the Spain-Croatia match could end up with a quarter-final match against a very dangerous French team.
[b]Group 1[/b]
[b]Ranking when teams are level on points- Used to determine the logic below [/b]
Germany, Poland: Poland ranked higher- Head to Head victory
Iceland, Poland: Poland ranked higher- Head to Head victory
Germany, France: Germany ranked higher- Head to Head victory
Iceland, France: Iceland ranked higher- Head to Head victory
German, Poland, France: France ranked 1st, Germany ranked 2nd, Poland ranked 3rd- Common games GD
Iceland, Poland, France: Iceland ranked 1st , France ranked 2nd, Poland ranked 3rd- Common games GD
[b]Germany[/b]
– If Germany wins and Poland loses, then Germany places 1st
– If Germany wins and Poland wins, then Germany places 2nd
– If Germany loses, Poland loses and France loses, then Germany places 3rd
– If Germany loses, Poland loses and France wins, then Germany places 3rd (3 way tie- GD tiebreaker)
[b]Iceland[/b]
– If Iceland wins and Poland loses, then Iceland places 1st
– If Iceland wins and Poland wins, then Iceland places 2nd
– If Iceland loses, Poland loses and France wins, then Iceland places 2nd (3 way tie- GD tiebreaker)
– If Iceland loses and Poland wins, then Iceland places 3rd
– If Iceland loses, Poland loses and France loses, then Iceland places 3rd
[b]Poland[/b]
– If Poland wins, then Poland places 1st
– If Poland loses and France loses, then Poland places 2nd
– If Poland loses, Germany loses and France wins, then Poland places 4th (3 way tie- GD tiebreaker)
– If Poland loses, Iceland loses, and France wins, then Poland places 4th (3 way tie- GD tiebreaker)
[b]France[/b]
– If France wins, Poland loses and Germany loses, then France places 2nd (3 way tie- GD tiebreaker)
– If France wins, Poland loses and Iceland loses, then France places 3rd (3 way tie- GD tiebreaker)
– If France wins and Poland wins, then France places 4th
– If France loses, then France places 4th
Slovenia and Tunisia have both been eliminated.
[b]Group 2[/b]
[b]Ranking when teams are level on points- Used to determine the logic below:[/b]
Croatia-Spain: Spain ranked higher- head to head victory
Spain-Hungary: Spain ranked higher- head to head victory
Spain-Denmark: Denmark ranked higher- head to head victory
Denmark-Hungary: Hungary ranked higher- head to head victory
Denmark-Russia: Denmark ranked higher- head to head victory
Hungary- Russia: Russia ranked higher- head to head victory
Spain-Hungary-Denmark: Denmark ranked 1st, Hungary ranked 2nd, Spain ranked 3rd (common games GD
Hungary-Denmark-Russia: Results of common games:
Denmark-Russia 26-24
Denmark-Hungary 29-30
Russia-Hungary (Not yet played)
– If Russia wins by 1: Denmark ranked 1st, Hungary ranked 2nd, Russia ranked 3rd
– If Russia wins by 2: Denmark ranked 1st, Russia ranked 2nd, Hungary ranked 3rd
– If Russia wins by 3 and scores 32 goals: Russia ranked 1st, Denmark ranked 2nd, Hungary ranked 3rd
– If Russian wins by 3 and scores 30 goals: Denmark ranked 1st, Russia ranked 2nd, Hungary ranked 3rd
If Russia wins by 4 or more: Russia ranked 1st, Denmark ranked 2nd and Hungary ranked 3rd
[b]Croatia[/b]
– If Croatia wins, then Croatia places 1st
– If Croatia loses, then Croatia places 2nd
[b]Spain[/b]
– If Spain wins, then Spain places 1st
– If Spain loses, Hungary wins and Denmark loses, then Spain places 2nd
– If Spain loses, Hungary loses and Denmark wins then Spain places 3rd
– If Spain loses, Hungary wins and Denmark wins, then Spain places 4th
[b]Hungary[/b]
– If Hungary wins and Spain loses, then Hungary places 3rd
– If Hungary loses by 1 goal and Denmark loses, then Hungary places 4th
– If Hungary loses by 2 goals and Denmark loses, then Hungary places 5th
– If Hungary loses and Denmark wins then Hungary places 5th
[b]Denmark[/b]
– If Denmark wins and Spain loses, then Denmark places 2nd
– If Denmark loses and Hungary loses by 2 goals, then Denmark places 3rd
– If Denmark loses and Hungary loses by 4 goals, then Denmark places 4th
– If Denmark loses and Hungary wins, then Denmark places 4th
– If Denmark wins, Spain wins and Hungary wins, then Denmark places 4th
[b]Russia[/b]
– If Russia wins and Denmark wins, then Russia places 4th
– If Russia wins by 2 goals or more and Denmark loses, then Russia places 4th
– If Russia wins by 1 goal and Denmark loses, then Russia places 5th
– If Russia loses, Russia places 5th
The Czech Republic has been eliminated.