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Charting a Way Forward for USA Team Handball: Option 1: Establish a Residency Program Focused Solely on Future Player Development

Handball Academy

Should USA Team Handball take a bold step to change the focus of its Residency Programs?

 

Background

USA Team Handball has established Residency Programs for its Men’s and Women’s National Teams at Auburn University in Alabama.  Goals for these programs have not been explicitly stated, but based on the majority of the athletes that been recruited the programs appear to have two primary goals:  developing new players and national team preparation for competition.  These goals, however, often conflict with one another and trying to do both simultaneously with a national team can be problematic.

In particular, the immediate need to prepare for competition results in a competition mindset and a focus on near term performance.  At first glance this may seem like an obvious and desired effect.  After all, what’s the point of having a national team, if not to do the best we can in competition and ideally win a lot of games?   A broader look at the landscape of world handball and the very, very thin U.S. player pool, however, warrants careful consideration of a change in mindset to unequivocally focus the Residency Programs on future player development.

Such a focus would include the following steps

  1. Establish mission and goals for the Auburn Residency Program that clearly identify its focus on future player development. To the best of my knowledge there is no documentation that fully describes the purpose of the Auburn Residency program.  Developing such a document would provide an opportunity to clearly delineate what is desired for the program.
  2. Rebrand the Residency Programs program to clearly identify them as development programs.  Something like the “U.S.A. Team Handball Academy” or “U.S.A. Team Handball Future Development Program” would clearly signal the future developmental focus of the program.
  3. Decouple the National Team coaches from the development program.  To further emphasize the development focus the coaches or training directors administering the program would not be dual hatted as National Team coaches.   The administrators would still work closely with the National Team Coaches, but their focus would be developing players for the talent pool; not coaching players in the talent pool.
  4. Establish an age range for athlete participation.  It can be debated as to what this range should be, but I would advocate ages 18-23.  While it would be desirous to have even younger athletes in a high school program current U.S. structures will make it nearly impossible to do so.  And, while it may be easier to recruit quality athletes at older ages those athletes are very unlikely to meet the “future potential” requisite inherent with a development program.
  5. Establish a time limit on participation.  The goal of the program would be to improve athlete skills to the point where they can play competitively in a professional environment.  Historically, athletes introduced to the traditional Residency Program Model improve dramatically as players during their first two years of participation.  Eventually, though, they plateau due to the limits of their fellow participants and a lack of competition opportunities.  In other words, it’s easier to improve when you’re playing and practicing against more skilled opponents, but more difficult to improve when you’re playing against weaker opponents.  At some point athletes would “graduate” and be encouraged to seek better competition overseas.  This time limit would also have the added benefit of freeing up spaces to let more athletes participate.

Note:  An earlier series of commentaries written in 2009 describes this player development residency model in more detail as well as some problems with the traditional residency model.

Pros

  1. Broadening of talent pool for years to come.  The successful implementation of this program would create a much wider talent pool of prospective athletes.  Not only would more athletes be trained up, but since they are younger, they would have more playing years ahead of them.  The obvious added benefit of this would be more athletes to choose from for national team competition.  A not so obvious benefit will be the trickle down improvement in U.S. based club competitions as players who participate in these programs, but do not quite pan out at the highest level are still more likely to continue playing through their 20’s and early 30’s.
  2. Improve prospects for American players to have pro careers:  If one looks at the world’s top teams it’s plain to see that their rosters are entirely composed of professional athletes.  Even the Pan American teams that the U.S. competes against for Olympic berths have rosters with a number of athletes playing professionally (some at the highest levels) in Europe.  Professional athletes will almost always defeat amateurs and if the U.S. can get more athletes overseas it will greatly improve national team prospects.  A U.S. Team Handball Academy could be the vehicle to boost skills of young athletes to the point where European clubs show interest.
  3. Ensures focus on development.  While it can be argued that the current Residency Program could still be directed to focus on younger player development the establishment of a Handball Academy and its associated guidelines would guarantee that focus.  Older athletes simply could not be recruited and the coaches running the program would not have conflicted priorities.

Cons

  1. Weakening of current National Team prospects.  Moving forward with this change in direction will immediately result in weaker U.S. National Teams at international competitions.  Practicing on a regularly basis in one location creates a more cohesive team as players become very familiar with each other’s skills and abilities.  Additionally, Residency Programs create a team bonding that can provide an additional advantage in competition.  Any slim hopes the U.S. had of 2016 Olympic qualification are probably eliminated and 2020 Olympic qualification prospects would also be weakened as this change in direction would probably take several years to bear fruit.
  2. Lack of support for older National Team players. This change in direction would likely end the careers of many older National Team players as many of them are either not skilled enough or do not desire to live overseas where they can continue their development as players.

Risks

  1. Inability to recruit desired athletes.  Probably nothing challenges the implementation of this youth based movement more than the reality that recruiting athletes at younger ages with the desired athletic ability will be challenging in the U.S.  The top athletes at those ages generally play another sport and USA Team Handball will be competing against colleges that can offer either full or partial scholarships.  This risk is so pronounced that additional actions to address this recruiting challenge should probably be implemented in conjunction with or prior to establishing a future player focused residency program.  (Separate recruiting initiative: Link <to be written>)

Costs

  1. Residency Program Costs. With the Residency Programs already in place this primarily is a change in focus/rebranding and could be executed for little or no cost.   A level of support for athletes is already in place and while more is desired, it could continue at the same lever for the younger athletes envisioned.  In terms of administration salaries are already being paid for 2 National Team coaches.  These coaches are already providing training instruction and could simply be rehired as Sports Academy coaches or administrators.   Additionally, as the focus would be entirely on player development USA Team Handball could also consider having just one coach so another salary could be freed up for other requirements like recruiting.  Finally, while this is development program a handful of trips for competition is still desired.  Ideally, these would take advantage of IHF challenge competitions where financial support is provided
  2. National Team Costs. By combining competition preparation with player development USA Team Handball was benefiting from certain cost efficiencies.  With the decoupling of these two roles either more funding for National Team support will be needed or support to National Team will have to decrease.  Assuming a decrease in funding, possible cuts include making the National Team coaching positions part time volunteer positions, eliminating all trips for friendly competitions, and even requiring athletes to fully fund or partially fund trips for qualification competitions.  These are not pleasant possibilities to contemplate, but if the U.S. wants to get serious about future player development funding should be diverted from senior team programs.
  3. Recruiting Costs.  It’s hard to see this program being successfully implemented without more resources being devoted to recruiting efforts.  This may necessitate the hiring of a full time recruiting coordinator or require having another staff member devote significant man hours to this task.  Additionally, there will likely be some travel costs if recruiting is to be more effective.

Timing for Implementation

This change could, in theory, be done immediately, but probably should be phased to coincide with upcoming Olympic and World Championship qualification.  An implied (if not explicit) promise of support has been made to a number of athletes that don’t fit the development concept (i.e., they are significantly older) and an immediate change in focus would be unfair.  Both, the men’s and women’s program can qualify for the 2016 Olympics by finishing first or second (if 2016 Olympics host Brazil finishes first) at the 2015 PANAM Games which take place in Toronto next July.  While it’s unlikely either team will qualify they should be given that opportunity with the support that the current Residency Program model provides for training.  Should they fail to qualify for the Olympics next July or even fail to qualify for the PANAM Games (via a qualification tournament in January, 2015) USA Team Handball will have a logical break point for redirecting the Residency Programs.

Another logical break point for the Women will coincide with the 2015 World Championships.  Due to Brazil’s winning of the 2013 World Championships, Pan America will have an unprecedented 6 spots for the 2015 World Championships to be played in December, 2015.  The U.S. will have a decent chance of securing one of those spots at the 2015 Pan American Championships and this may support keeping the Women’s team intact through that tournament.  The Men’s next World Championship qualification even will not take place until January, 2016 at the earliest, so it should be less of a consideration.

Overall Assessment

Well, it should come as no surprise that I am fully in favor of taking this bold step.  Ideally, it would be better to implement such a program after we have further developed our collegiate club competitions and established some sort of High School competition, even if only in one U.S. city.  Further, it would be better to have funding to support a recruiting budget.  All of these shortcomings makes the chance of success somewhat iffy, but with the Auburn program in place it makes little sense to wait for those things to happen first.

Finally, the current state of our talent pool makes near term success very unlikely.  If U.S. qualification prospects were more realistic I could enthusiastically support an all out run for 2016 qualification.  The reality, however, simply doesn’t support it.  Even 2020 is a bit of a stretch, but I think with a switch to a development focus, we could make a respectable run.  And, more importantly start to populate our national team rosters with athletes that could really make a difference in 2024, when the U.S. might very well be hosting an Olympics.

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IHF Updates Competition Regulation to Make Australian-Like Removals Standard Practice

 

Australia had the rug pulled out from them for the 2015 WC.  Who's next?:  Asia, Pan America or Africa?

Australia had the rug pulled out from them for the 2015 WC. Who’s next?: Asia, Pan America or Africa?

On the heels of its, after the fact  and arbitrary action to remove Australia from the 2015 Men’s World Handball Championships, the IHF now appears to have revised its regulations to make future moves clearly legal.   I’m not sure when the new Competition Regulation was posted on the IHF website, but it was first brought to my attention by this article at Mundo Handball.

The section of the revised regulation which should draw the attention of every developing handball nation is Section 2.3 which reads in part”

To participate in IHF World Championships a certain performance level of the qualified team is obligatory. In case the competitive capability of a qualified team is disputable and the difference in performance level between the country in question and the other teams qualified for the WCh is too large, the IHF Council reserves the right to re-award this place to a country meeting the corresponding competitive requirements in order to strengthen and protect the IHF World Championship product. In such cases an in-depth analysis has to be carried out by the respective IHF Commissions (COC, CCM) as well as by media and marketing experts to highlight the impact on the media and marketing side. Also the current performance as well as the IHF ranking and the performance in earlier IHF events will be taken into consideration when evaluating the performance level of the respective team. Therefore the IHF bodies will issue performance reports about all participating teams immediately after the end of the respective World Championship.”

It doesn’t take a lawyer to analyze this paragraph and come to the conclusion that this paragraph essentially states the IHF can pretty much take away any qualification spot it wants to.  Breaking it down here’s some of the major problems and ramifications:

The regulation is exceedingly vague as to what the obligated performance level must be.  In other words, if the Australian Men’s side performance level is too low, how much better does it have to be?  Lose by only 15 goals against the top European sides?  10 goals?  Australia was the last and 24th place team at the 2013 WC.  Chile was 23rd, but were they good enough?  Chile’s made some strides, but Iceland, the best European team not participating is still clearly a better team.  How competitive is competitive?

Media and marketing experts have a say:  Speaking of Iceland, it’s a small TV market, but a very focused one.  With their non-qualification for the 2015 WC I bet the TV rights are significantly lower there.  Now, if Iceland were to participate that would probably mean a bump in that price.   Is this then the IHF Council discussion:

IHF President: Let’s see who should take the fall?  Chile?  or maybe Iran, the third place team from Asia?

Asian Rep:  What about Egypt, the third place team from Africa?  Sorry, just joking.

Marketing Rep: Well according to our marketing assessment, the Chilean market is the smallest, so it should be Chile.

IHF President:  Chile, it is.  Send them an email to let them know.

(On a side note, I guess as an American I should like this provision.  If, admittedly a big if, the enormous U.S. market ever showed an interest in the sport we might get a boost in our participation chances.)

This IHF Council decision can be made at anytime.  Which in this hypothetical scenario would mean that Chile or Iran might think they are headed to Qatar, but they could get informed tomorrow they aren’t.    A nation could spend thousands of dollars traveling to participate in qualification to secure a bid only to be told later, “Sorry, Wally World is closed

Continental qualification could become a mystery game.  Future qualification in Pan American, Africa, Asia and Oceania might not hinge on where you place, but what (and how many) European teams (with a big TV market) unexpectedly don’t qualify.  Teams need to now finish in as high as slot as possible.  This is particularly true for the Pan American Woman’s Championships next Summer.  Brazil’s 2013 Championship has resulted in an unprecedented 6 slots going to a continent outside of Europe.  But, after Brazil there’s a drop in talent and without a doubt the lower ranking teams from Pan America are probably not going to fare very well at the 2015 WC.    Just a coincidence that this regulation has recently been updated?

At the very least, the IHF should provide absolute guarantees on at least some of the qualification spots before the tournament takes place.  Otherwise, the victorious teams that win a pivotal placement match will feel a little awkward when they hug each other at center court and celebrate their, “I think we may have qualified” victory.

Elections and Developing Nations

Last I checked the number of IHF member nations in Pan America, Africa, Asia and Oceania far outstrips the total in Europe.  And, yet here is an IHF Council decision which clearly impacts those developing nations.  How does that happen?  Maybe next time around those nations will think about what their votes mean and whose really going to be looking out for their interests.

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Charting a Way Forward for USA Team Handball: Part 1: Introduction: Many Options + Limited Resources = Hard Choices

Many options for developing handball in the U.S.  Which way is the right path?

Many options for developing handball in the U.S. Which way is the right path forward?

Previous commentaries have focused on the shortcomings of National Team Residency Programs, why I felt it was too soon and unwise to start a program up in Auburn and the historical debate between supporting grass roots and national team programs.  With this new series I turn the page to focus on some programs and initiatives USA Team Handball should consider as it charts its way forward.

Many Options

The old saying goes that there are many ways to skin a cat.  And, when it comes to charting a way for USA Team Handball there are indeed a number of possibilities.  For the most part this series will focus on initiatives that will help “enable United States athletes to achieve sustained competitive excellence“.  This was pulled directly from the USA Team Handball mission statement.  Granted, this is just one part of the mission statement, but as you go through the initiatives, proposed programs and broad overarching strategies you’ll see that many of them have a grass roots flavor.  But, Grass Roots with a focus on identifying and developing talent with National Team potential.

1) Modify the National Team Residency Programs to focus strictly on player development: Link
2) Increase the emphasis and support to National Team recruiting: Link
3) Develop or participate in a European based residency program to provide athletes more competition: Link
4) Upgrade College Team Handball:  Following the rugby club model to nationwide participation (Part 1; Part 2)
5) Upgrade College Team Handball:  Seeking NCAA status on the heels of the O’Bannon Ruling
6) The “Title IX Field Hockey Strategy”:  Focus 90% of USA Team Handball’s resources on Women’s Programs: Link
7) The “Iceland Strategy”:  Focus a large percentage of USA Team Handball’s resources on one geographical location (Part 1; Part 2; Part 3)
8) The “Alberta Strategy”:  Fully assess Alberta’s successful development program and fund a U.S. version in one region of the U.S.:  Link
9) Youth and Junior Teams Emphasis:  Fund U.S. participation for up and coming athletes first
10) Funding direct to clubs:  Reward high performing club programs with real and tangible financial support
11) High School Team Handball:  Following in Lacrosse and Flag Football’s footsteps
12) True Youth Movement:  Follow the AYSO soccer model to develop a massive player and fan base at even younger ages
13) U.S. Olympic Handball Festivals:  Bridging the gap between club and national teams

(Editor’s Note:  As this series evolves this list will likely see several modifications.  The intent, however, is to keep this as a home page for future reference.)

Limited Resources

Unfortunately, while a good case can be made for each of these options, the harsh truth is that USA Team Handball has very limited resources.  The last published IRS Form 990 from (July 2011 – Jun 30, 2012) lists only $512,000  in total revenue and last December former CEO Matt Van Houten indicated that USA Team Handball was literally counting every penny.  USA Team Handball’s new  Board Chairman, Dr Harvey Schiller, has many connections in the corporate sports world so there’s room for optimism that fundraising efforts will become more successful.  That instead of choosing one possible initiative soon USA Team Handball will be able to choose several options working in tandem.

Hard Choices

It goes without saying that if you have many options, but limited resources you can’t do as much as you would like to.  Inevitably, this should lead to some hard choices.  Hard choices that often no one wants to make.  Case in point, was NYAC Coach and legend, Laszlo Jurak response when I asked what should be done if you don’t have the resources to support both National Teams and Grass Roots?  His response:  “Then you have to quit.”  (Audio:  Link  (around the 21:00 minute mark)

While tongue in cheek, this is the resignation that many old timers feel.  And, unless you are on the USA Team Handball Board of Directors it’s pretty much a theoretical question, so most of us can simply refuse to contemplate such an unpleasant question.  Well, I guess Board Members could also quit, but the reality is that they are indeed making these hard choices even if, (and, this is very important) their choice is simply to continue with the status quo and not fully consider other possibilities.

There’s no getting around it.  All one has to do is follow the money and the man hours expended.  Where time and money is spent is the answer to what’s been decided.  These decisions should be tough ones to make.  Decisions based on a careful analysis of the merits of several good options.  Decisions based on a review of current programs and metrics that measure success and failure.

Could of, Would of, Should of and Moving Forward

As you read through this series chances are you might get some light bulbs turned on.  And, those light bulbs will be some revelations along the lines of:

  • The U.S. should have pursued some of these initiatives prior to starting and focusing so much of its resources on residency programs.
  • That a particular initiative is definitely worthy, but we just don’t have the funding for it.  And, the reason we don’t, at least in part, is because our residency programs are taking too big a chunk of resources.
  • That many initiatives should probably be co-located with our residency program.  And, that there are quite a few places in this country that would be better suited for implementation than a college town in rural Alabama.

Unfortunately, though, the die have been cast.  A commitment of some level has already been made to the residency programs at Auburn.  It would have been better to first methodically assess and weigh these initiatives (and others) prior to this commitment, but you can’t change the past.  You can only plan for the future.

And, in the hopes of influencing the decisions being made regarding that future the follow on parts to this series will assess each initiative, program and broad strategy by taking a top level look at its overall objective, pros/cons, risks, costs and timing for implementation as part of a coherent, long term strategic plan.  While some might think that this is an exercise in futility I’ll take the optimist’s point of view.  It’s only a matter of time before the sport of Team Handball gains traction in this country.  With good planning, though, it can happen sooner and that traction will be so much greater.

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Grass Roots vs National Team Focus: Part 4: Both Can be Done, but there are no Shortcuts

14 years ago Germany implemented a long range plan to fix its soccer development programs. It appears to have worked well.  Should USA Team Handball do the same?

14 years ago Germany implemented a long range plan to fix its soccer development programs. It appears to have worked well. Should USA Team Handball do the same?

In part 3 I addressed the competing “National Team First” and “Development First” philosophies USA Team Handball has had over the years.  In this latest installment I highlight how both can be done with a long range plan built around a once in a generation opportunity.  Part 1 Part 2

Lessons from German Soccer:  Focus on Development and be Patient

In handball circles the news lately has been about how the Men’s German Handball side has been gifted a qualification slot for the upcoming World Championship.  The German National Team has fallen on hard times lately and what couldn’t be accomplished on the court through qualification matches to the detriment of Australia has been accomplished with the stroke of a pen. What a strange contrast that presents with the recent German soccer World Cup triumph.  14 years ago German soccer was humbled by a very poor performance at the European Championships and came up with a plan to address systematic problems with youth development.  A World Cup title and a very deep talent pool of up and coming players strongly suggests the plan was a good one and this short article in Business Week and this longer article in the Guardian highlight what the German Federation has done.    In a nutshell, Germany revamped its youth programs to find and train talent as early as possible.  One would think the German Handball Federation would be taking a close look at the German Soccer model to see if it could be applied to German Handball.   And, come to think of it, maybe USA Team Handball should take a look as well.

Unfortunately, though, what the Germans implemented didn’t come cheap and I don’t think USA Team Handball is going to find 85 Million Euros (on a yearly basis) lying around to duplicate the German Soccer development program.  Heck, $850,000 would be awesome.  That being said there are a number of initiatives that could be enacted at lower funding levels.  And, each of those initiatives or programs should ask and answer a basic question:

How does this initiative or program help USA Team Handball find and develop more quality athletes with great potential (e.g. younger ages) for our National Teams?  

If we start to implement initiatives that successfully answer this question the U.S. will gradually grow a talent pool from which a competitive National Team can be fielded.  The key word is gradually.   This won’t happen overnight and we could debate how long it will actually take.  For German soccer it took 14 years and it wasn’t like they were starting from scratch.  But, then again I don’t think we’re talking about world domination here.  We’re talking fielding competitive U.S. National Teams.  Teams that can win a Pan American title and can compete with the Europeans.  Heck, even start to beat them.  Rosters with plenty of talent and several players playing in Europe on some of the world’s best club teams.  It’s going to take awhile, though and it’s going to take more resources then what USA Team Handball has right now.   Still if you’re planning for the future it’s best to not have an open ended time frame on a difficult challenge, but a target to shoot for.   USA Team Handball has often planned in 4 year blocks focused on the upcoming Olympics.

The U.S. Olympic Goal

For the world handball community the handball tournament at the Olympic Games is a big deal.  For countries where handball is a significant sport it’s an opportunity to compete for a medal.  For the top players in the game it’s a capstone career opportunity to showcase their skills on a big stage.  For countries like the United States where the sport is less popular or virtually unknown, though it’s even a bigger deal.  Having a men’s or women’s (or ideally both) participating in the Olympic Games provides exposure and access to funding opportunities that is hard to match.  It can truly be a game changer and could ultimately be the vehicle to propel the sport from virtually unknown to a significant niche sport with a significant fan and player base.  This is why the U.S. Federation has almost always made qualifying for the Olympic Games the top priority and accordingly directed the bulk of its resources to making it happen.

Olympic Prospects

Unfortunately, though, there’s very little to suggest that the U.S. can make it happen anytime soon.  I’ve highlighted U.S. prospects for 2016 previously and there’s been little progress in the past year.  Honestly, it’s probably about a 50-50 chance as to either the U.S. Men or Women can beat Uruguay and will even qualify for the PANAM Games.  (If the 2nd chance tourneys are hosted by the U.S. those odds improve; if either the men or women have to travel to Uruguay they drop.) And then placing either 1st or 2nd (if Olympic hosts Brazil wins either the men’s or women’s title) at the PANAM Games is even a longer shot.  Probably, around 40-1 for the men and 20-1 for the women.  Some might think based on recent results that I’m being overly generous, but with the resources being invested there’s actually a chance the U.S. could become competitive enough for a long shot bid in a year’s time.  So, despite a long trail of dismal results there’s still a chance, albeit slim, of Olympic qualification.  Also, the women’s pool (minus Brazil) is somewhat weak and injuries to say Argentina could make the tourney wide open.

I haven’t addressed 2020 prospects specifically before, but the prospects are also pretty bleak, particularly for the women.  Brazil’s hosting of the Olympics in 2016 presented a one time opportunity for the other PATHF nations to avoid the likely necessity of defeating that world class side.  Heck, strike “world class”, they’re the World Champions!  Come the 2019 PANAM Games in Peru I doubt that the Brazilian Women will be as strong as they are now, but it’s foolhardy to expect that they will have an epic drop in quality.  Undoubtedly, there will be several player retirements, but there will still be some holdovers.  Additionally, they must have some upcoming talent based on their Junior Team’s 29-19 defeat of Team USA recently.  This Junior Team (athletes no more than 20 years of age) actually blitzed the USA to a 19-4 half time lead, suggesting the outcome could have been worse.  For the USA Men, Brazil will also again factor into the qualification mix, but the real class side is Argentina with its standout centerback Diego Simonet.  Arguably, at age 24 now he is already the best male player to ever come from a PATHF nation and he will likely be in peak form four years from now.  Injuries can always play a role, though, and Argentina, Brazil and Chile do not have overwhelming pools of talent.  The USA Men are significantly below those 3 sides now, but it’s feasible that a full fledged residency program could field a team within shouting distance in 4 years time.   With some of the USA Men’s top players pushing 30 or greater, however, several new players would have to come on strong.  Even with this happening, though, 2020 is still a long shot.

Which leads us to 2024 and a sudden huge increase in USA qualification prospects.  Of course, this qualification prospect has nothing to do with the quality of Team USA 10 years from now and everything to do with USA prospects for hosting the 2024 Olympics.  We won’t actually know whether the USA will host the 2024 Olympics until 2017, but the stars appear to be aligning for this to happen.  The USOC decided to forego a 202o bid and has been strategically positioning for 2024 now for several years. Stung by defeats to win several Olympic bids they’ve mended fences and built repoire with IOC members.  I wouldn’t bet the farm on Los Angeles, San Francisco, Boston or Washington,D.C. hosting in 2024, but I would feel far more comfortable on that bet then a USA Olympic slot in 2016 or 2020.  Overall, reading the tea leaves, there’s maybe an 80% chance that USA Team Handball will be taking the floor at the 2024 Olympics in Los Angeles, San Francisco, Boston or Washington D.C.

A Logical Long Range Goal

So, if you couple the long odds for Olympic qualification with the time requirements related to player development there’s a logical long range goal staring USA Team Handball in the face.  And that goal is to field competitive USA National Teams at the 2024 Olympics.  More broadly, it’s how best to maximize the opportunity the 2024 Olympics will present in terms of exposure and continued sustained growth for the sport.  Anyone who was around for the 1984 or 1996 Olympics saw the bump the sport got when the U.S. hosted those Olympics.  Recruiting was easier, sponsorship was easier and interest in the sport increased.  Actually, this happens with every Olympics, but when that Olympics is also in the U.S. the effect is tremendously magnified.

As sure as the sun comes up in the east a big bump is coming.  The thinking now should be what can be done to turn this big bump into a massive bump?  A bump that starts a couple of years earlier than it did in either Los Angeles or Atlanta, a bump that rises higher and is sustained long after the Olympics.  A bump that results in a “tipping point” that makes team handball a nationally recognizable sport with a real following and opportunities for continued growth.  It should not be lost on anyone that the Los Angeles and Atlanta bumps were not as big as they could have been as interest was not sustained and growth did not materialize.

Some might argue that this is all well and good, but this opportunity is 10 years away.  USA Team Handball has got lot to be done in the mean time.  True as well, but I would argue that current efforts can and should be accomplished with both eyes squarely focused on the future.  Programs to support National Teams today can be structured to smartly build for the future.  And grassroots programs can be developed so that they maximize opportunities to identify and train future National Team prospects.

In short, USA Team Handball should look at everything it spends time and money on and ask a simple question:

How does this initiative or program help USA Team Handball field competitive teams at the 2024 Olympic Games?

And, if the answer is that the initiative or program doesn’t do much, if anything.  Well, then the next questions should be why are we doing it and can we modify it so it does support this long term goal.

This concludes my series tackling the grass roots vs national team debate.  Next, I’ll start addressing initiatives and programs that USA Team Handball should consider implementing.  First up, I’ll address the Residency Program at Auburn and how they could be modified to better focus on the future.

 

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Grass Roots vs National Team Focus: Part 3: What’s the Right Level of National Team Support?

Pendulum

In part 1 I addressed the recent Women’s National Team results and in Part 2 I highlighted the weak club system in the U.S.  In this part I take a step back and philosophize a bit about how to go about determining the appropriate level of support for U.S. National Teams.

Both the U.S. Men’s and Women’s Team recently traveled to South America for competition.  The Women played several friendly matches in Brazil while the Men played a couple of preparatory matches in Brazil prior to traveling on to Uruguay for the Men’s Pan American Championships where they placed 6th out of 8 teams.  Both trips weren’t free and as a proponent of more spending on developmental efforts you might think that I would argue against them being made; but, you would only be half right.  For reasons, I’ll elaborate on I think the Men’s trip was warranted while the Women’s trip was not.

History Lesson: A Swinging Pendulum of Support

First off, a brief history lesson in regards to the level of support that has been provided to U.S. National Teams in the past is warranted if you want to better understand contextually what could or should be done.  The graphical picture at the top of the page is a simple depiction of the level of support that has been provided in the past.  It’s simplistic in that the actual level of support varied from year to year.  At some points the residency programs were more austere than full fledged.  The competition trips overseas varied and at times funding and resources were shifted towards different development programs.   In general, however, overall I think the years depicted on the pendulum accurately reflect an overall philosophy in regards to funding and support towards National Teams.

And, if you look at the depiction, you’ll note that the philosophy and focus most of the time has been towards National Team support.  In fact, you could argue that except for the Dieter Esch era (2007-2011) it’s always been National Teams first.  It’s just that since the USOC dramatically reduced funding support after the 1996 Olympics there hasn’t been sufficient funding to support them properly.

For the purposes of discussion I’ll first highlight the arguments for the 2 viewpoints on the opposite end of the spectrum:

Philosophy 1: National Teams First 

Here’s 3 arguments as to why USA Team Handball should have a “National Teams First” philosophy:

1) It’s the raison d’etre.  Fundamentally it can be argued that this is primary reason for sports federations to exist at all.  National Teams simply have to have a Federation providing the logistical and administrative structure backing their existence.  The USA has the best basketball players in the world, but somebody has to hire the coaches, organize the training camps and logistically set up the trips for competition.  What’s true for USA Basketball is true for USA Team Handball.

2) It’s the best platform for recruitment and development.  The performance of our National Teams has been downright dismal of late and in reality never very good, but undeniably a legitimate National Team program is a beacon for recruitment and development.  I speak of this first hand from my own experience as an athlete.  The possibility of training and playing for the U.S. National Team was a tremendous motivator for me.  Absent this carrot I doubt that I would have invested the time and energy to become a decent player.  What was true for me 25 years ago is still true today.  Also, a National Team regularly training and competing (even a weak team) will help promote the sport and spur development.

3) The USOC forces this upon the Federation.  The primary source of USA Team Handball’s funding historically has been the USOC and the USOC has been fairly clear that the bulk of it’s funding support needs to be spent on High Performance Programs (HPP).  The Federation might prefer to direct funds towards development efforts, but the USOC won’t allow it.

Philosophy 2: Development First 

Here’s 3 arguments as to why USA Team Handball should have a “Development First” philosophy:

1) It’s also the raison d’etre.  While it is undeniably true that only a Federation can provide the structure for National Teams it’s also undeniably true that development is part and parcel to the purpose of a sports federation.  One just has to read the Federation mission statement:

The mission of USA Team Handball shall be to develop, promote, educate and grow the sport of Team Handball at all levels in the United States and to enable United States athletes to achieve sustained competitive excellence to win medals in international and Olympic competition.

Why, one could even read this mission statement and it’s initial emphasis on development and conclude that it has primacy over the afterthought, second part of the sentence.

2) Grass roots programs are in a deplorable state.  Many other sports federations in the U.S. put very little emphasis on development.  Thing is, however, to varying degrees those sports already have robust grass roots development in this country.  For instance, USA Basketball doesn’t even have to lift a finger in regards to development as nationwide programs already exist.  For USA Basketball, all they have to do is pick which athletes they want from a pool of thousands.  By contrast, USA Team Handball has only a few legitimate prospects from a handful of programs.   Focusing on National Teams without establishing a credible foundation is foolhardy and a recipe for continued failure.

3) USA National Teams aren’t currently competitive and won’t be anytime soon.  Both the Women’s and Men’s National Teams haven’t been competitive for several years.  I’ve highlighted this lack of competitiveness several times and depressingly we are not only regressing we’re getting older.  There’s a handful of new prospects with long term potential, but far too few to justify the resources currently being dedicated to our National Teams.  Anyone who things either the U.S. Men or Women have a legitimate shot at qualifying for the 2016 Olympics is in a state of denial.  Why, even with dramatically improved recruiting 2020 is a huge long shot.

Is There a Middle Ground?

In many cases the proponents on the opposite ends of the spectrum will state that they they value both grass roots and national teams, but with limited resources money talks and philosophies become entrenched.  At times it seems as if many in the National Teams First crowd take comfort in the clarity of purpose a National Teams focus provides.  It might be a difficult objective to field a competitive National Team, but the basic tasks are straightforward and concrete.  Hire some coaches, find a place for teams to train and send them to competition. Ignore the low prospects for success and adopt a Don Rumsfeld like philosophy that can be characterized by his infamous response to a soldier that complained about inadequately armored vehicles: “You go to war with the army you have, not the army you might want or wish to have at a later time.”

Rumsfeld was critiqued pretty strongly for this cavalier response, but in some respects there was some legitimacy to his point.  After all in WW2, the U.S. didn’t wait around to build up its forces after Pearl Harbor.  But, as critics pointed out that legitimacy gets pretty weak when the war you’re talking about is not a necessity, but a war of choice.  Meanwhile on the other end of the spectrum, the grass roots crowd often gets caught in a perpetual building for the future mindset.  They dramatically don’t realize the extent of the problem they want to fix and the fact that it might never be fully solvable in a country as vast is the U.S.

A Middle Ground, but Where to Draw the Line?

Obviously, there’s a middle ground between the two extremes and even if your feet are squarely in one camp or the other, I’d like to think that most folks at least recognize the legitimacy of the basic arguments presented.  And, everyone with an opinion should also be able to take a step back and acknowledge any biases that might be unduly weighing where they stand.  For instance, I’ll draw upon my own experiences and unequivocally state that I was squarely in the National Teams First camp from ages 20-30.  (Not, coincidentally, I was also of National Team athlete age.)  Ever since then, however, I’ve steadily moved more to the other camp.  Lots of things have undoubtedly influenced this besides getting older such as struggling to start new clubs and seeing first hand what the U.S. is up against in terms of European structure.  I suppose if either of my daughters get the handball bug, maybe I’ll non-coincidentally switch camps as they enter their 20’s.

But, despite being for more development, I still see the need for a National Team program.  Back in 2011 I was outraged by the Federation’s decision to essentially abandon the National Teams and not even attempt to qualify for the Olympics.  Not that I thought the U.S. had a snowball’s chance in hell.  It’s just that I felt a line should be drawn somewhere and that a Federation should as a minimum roll out a team every two years for Pan American Championship or PANAM Games qualification.  In my mind’s eye those events were the equivalent of “going to war” and regardless of how weak our teams were we needed to show the flag and benchmark where our nation stood in comparison to other teams.  Of course, that’s just my opinion.  It wasn’t the Federation’s opinion at the time and now I see myself on the other side of the argument.  Sending an aging Women’s team with little chance at 2016 Olympic qualification on overseas trips for friendly competition while our development cupboard is bare is pretty hard to justify in my opinion.  And, I’ll state the same thing if I see the Men’s team being sent abroad for friendlies now too.  Of even more importance is taking a very critical look at the Residency Program at Auburn and assessing how it matches the long term goals and objectives of USA Team Handball.

Finally, to beat the dead horse into even more senseless submission I’ll reiterate that this will require some strategic planning and actually stating what USA Team Handball’s long term goals and objectives are.  And then, doing the same thing for the near term and mapping programs and initiatives to those goals and objectives along with benchmarks to assess whether those programs are being successful.  Such a process was started two years ago and abruptly stopped.  It’s time to quit pretending that this never happened and USA Team Handball has a well thought out plan in place.

Yikes.  Easier said than done. This is complicated.  Where should USA Team Handball start?  If only there was a way to get our arms around all that’s needed to be done with some resources and within a reasonable time frame.   But, maybe there is a once in a generation event on the horizon that just might make it feasible.  In the next part I’ll discuss that event and the 10 year plan that should be developed.

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Grass Roots vs National Team Focus: Part 2: Aging Veterans and Expats vs. Up and Coming, Homegrown Talent

Club contrast

USA with two national club titles. NYC takes Canadian title while NYAC repeats as American champions. But, the real winner in terms of development is Alberta: the Canadian runners-up:

In part 1, I highlighted that recent national team performances should at least call into question the U.S. Federation’s focus on National Teams.  In this part, I address the state of club handball and the development of home grown talent in the U.S. and whether the Federation should prioritize improving it.

Last month U.S. club teams pulled off a double championship. NYC Team Handball skipped the U.S. National Championships and instead went to Toronto and took the Canadian title.  Meanwhile, NYAC held down the fort in Reno, and repeated as U.S. Champions.  On the surface one might look at those results and come to the conclusion, “Not too shabby.  Our clubs won two titles and  New York City must be the epicenter for grass roots development in the U.S.”

Of course, anyone with even a casual interest in Team Handball in the U.S. knows that statement would have little basis in reality.  The NYC Team Handball Club is almost entirely comprised of expats and naturalized U.S. citizens who learned the game in another country.  I would also guestimate that the average age of the club’s members is around 33 years of age.  Meanwhile, NYAC does consist mostly of home grown talent, but the average age of the club is an eye-popping 39.7 years old!  As an old timer I take a little satisfaction in that guys that I played with and against in the 80’s and 90’s can still do it.  Why, it almost makes me want to round up the old Condors and take the title away from them next year.  Don’t laugh, with Gary Hines playing for us I wouldn’t count us out. I also haven’t seen Darrick Heath in years, but something tells me that at age 49 he could probably still  make the U.S. National Team roster if he wanted to.  And why stop there, if we want to truly go old, old school I bet the the Sushi Masters with several players pushing 60 could do pretty well.  (Perhaps an update to this 18 year old video is in the offing?) In all seriousness, though, the fact that I am only half jokingly entertaining these thoughts, speaks volumes about the state of club handball in the U.S.   There’s something seriously wrong with our club system if the best team in our country has an average age of 40.

Meanwhile, up north in Canada, most of the teams participating featured rosters dramatically different in composition.  Runners up, Alberta, for example was entirely composed of home grown athletes and had an average age of 22 years old.  With the exception of collegiate participants like West Point, Air Force and North Carolina, the U.S. has no club teams that are comparable.  Heck, most club teams don’t even comes close to those demographics.

Before I continue on, I’d like to make something perfectly clear:  I’ve got nothing against expat and old timer teams.  As I’ve written numerous times before, having these teams around is great for development in our country as they can show newcomers how to play the game.  Nothing perhaps motivated me more as a newcomer to the game then getting beaten by somewhat older, often a little out of shape, Euro players who knew the game.  The problem is not those teams.  The problem is that there are very few newcomers around that are benefiting from playing those teams.

Clearly an Issue, but is Fixing this Problem a Priority?

I’m fairly certain that virtually everyone who cares about the sport in this country would assess that our lack of up and coming, homegrown talent is an issue of concern.  More teams with younger players enthusiastically playing and improving their handball skills is something in principle everybody can get behind.  Even if you are wholeheartedly convinced that National Teams should always get the lion’s share of the budget, you still need players for that roster and it sure would be nice to get even a few trained up internally via a vibrant club system.

When push comes to shove, however, and decisions have to be made on where to spend limited funds and where to direct staff man hours something’s gotta give.  And, you don’t have to do much forensic analysis to quickly come to the conclusion that the U.S. Federation has decided over the past couple of years to mostly direct funds and man hours towards near term performance of our National Teams.  Hiring full time coaches, setting up the residency program at Auburn, and trips to Puerto Rico and Brazil are obvious indications of this.  Lacking recent budget information or recent documentation of Board of Director decisions it’s not possible to know exactly how much is being spent, but I would guess that around 80% of the current Federation budget is being directed towards our National Teams.  And, at the same time I would estimate that the Federation staff is probably spending around 80% of their time addressing issues related to the National Teams.  Residency programs don’t run on autopilot and trips abroad undoubtedly require a lot of coordination and legwork.

A Quiet Cancellation

This is not to say that nothing is being considered or done in terms of development, but it clearly is getting the short end of the straw.  Probably nothing demonstrates this more than the very quiet cancellation of the Summer Handball Festival that was originally planned to take place early in July at Auburn.  Announced in January this event was to be focused on identifying athletes aged 17-22 and appeared to be similar in concept to the Olympic Sports Festivals that were staged by the USOC from 1978 to 1995.  At those 2 week long events four regional men’s and women’s team usually composed of current National Team and up and coming players practiced and played several matches.  Having participated in 3 festivals I can tell you first hand what a great event they were and how important they were to USA Team Handball in terms of recruitment and player development.

I was pleasantly surprised by the January announcement, but immediately noticed the glaring omission as to costs for prospective participants.  In correspondence with the Federation I found out that prospective athletes were going to be expected to pay around $400 plus their travel costs to Auburn.  Doesn’t take a rocket scientist to immediately assess that finding new blue chip recruits willing to pay those costs was going to be challenging.  (In contrast, everything (room, board, travel)  was paid for at Olympic Festivals.)  In order for this good idea to be feasibly implemented it surely was going to need either an influx of cash or some motivated prospective athletes to come out of the woodwork.  I’m guessing that neither materialized, necessitating it’s cancellation, but perhaps it’s still on the drawing board for future implementation since it’s still being advertised on the Federation webpage.

How is USA Team Handball Prioritizing?

When an organization like USA Team Handball has constrained resources it’s impossible to do all the things that need to be done.  Heck, it’s tough to do even a few of the things that need to be done.  Faced with this reality USA Team Handball needs to carefully think through what it wants to do and what it hopes to accomplish.  What will get the best bang for the buck?  What are the critical needs?  Are funds being directed towards efforts that stand a good chance of succeeding? I’ve got real doubts as to whether these questions are being fully considered and whether enough alternative options are being weighed on their merits.

Case in point are the USA Women’s trips to Puerto Rico and Brazil.  I don’t know how much those trips cost, but for sure those funds and resources could have been spent elsewhere.  And, if a summer handball festival was already being planned, funds could have gone towards making the Summer Festival less austere.  If viable recruits were in short supply than manpower could have been redirected towards aggressive recruiting of younger athletes as opposed to training athletes that are nearing the end of their national team careers.  And, this is but one possibility as there are many more possibilities worthy of consideration.

Alternatives for National Team Success

What are some of these alternatives?  Well two years ago in Salt Lake City, USA Team Handball hosted a Strategic Planning Conference where a whole host of possibilities were discussed.  In a commentary I wrote last year I highlighted some of those initiatives and added a few of my own.  Here’s the list:

– Establish regional Centers of Excellence
– Establish a European based training center in collaboration with the IHF and other developing nations
– Provide stipends for overseas training with clubs to the nation’s top 30 players
– Provide funding to 10 U.S. based clubs to support player identification and training
– Designate one metropolitan area in the U.S. for Elite competition and apply funding to make it happen
– Identify national team coaches for an extended period of time, but pay them only part time wages
– Hire a full time recruiting coordinator and have them focus on expanding the player pool at ages 18-22
– Hire a full time youth development coordinator and have them focus on developing a model program in one U.S. metropolitan area
– Work with a designated school district to implement a sanctioned High School Team Handball League to serve as a model for other school districts.
– Work with the NCAA to identify one Division 1 conference to support a Team Handball League
– Conduct a 10 day U.S. Olympic Festival style training camp for 120 elite NCAA athletes.
– Sharply curtail current expenditure on U.S. Senior teams and focus entirely on Under 21 development in hopes of improving odds for 2020 qualification
– Sharply curtail Men’s National Team funding and focus on the brighter prospects (weaker competition/Title IX) for Women’s team development .
– Sharply curtail funding and resources related to adult club teams and focus efforts on college and youth teams. (i.e., Don’t waste time organizing competition and national championships for predominantly Expat players or athletes over the ages of 25)

Perhaps it’s wishful thinking on my part, but I think it’s only a matter of time before the Federation takes a critical look at its current programs and reassesses its options going forward.  Not that I would envision a dramatic shift away from the current National Team focus, but surely there’s some potential for tweaking and modification of the Residency Program to more closely align with long term development.  Even better, maybe some additional funding through new sponsors will come available meaning that instead of choosing between competing alternatives the Federation will have the means to implement multiple initiatives.

In the hopes of influencing those upcoming decisions I plan to assess these alternatives in terms of their pros/cons, feasibility, risks and costs involved with implementation.  And, I’ll also be adding a few new possibilities that come to mind:  Like figuring out what the heck is going on in Alberta in terms of development and whether that success can be duplicated in the U.S.

But, before I start delving into the alternatives I’ll take a closer look at the rationale behind the Auburn Residency Program.  The one alternative that was summarily chosen.  It’s not the “no brainer” way ahead for USA Team Handball that some people think it it, but there’s actually some decent rationale that even a die hard grass roots proponent can get behind.

 

 

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I “HEART” Flensburg

Bold Prediction Comes True.

Bold Prediction Comes True.

This past weekend Flensburg pulled off one of the more unlikely Champions League victories in the history of the sport.  On Saturday in the Semifinals they came back from a 6 goal deficit late in the 2nd half against highly favored Barcelona to send the game into overtime.  Following overtime they then knocked off Barca in penalty shots.  Then on Sunday against favored Kiel they came back again from a 6 goal lead, this time in the first half.  They then built a 4 goal lead and held off Kiel to win their first Champions League Title.  Going into the Final Four they were 10-1 underdogs; the afterthought team just happy to be there.  Who would have thought they could win it all?

Bold Prediction Comes True

Last September I participated in a Champions League Preseason EHF Google Hangout.    During the discussion the moderator noted that teams like Flensburg hadn’t even mentioned.  Seizing the moment, I put on my hat and boldly predicted, “I’ll go on record:  It’s Flensburg’s year.”  (The prediction is at 27:18 LINK)  A little while later we were asked to name our Final Four and I went with Barca, Kiel, Veszprem and Flensburg.

If you’ve ever been in the predicting business, you know how fraught with peril it is.  Listen to any Sunday talk show or sports radio show.  You’ll hear the politician or blabbermouth run for cover when asked to make a prediction.  Either that or they hedge their bets in a big way.  But, forced to make a prediction I used a little logic and a little bit of what I wanted to have happen and voila I nailed it.  And, this was way back in September…  Why it reminds me of the 1995 NBA playoffs when I made a little bet in Las Vegas on the Houston Rockets when they were down 3 games to 1 to the Phoenix Suns.  Or the time when I predicted that Troy Calhoun would some day become the Head Football Coach at the AF Academy… when he was still a cadet.  Alright, enough gloating.  In the dustbin of my memory there’s surely countless predictions that have been entirely and totally wrong.  Still, for sure, it is still incredibly satisfying to be so entirely and totally correct.

How did an American become a Flensburg Fan anyway?

But, if my bold prediction was partly based on wishful thinking, why on Earth would I be pulling for Flensburg anyway?  I’ve never stepped foot there.  I might never even visit that little city on the Germany-Denmark border.  I don’t speak German or Danish.  I’ve never seen the club play in person.  Why that particular club and not some other?  Heck, I lived in France and I’ve got no particular allegiance to any club there.  Why does this American wear his Flensburg hat all over town and why does he care?  Why did I have the biggest smile on my face yesterday afternoon as they hoisted that trophy?

As often is the case with fandom it’s a combination of historical circumstances, personality and perceived identification.  Here’s some elements as to why I’m a Flensburg fan:

Historical Context:  Back in 2005 as I was just learning about club handball in Europe I had the pleasure to witness the most oddly compelling and dramatic match I’ve ever seen in any sport, let alone handball.  This was the 2nd leg of the Montpellier – Flensburg match where Montpellier scored on a free throw with no time remaining to lose by “only 13” and advance on aggregate.  I wrote about this 9 years ago and I’m still shaking my head as I recall that match.  I was already a fan of handball, but that match really ignited a passion to follow the sport more closely.  It was also my first introduction to the Flensburg club.

An Iconic Star:  After you watch a team play quite a bit and see how individual players carry themselves on the court you start to identify with certain players.  Quite often you see a player’s demeanor, their ability to score in the clutch and their attitude.  If you identify with those characteristics you can’t help but root for those players and their team.  Such a player for me was Lars Christiansen.  Even though he hasn’t worn a Flensburg jersey in four years, some of my fandom surely still can be attributed to him.

Blue Collar Team:  Rightly or wrongly, I perceive Flensburg as a blue collar team of hard working players.  Don’t get me wrong they’ve got some world class players, but they are a notch down from the Barca’s and Kiel’s of Europe.  And, while they’ve got a few hired guns they just don’t feel like a mercenary team.  They play together as a team, not as a team of individual stars.  When they win as they did yesterday it has the feel of a real team celebration and a collective victory.

So, hats off to “my boys” from Flensburg.  Looks like I’ll need a 2014 EHF Champions tournament T-Shirt to go along with my hat.

But, if you want to know who’s going to the Final Four in 2015 and who’s going to win it all there’ll be no more freebies.  You’re going to have to subscribe to my betting service.

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Taking Stock of the Pan American Competition: Can the USA Women Beat the Pan American Also-Rans?

Argentina:  Still the best of the Pan American also-rans.  Can the USA put together a team capable of beating them in 18 months?

Argentina: Still the best of the Pan American also-rans. Can the USA put together a team capable of beating them in 18 months?

 

Much has been written or said about Brazil’s historic run to the title at the recently completed Women’s World Championship.  And, with good reason; It was truly historic for a Pan American team to win a title in convincing fashion.  If it wasn’t obvious before, there is now undeniable proof that the Brazilian women are as good and for the moment even better than the top European teams.  This is something no Pan American team (Men or Women) has ever accomplished and in doing so there is now a chasm in terms of quality between Brazil and the other Pan American teams.

With only one Pan American direct qualification slot for Olympic qualification normally this would mean that the rest of Pan America should immediately forgo any thoughts of going to the Olympics until 2020 at the earliest.   It’s just really hard to contemplate a scenario where any side beats Brazil anytime in the near future.  Throw out your “Miracle on Ice” analogies.  Unlike hockey handball is a high scoring game and there’s just no plausible scenario for a dramatically superior team to lose a 60 minute match to a significantly inferior foe.

Fortunately, for the rest of Pan America Brazil is hosting the 2016 and their automatic bid throws them out of the equation.  Instead of unseating Brazil all a Pan American side has to do is emerge as the 2nd best team at the 2015 PANAM Games in Toronto.  Currently there is a pecking order among the also-rans.  This past summer 3 teams (Argentina, Dominican Republic and Paraguay) took 2nd, 3rd and 4th at the Pan American Championships and qualified for the World Championships.  I had the opportunity to see each of these teams play in several matches and here’s a summary of how they fared at the World Championships and my assessment of their future prospects.

Dominican Republic
Group Play
– Record: 0-5
– Avg Scoreline:  18.4-35.6 (-17.2 Goals)
– Highlights:  Stayed relatively competitive vs Montenegro, losing by just 7 each half; Lost close match to 4th place Congo 23-22
– Lowlights:  Totally outclassed in matches vs France, Netherlands and South Korea.  Managed only 10 goals vs France
President’s Cup:  29-24 loss to Algeria and 27-26 victory over Australia
Overall Ranking: 23rd
Avg Age of Roster: 21.8
Assessment:  Overall, a disappointing tournament for the Dominicans as they only managed to eke out 1 win and that was against the Australians who’ve consistently finished last at the World Championships for several years. They have a fairly young roster with only 1 significant contributor (31 year old winger Nancy Pena) over the age of 25.  The official roster indicates that all of their players are based in the Dominican Republic, but other sources indicate that several players are also playing for clubs in Spain.

Paraguay
Group Play
– Record: 0-5
– Avg Scoreline:  11-33 (-22 Goals)
– Highlights:  Played Argentina close in 2nd half, losing that half by score of 12-10
– Lowlights:  One of worst all-time performances in Group Play competition history.  Lowlights include a 40-6 annihilation by Poland and a 29-9 loss to Spain that included a goalless first half.
President’s Cup:  23-21 victory over Australia (won in penalty shootout) and 29-19 victory over Algeria
Overall Ranking: 21st
Avg Age of Roster: 21.5
Assessment:  Their performance in group play was a disaster, but you have to give the Paraguayans credit for bouncing back in the President’s Cup.  Particularly surprising was their convincing victory in their last game against Algeria.  This improvement illustrates what an important development opportunity merely attending a World Championships can be.  I suspect that Paraguay would have lost to Algeria had they met in Group play, but with the experience of just a few games they developed greater confidence.  They have a very young team overall, but two major contributors, Marizza Faria and Maria Gomez are 29 and 30 respectively.  On the other side of the age spectrum, their 2nd and 3rd leading scorer were Left Back Ana Acuna (age 19) and circle runner Sabrina Fiore (age 17).  Both show quite a bit of promise, but would probably need to play overseas or in Brazil to further develop as players.

Argentina
Group Play
– Record: 1-4
– Avg Scoreline:  20.4-28.2 (-7.8 Goals)
– Highlights:  Played very competitively against the defending World Champions, Norway for 45 minutes.  Even led Norway 6-4 after 15 minutes and were down just 8-10 with 2 minutes left in the first half.  Norway, however, had a couple of runs which put the game out of contention.  Particularly, disastrous was a 12 goal run which resulted in the ugly final result of 37-18.  Argentina was also competitive against Spain, losing only 25-19 and had a convincing 25-15 victory over PATHF rival Paraguay.
– Lowlights:  They were less competitive in a loss to Poland (31-17) and lost by 10 goals to Angola (33-23).  Angola has Africa’s strongest women’s program, but they weren’t as strong at this WC as they’ve been in other years.  Based on how Argentina played against European foes this should have been a much closer contest and a victory over Angola would have advanced Argentina to the knockout stages instead of the President’s Cup.
President’s Cup: 27-21 loss to Tunisia and 31-19 victory over Congo
Overall Ranking: 19th
Avg Age of Roster: 23.9
Assessment:  I watched parts of several Argentinian matches and they clearly are a hot and cold team.  They are technically sound and when they play under control they can stay competitive against the top teams.  But, they also had several stretches with lots of turnovers which were disastrous.  Looking at the match reports many of these opposition runs were towards the end of the halves and this suggests some conditioning issues.  Additionally, while many players are technically sound they don’t have many players with exceptional quickness which can make a big difference in capitalizing on 1 v 1 situations against strong defenses.  Overall, they have a pretty young team which could continue to improve.  One major contributor, Madgalena Decilio is 30 years old, but the rest of their roster is 28 or younger.  Their best player Luciana Mendoza is 23 years old and plays for Blumenau in Brazil.  I suspect that her performance at the WC will draw some interest from a few European clubs.

For an additional assessment on Argentina read Ruben Gomez’s article at Mundo Handball.  Included in the article is some strong praise for Argentina, from Norway Head Coach, Thorir Hergeirsson, who indicates that they are the team of the future and will replace Brazil as the Pan American team to beat.

Can the USA Beat these Sides?

As an American, I couldn’t help but watch these 3 teams from a parochial viewpoint.  Essentially, I found myself asking, “Can the USA beat these sides at the 2015 PANAM Games and earn a ticket to Rio?”  Athletically, Argentina, Dominican Republic and Paraguay are nothing to write home about.  And, of the three teams only Argentina has sound technical handball skills.  Comparing these teams to past American sides, I’m pretty confident that any USA Olympic team from 1984 to 1996 would fare well.  They would easily beat the Dominican Republic and Paraguay and they would wear Argentina down physically.  And, now that the USA is setting up a Residency Program at Auburn University that appears to be comparable to the Residency Programs that were set up in the 80’s and 90’s.  But, can the U.S. make the necessary progress in the time alloted? Crystal ball prediction is fraught with peril, but here’s the case for yes and no depending on whether your you see the proverbial glass as full, half-full, half-empty or empty.

Glass Full Perspective:  Time is short, but in 18 months the U.S. puts together a team that gets the job done.  Some top notch recruiting finds several high quality athletes that quickly develop into great handball players.   Combined with the core veterans they jell quickly into a competitive team.  And, this team keeps getting better thanks to additional funding that supports a couple of extended trips to Europe to face challenging competition.  Come July 2015 they’re tested and ready to beat every team but Brazil.

Glass Half-Full Perspective:  The challenge of putting together a team in 18 months that can qualify for the Olympics might be asking quite  bit, but it proves to be well worth the shot.  The U.S. doesn’t make up the ground necessary to beat Argentina, but the USA makes sufficient progress so that it topples Paraguay and the Dominican Republic.   They even give Argentina a run for its money in the semis, but fall short.  More importantly, the stage is set for a stronger run towards the 2020 Olympics.   Several young talents have emerged and they are motivated and ready to put 4 more hard years of work in.   Also, while the Olympics were unattainable the U.S. easily qualifies for the 2015 World Championships and has that that opportunity to further improve as a team.

Glass Half-Empty Perspective:  The U.S. makes slow, but steady progress.  A couple of top notch recruits are identified and quickly become important contributors to the national team. The U.S. is much improved, but unfortunately so have most of the other Pan American teams.   Like the U.S. they’ve taken stock of the competition and decided to invest in a shot at 2016.  Several key opponents have taken overseas training trips and some players have been placed in competitive European clubs.  And, the Cubans have emerged as a rival to Argentina.  At the PANAM Games and Pan American Championships the U.S. faces tough competition to even make the semifinals.  Depending on the draw they face the difficult task of beating Cuba or the more feasible task of beating Paraguay or the Dominican Republic to advance.  A top 3 placement is a long shot and the U.S. faces a 50-50 proposition to even secure one of the 5 Pan American slots for the 2015 WC.   And, in regards to progress towards the long term the results are mixed at best.  There’s a bit of foundation established towards a run at 2020, but to a large degree the U.S. ends up having to start over.

Glass Empty Perspective:  The U.S. program manages only marginal progress in 18 months.  A handful of recruits are identified, but they aren’t “knock your socks off” athletes.  They’re developing as handball players, but not to the point where they’re really ready for international play.  The U.S. team ends up being mainly composed of hard-working veterans who’ve had less than satisfactory results in the past.  A more cohesive team thanks to the Residency Program, but not a whole lot better than previous teams sent to the 2011 PANAM Games and the 2013 Pan American Championships.  Meanwhile, the rest of Pan America also realizing the unique opportunity Brazil’s participation represents takes major strides forward investing in overseas training and coaching.   The U.S. faces a tough match in the second chance tournament against either Paraguay or Uruguay to simply qualify for the PANAM Games.  And, at the PANAM Games and Pan American Championships the U.S. team doesn’t come close to qualifying for the semis and ends up around 8th place.  Finally, perhaps the worst result of all, the National team sees a rash of retirements both from veteran players and newcomers distraught and unmotivated at the unlikely prospect of beating Brazil in 2019.  And, then the U.S. does as it has several times before, starts all over again with a new crop of athletes in 2017.

My Perspective:  As a skeptic of Residency Programs in general and someone that advocated against starting a program so quickly it should be no surprise that I lean more toward the glass half empty side of things.   Call me a pessimist if you like, but it truly will be an uphill battle.   There surely will be improvement, in my opinion, just not enough improvement to merit the expense in terms of funding and man-hours when the U.S. faces so many other challenges across the board in terms of grass roots development, marketing, etc.

All that being said you can also be assured that I would be more than happy to see 18 months hence, the glass half full or even better full with a ticket to Rio punched.

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Commentary: Three Great Additions to the USA Team Handball Board of Directors

Dr Harvey Schiller, Mike McNees and Bob Djokovich:  3 great additions to the USA Team Handball Board of Directors.

Dr Harvey Schiller, Mike McNees and Bob Djokovich: 3 great additions to the USA Team Handball Board of Directors.

It’s taken several months for the Nominating & Governance Committee to complete its work to select three new Board Members, but they are clearly to be commended for their ultimate selections, Dr. Harvey Schiller, Mike McNees and Bob Djokovich.  This post on the USA Team Handball website provides some top level background on each of the new Board Members.  Below is some supplemental information and some additional thoughts in regards to how they might help USA Team Handball.

Dr. Harvey Schiller

If you read a bit on Dr. Schiller’s background your first reaction should be along the lines of “Holy crap, this guy is going to sit on USA Team Handball’s board?”  The resume is long, varied and impressive.  He’s been the Executive Director of the USOC, the Commissioner of the most prestigious NCAA Conference (SEC), the President of Turner Sports and the President of Yankees/Nets.  And that’s just the highlights.  Watch these sports business reporters gush about his career and read the accompanying article to get a full appreciation.

Here’s a very accomplished sports executive that could have chosen do a number of different things as his next big thing and he’s chosen USA Team Handball.  The doors that he can open for the sport in this country are many.  Who could be better to talk to the USOC about more funding support than a former head of the USOC?  Who could be better to talk to the NCAA about making Team Handball a varsity sport then the former head of the SEC?  Who could be better to talk to sports networks about broadcasting Team Handball on TV then the former head of two major networks.  It’s hard to understate what a potential game changer his selection to the Board could be  for the sport in this country.

Mike McNees

Mike McNees appears to be another quality selection to the Board, but for different reasons.  Outside of a short stint as USA Track & Field’s Chief Operating Officer he’s mostly worked as a city manager for several mid-sized cities.  He surely learned a lot about the effective operation of a sports federation during that time and he was even the acting CEO during a critical transition period.  This short mention by noted Olympic columnist, Alan Abrahamson describe McNees as someone “who has kept things moving steadily, quietly forward, seeking little screen credit.”  Based on his background and this short commentary he could be an ideal independent director.  Someone with no dog in the fight, who has been in the trenches with another Federation and who could quietly apply some real world management oversight to USA Team Handball.

Bob Djokovich

With the selection of Bob Djokovich the Board adds a distinguished handball veteran who also has been a successful manufacturing executive.  The captain of the 1984 U.S. Olympic Team, he is generally considered to be one of the best players in U.S. history.  (In my book, certainly the best Center Back this country has ever had.)  Djokovich is also a former USATH Board President and will surely be able to bring that experience to bear as the new Board weighs decisions going forward.

Nominating & Governance Committee Process

While I personally think Djokovich is a great addition to the Board, I would be remiss if I didn’t address how his selection by the Nominating & Governance Committee might be called into question for a couple of reasons.  The first reason is procedural and relates to Djokovich being appointed to the Nominating & Governance Committee earlier this year in April.  The Nominating & Governance Committee was tasked with selecting the 3 Independent Directors and the Federation By-Laws clear state in section 8.10.5 that

“No individual who serves on the Nominating and Governance Committee may serve or be eligible to serve on the Board of Directors.”

The recent announcement on the Federation website commends the Committee for its work, but notably, the original 5 member committee has been reduced to 4 members (minus Djokovich).  I suppose if Djokovich resigned from the Committee it skirts that provision for technical reasons, but it’s hard to see how it doesn’t violate the spirit of the provision.

Setting aside that procedural issue, however, it should also not be forgotten that in 2004 Djokovich lost his re-election bid for USA Team Handball President.  In hindsight this outcome was disastrous as follow on events eventually led to the USOC’s decertification of USA Team Handball.  Still, it was essentially a referendum on his four years as President and it would have been more appropriate in my opinion for him to run as a Membership Candidate.  In doing so he could very well have had a resounding and redemptive victory.  Instead his selection (rather than election) has a somewhat hollow feel to it.

If you read the by-laws, however, the Nominating & Governance Committee is empowered to select almost anyone on the planet to serve as an Independent Director.  Adding two true Handball outsiders (Schiller and McNees) and one Handball veteran (Djokovich) may be just the right mix in terms of  what is needed.  I for one, certainly can’t complain about the outcome.

(Editor’s note:  I’ve reached out to USA Team Handball CEO, Matt Van Houten regarding the procedural issues related to Djokovich’s selection and I will update this post when I have further information.)

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Moneyball Handball Part 3: USA Team Handball Recruiting (Past, Present and Future): Time for a Change in Mindset

Despite a questionable decision in the closing minutes of the Auburn – Alabama football game, Alabama Coach Nick Saban is considered to be a pretty good sideline coach.  Where he truly excels, though, is in behind the scenes recruiting to convince 5 star athletes to come play at Alabama.  Arguably, a good recruiting program is the single most important factor in determining a collegiate program's success.  It's also the key to USA Team Handball success and more emphasis is clearly needed in that department.

Despite a questionable decision in the closing minutes of the Auburn – Alabama football game, Alabama Coach Nick Saban is considered to be a pretty good sideline coach. Where he truly excels, though, is in behind the scenes recruiting to convince 5 star athletes to come play at Alabama. Arguably, a good recruiting program is the single most important factor in determining a collegiate program’s success. It’s also the key to USA Team Handball success and more emphasis is clearly needed in that department.

As I reviewed parts 1 and 2, it became clear to me that while I was zeroing in on the envelope for USA Team Handball recruiting, that I had neglected to define what recruiting means in the first place.  So stepping back a bit here’s the Merriam-Webster Definition:  Link 

  1. to find suitable people and get them to join a company, an organization, the armed forces, etc.
  2. to form or build (a group, team, army, etc.) by getting people to join
  3. to persuade (someone) to join you in some activity or to help you

Keep this definition in mind as I take a closer look at USA Team Handball recruitment, past, present and future.

Athlete Recruitment for USA Team Handball (Historical)

First, here’s a brief review of how USA Team Handball has recruited in the past.  For the most part athletes came from the following sources:

Military Athletes: The U.S. military at different times has identified national team players through tryouts.  Most notably, several members of the 1972 Men’s Olympic Team were identified through a U.S. Army program.  Over the years other athletes have been identified by U.S. military programs for National Team tryouts and have become members of the U.S. National Team.   (Note:  This category doesn’t include collegiate athletes from West Point and Air Force Academy.)

College Club Athletes: Several athletes that played Team Handball for collegiate clubs have gone on to play for the national team.  Historically, three clubs, West Point, Air Force and North Carolina have provided the bulk of those athletes.

Club Based Athletes: Non collegiate clubs have also identified and developed athletes that have moved on to the National Team.  The New York Athletic Club (formerly known as Garden City) has been the most successful in this regard developing several athletes in the 70s, 80s and 90s.  The Condors (both the California and Atlanta incarnations) were perhaps a distant second.

Dual Citizen Athletes: In most cases these athletes are American citizens who have lived and developed their handball skills in Europe.  Recruiting has primarily consisted of advertising that the U.S. was looking for handball players with a U.S. Passport.  Prior to the advent of the internet this was done through letter writing campaigns to European Federations.  Additionally, many Americans over the years have self-identified their availability to the Federation and the internet has made it much easier to find these athletes.  Finally, a handful of athletes have played for U.S. National Teams after moving to the U.S. and obtaining citizenship.

Post College Career Athletes: This category consists of collegiate athletes with virtually no prior Team Handball training.  Many of these athletes were identified through letter writing campaigns to college coaches in other sports like basketball, football and volleyball.  The letter would identify the qualities desired and provide dates for a tryout.  Athletes that answered the call were provided room and board at the Olympic Training Center and in a few instances, even provided with transportation costs.  Another prime recruiting opportunity were national team tryouts for other sports conducted at the Olympic Training Center in Colorado Springs.  The Women’s program, in particular, identified several top players who were introduced to the sport while unsuccessfully trying out for basketball teams.

Olympic Festivals:  Another important tool for recruitment was the Olympic Festivals that were held from 1978 to 1995 in non-Olympic years.  In total, 120 athletes (60 men/60 women from all of the above categories participated in these two week events that provided structured training and competition.  Selection to the regional teams was competitive and the Festivals were undoubtedly the single most effective tool for recruitment and player evaluation at levels below the national team.

Athlete Recruitment for USA Team Handball (Recent and Current)

In more recent times recruitment has focused heavily on dual citizen and club athletes.  I would assess that USA Team Handball has by now most likely identified every passport carrying citizen with decent handball ability and done a pretty good job at convincing them to wear a U.S. uniform.  Collegiate club athletes have primarily come from 3 programs (West Point, Air Force and North Carolina) with the service academy graduates having the additional benefit of financial support from the military’s World Class Athlete Program (WCAP).  A handful of athletes have also come from at large clubs with many of those athletes picking up the sport and joining local clubs after having seen Team Handball on TV during the 2008 or 2012 Olympic Games.

With few exceptions, however, the bulk of these athletes haven’t involved much recruitment effort.  At least, not by the dictionary definition.  In most cases these athletes were already committed to the sport and were essentially just raising their hands and asking to be considered for USA National Teams. In some respects this shouldn’t be too surprising:  Recruiting the already committed is a piece of cake, while recruiting brand new athletes (such as post collegiate athletes) is always going to be more of a challenge.  And, asking newcomers to pay all their costs to attend tryouts when there’s no clear path forward was probably a near impossible sales pitch. 

Athlete Recruitment for USA Team Handball (Going Forward)

With a Residency Program now in place, however, USA Team Handball can now sell prospective recruits on a pathway for further development.  Assuming the Residency Programs follow the basic tenets of previous incarnations athletes can be assured that they will be provided with a good training environment and the opportunity to represent their country in international competitions.  Auburn University is also a brand name school with both a great sporting and academic reputation.  There are now enough positives to make a credible pitch. Credible, but still challenging and additional benefits like scholarships, room/board and stipends would certainly help especially when competing for talent against other college and post college options for athletes.  Quite frankly, in my opinion, it’s very uncertain whether USA Team Handball can successfully recruit the athletes needed (younger with more raw athletic ability) without those types of benefits, but it’s too late to backtrack.  For better or for worse the decision to move forward quickly with Residency Programs has been made.

To make the expense of a Residency Programs truly worthwhile it needs to populated with great athletes with great potential.  It may be tough to make that happen, but one thing is for sure.  It has no chance of happening without a dramatic change in mindset as to what recruiting means for USA Team Handball.  USA Team Handball cannot  be satisfied with simply announcing open tryouts on its website and then hoping some good prospects show up.  Maybe, that would be feasible if the U.S. had a substantial existing talent pool or a guaranteed Olympic slot, but neither of those are true.  More time and resources have to be dedicated to recruiting brand new prospects to make the trek to Auburn.  In short a change in mindset is needed.  One that clearly puts recruiting at the very top of the agenda.

This means effective talent identification methods that can scour the U.S. and find athletes that are

  1. As young as possible
  2. As athletically gifted as possible and
  3. Willing to consider playing Team Handball

This means effective talent evaluation methods to fully assess whether talent that has been identified is a good fit for USA Team Handball programs.  And, as we are talking about athletes prior to showing up for tryouts, this may even mean methods of evaluating athletes before seeing them play handball.

This means effective recruiting practices to proactively engage prospective talent and persuade them to commit to the USA Team Handball program.

Fortunately, USA Team Handball doesn’t have to write a new book on how to do effective recruiting.  The model is there in the tactics and techniques that U.S. College sports programs have developed into both an art and science over the years.  College recruiting is a big business and arguably recruiting is the most important aspect of a college coach’s job.  Why is this behind the scenes aspect of coaching so important?  Because while X’s and O’s are important and running finely tuned practices are important more often than not wins and losses are simply determined by which team has the better athletes.  That’s why college programs have assistant coaches fully dedicated to recruiting.  That’s why coaches like Nick Saban at Alabama are hitting the recruiting trail to make face to face pitches to potential recruits so that they join their program and to committed recruits so they don’t change their mind.  Coaches like Saban know they can’t win without the horses, so they pull out all the stops to get those horses.  And, USA Team Handball needs to adopt a similar mindset when it comes to recruiting.

USA Team Handball, of course, doesn’t have the resources of Alabama or Auburn football.  Why, it’s doubtful that it has the resources of Auburn softball or even some random NCAA Div 3 basketball program.  That being said USA Team Handball does have some advantages.  For instance, it doesn’t have to follow the voluminous NCAA recruiting handbook:  Link.  The U.S. is also a large country and USA Team Handball should be able to more effectively recruit nationwide than all but a handful of colleges.  As outlined in previous installments while we may be looking at only a small percentage of available athletes our large size means there’s still quite a few rocks to turn over in a search for athletic gems.  But, those rocks won’t turn over by themselves.  USA Team Handball needs to start working the recruiting game harder.

So, a change in mindset to put more emphasis on recruiting is in order and the practices used in college recruiting are the model to follow.  Easier said than done; In the next installment I’ll take a closer look at the college recruiting model and how it might be adapted to best fit the unique circumstances of USA Team Handball.

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Moneyball Handball: Part 2: Pushing the Outside of the Recruiting Envelope.

 

The blue boxes represent the recruiting envelope for USA Team Handball National Teams.  Where should the USA push the outside of the envelope?

The blue boxes represent the recruiting envelope for USA Team Handball National Teams. Where should the USA push the outside of the envelope?  (Answer: In the direction of the green arrow; not the red arrow)

In Part 1 I provided some top level definitions to define the types of potential athletes USA Team Handball should recruit.  In this installment I focus on the recruiting envelope or the athletes USA Team Handball can or should recruit.

As a former flight test engineer at Edwards AFB in California it should come as no surprise that one of my all-time favorite movies is “The Right Stuff.”  The movie which depicts the lives of test pilots and the first astronauts popularized the phrase, “pushing the outside of the envelope.”  The “envelope” refers to the flight envelope for an aircraft which is the combinations of speed and altitude an aircraft can fly during level flight.  Every airplane has limits based on its engines, aerodynamic characteristics and the altitude that it’s flying.  Inside the envelope the plane can fly.  Outside the envelope is where the plane can’t fly.  In theory, this envelope can be determined by engineers.  In reality, however, it needs to be tested and that’s where the test pilot pushes the outside of the envelope by flying higher and/or faster than the paper design.

This graph depicts a flight envelope and you can perhaps see how I’ve adapted it to create a team handball recruiting envelope with “speed” and “altitude” being replaced with “raw athletic ability” and “age.”  The blue boxes are the recruiting envelope.  Inside this envelope are the athletes that USA Team Handball can or should recruit.  But, just like a test pilot, USA Team Handball can push that recruiting envelope.

The “Should Recruit” Line

On the top left hand side of the recruiting envelope is the “should recruit” line.  Above the line are athletes that should not be recruited because are either “too old to start,” have “insufficient athletic ability,” or in the worst case, both of those characteristics. Below the line are athletes that are should be recruited as they have the requisite athletic ability and enough time to develop into world class athletes.  As previously discussed it certainly can be debated as to where these lines should be drawn, but such lines surely exist.  I doubt that anybody thinks USA Team Handball should be recruiting 35 year old athletes or athletes that couldn’t earn a varsity letter in high school.  It gets a little more muddled, however, when we started talking about athletes in their mid 20s with respectable athletic skills.  Certainly, USA Team Handball could push the envelope along this line by recruiting older athletes or athletes with borderline athletic skills.  Maybe there are some outliers that will stick with the program into their late 20s or early 30s to become productive national team members.  Maybe there are some hard workers of modest athletic ability that will develop the requisite handball skills.

Historically, USA Team Handball has indeed pushed the envelope along this line.  Why?  Well, because if your talent pool is thin and you are limited in what you can offer prospective athletes it might be the only way to field a national team.  Further, if you establish a residency program you need at least 14 athletes to conduct decent practices and scrimmage.  It remains to be seen whether the current incarnation of U.S. National Team residency programs pushes this envelope line too much.  Certainly, given the current state of the USA talent pool it won’t be too surprising if this line is crossed quite a bit to start out.  As the program matures, however, crossing this line should become the rare exception.

The “Athlete Available” Line

On the bottom right hand side of the recruiting envelope is the “athlete available” line.  Above the line are athletes that are readily available to be recruited since they are not currently competing in either high school or college athletics.  Below the line are athletes that are unavailable because they are focused on high school or college athletics.  But, are all of these athletes truly unavailable?  Is this a solid line that can’t be crossed or can USA Team Handball push the envelope here to snag some quality athletes at younger ages?

The answer is that it can indeed be done.  In fact, it has to be done if the U.S. wants to become more competitive.  In particular, waiting for the best athletes to become available after their collegiate careers are over at age 22 will time and time again result in eventually losing too many of  those athletes to “life decisions” to pursue other activities.  This isn’t theoretical conjecture and anyone who’s followed the sport in this country can think of dozens of high quality players who bowed out of the sport in their mid to late 20s.  More recently, I discussed this very issue with USA Team Handball Circle Runner, Jordan Fithian. He’s not totally bowed out, but some life issues precluded him from signing a contract with a Div 2 German Bundesliga side.  (The relevant discussion starts around the 12:40 mark: Link)

It may not seem like a big deal to land a player at age 20 rather than age 22 or so, but those two years can make a world of difference on down the line.  It can easily be the difference between keeping an athlete focused on handball for two Olympic cycles, vice 1.  It could even change the calculus of a European club’s decision to offer an athlete a pro contract, and the U.S. actually keeping some world class players into their 30s.  Additionally, for many young adults graduation from college represents a turning point in their lives.  The thought process on future plans for many changes abruptly and the prospect of a handball adventure while appealing suddenly seems less practical.

Collegiate Athletes for Targeted Recruitment

But, how can top quality athletes be convinced to give up their collegiate careers for Team Handball?  Well, in many cases they can’t be.  In particular, it’s simply unrealistic to think that an athlete with a full ride scholarship to a Division I NCAA school could ever be convinced.  Fortunately, though, the percentage of collegiate athletes that fall into that category isn’t as high as one might think.  Many sports offer only partial scholarships and have rosters filled out with walk-ons with no scholarship.  Breaking it down further, here are some categories worthy of extra focus.

  • The high quality walk-on.  Often the term walk-on immediately conjures images of perhaps the most famous walk-on of all time, Rudy.  Let’s be clear, USA Team Handball does not need or want any Rudy’s on its roster.  Perhaps the right attitude, but clearly Rudy lacked in terms in raw athletic ability.  No, instead the focus should be on the high quality walk-on.  The type of athlete that could have played and might have even starred in Div II or Div III, but for whatever reason, chose to seize the brass ring and play Div 1.  In their junior year when it becomes clear that they are never going to be that walk-on who surprises and makes the big time they could be enticed to give handball a try.
  • The marginal scholarship athlete.  Many Div 1 athletic careers don’t turn out the way that athlete hoped it would.  This happens for a number reasons.  Sometimes the athlete isn’t good enough, has injuries or simply doesn’t get along with his coach.  When these athletes are relegated to the bench or sometimes even lose their scholarship altogether they should be ripe for the picking.
  • The motivated senior (not good enough for a pro career). Some athletes have productive, but modest careers all four years of college. They’ve been dedicated to their chosen sport, but just don’t have the skill required to continue playing at a professional level.  This is the type of athlete USA Team Handball has recruited for years, but rather than waiting for graduation the recruiting campaign to secure this player’s interest starts earlier while the athlete is still in school and hungry to continue competing.

Characteristics to Consider

While plenty of athletes fit these categories not every athlete should be targeted.  Instead a little investigation is needed to further assess whether an athlete might be a good candidate.  Some characteristics to consider are:

  • Multi-Sport athlete. A good indication as to whether an athlete might make a good handball player is whether the athlete has played and excelled at multiple sports.  This is because playing multiple sports suggests adaptability and the ability to perhaps pick up a new sport more quickly.
  • Handball build and skills.  This is not easily definable in words, but some athletes just look and move like a handball player.  And they just may be the type of athlete that is pretty good at his current sport, but could be perfectly suited for handball.
  • Whole person traits: This includes many traits such as leadership, hard working, team player, fondness for Olympic ideals and worldliness.  Playing on a USA National Team will not be a pampered experience and will involve personal sacrifice.  Team players are definitely a requirement for this team game.  Athletes with a fondness for Olympic ideals, a desire to see the world and wear a USA on the back of their shirt are also more likely to fit in and stick around.  Again these traits are not necessarily easy to define, but should be factored in.

A Simple Investigation:  Auburn Football

Last Saturday, nearly 88,000 fans poured into Jordan-Hare Stadium to watch Auburn upset Alabama in one of the more remarkable endings in college football history.   In attendance were some of the current members of the USA National Team Residency Program which has been started on the campus there.  But, might there also be some future handball players on the field or standing on the sidelines for the Auburn football team?   Some athletes that fit the rough categories and characteristics that I’ve identified above?

Focusing on the QB and Tight End positions which I previously highlighted there might indeed be some candidates worthy of further investigation.  Using the roster and depth chart of the Auburn football team and a little bit of internet searching I’ve identified a few prospects.  To the best of my knowledge none of these athletes have played a single down for Auburn so far in their collegiate careers.

  • Ben Durand:  A 6’3’’ sophomore walk on QB who starred in four sports in High School.  The most famous pass he’s thrown at Auburn was one over the jumbotron.  I’m guessing he could probably throw a handball fairly well too.
    Auburn Football Profile: Link
    Hometown Newspaper story: Link
  • Wirth Campbell: A 6’3” walk on TE who also played QB in High School.  Somebody that apparently can play both of the targeted football positions that often make good handball players.
    Auburn Football Profile: Link
  • Wade Norberg:  A 6’6’’ TE who played junior college football and basketball in high school.  At 210 lbs he needs to bulk up for football, but probably less so for team handball.
    Auburn Football Profile: Link
    Hometown Newspaper Story: Link

Who knows whether further investigation would lead to an assessment that they are strong candidates for USA Team Handball?  Or, for that matter that their long shot bids for Div 1 participation materialize with a break out performance during Spring Football?  Identification and recruitment inevitably leads to many, many dead ends.  The good news is that this is just an assessment of 3 players on the 113 man Auburn roster.    Surely, there’s a few more for consideration at other positions and at other sports and at other colleges.

But, a top level identification of potential recruits is just the first step.  In the next installment I’ll address the challenges of identifying, recruiting and convincing athletes to give team handball a try. 

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Moneyball Handball: Part 1: Broad Categories for Athlete Evaluation

AthleteEvalToplevel

The blue boxes are the target. Is the U.S. finding enough athletes that meet these age and athletic ability definitions?

In 2003, Michael Lewis wrote a book (recently turned into a movie) that revolutionized Major League Baseball (MLB), titled, “Moneyball: The Art of Winning an Unfair Game.” The book chronicles how the Oakland A’s, a small market team was able to use advanced statistical analysis to compete with MLB franchises with far greater resources.  The crux of their strategy was identifying players that were undervalued by other franchises and then strategically adding those players to their roster.

While the sport of Team Handball does not lend itself to in-depth statistical analysis, the subtitle to the book, “The art of winning an unfair game” immediately hit home to me as an American fan of the sport.  And the “unfair game” that is so self-evident is the challenge of identifying, convincing and training athletes into world class team handball athletes.  Team Handball in this country has paltry resources, practically no exposure and accordingly, a very, very thin talent pool to draw from.  How can the sport even begin to compete against other sports in this country like basketball and football for athletes?  Seriously, by comparison Billy Beane and the Oakland A’s have it way too easy in my opinion.

But, while it’s a difficult challenge it’s not entirely impossible.  Team Handball is a great game, fun to watch and play and with the carrot of being an Olympic athlete, the U.S. has found some diamonds in the rough. In most cases these athletes have been crossover athletes that decided to give Team Handball a try after their collegiate or high school athletic careers were finished.  Indeed, targeted recruitment of such athletes is the only viable solution if you want to improve national team performance in the near term.  I, and others, have repeatedly argued that it’s a short term solution with some major limitations and significant long term drawbacks, but that’s not the focus for this particular commentary.  The focus instead is how to make targeted recruiting work as well as possible.  In other words, how can USA Team Handball apply some Moneyball like tactics to get the best players possible?

Two Basic Axioms

Before, I delve into the details I’ll first postulate that there are two basic axioms in regards to the types of athletes USA Team Handball wants to recruit for national team consideration:

  1. USA Team Handball wants to recruit the best possible athletes to devote themselves to the sport
  2. USA Team Handball wants those athletes to commit themselves to the sport at the youngest ages possible

I think that few people would argue with the validity of these two premises.  The first one surely needs no further explanation.  And as far as the second axiom goes the desire to recruit athletes as young as possible relates to the time involved in learning the finer points of the game.  It can take several years to take raw athletic talent and turn it into handball talent.  The younger a player starts that process the sooner he/she will develop into a world class talent that can contribute to the national team.  And, in turn the more years that player will likely be able to contribute.

Defining the X and Y Axes 

Taking the two basic axioms into account it’s possible to graphically depict those two factors (age and raw athletic ability) along an X and Y axes:

X Axis (Raw Athletic Ability):  For illustrative purposes, I’ve depicted raw athletic ability from 0-10.  Defining a “10” is relatively easy.  Think Cam Newton, Lebron James or any number of professional athletes that if they chose to play team handball would be can’t miss world class players.  (OK, maybe there’s no such thing as a “can’t miss player,” but you get the picture.)  Defining the numbers down, however, is more challenging and way wide open for debate. For the purposes of discussion I decided to limit the pool of athletes to include only those that take their sporting endeavors fairly seriously.  In other words a “1” in this instance is not someone that doesn’t play any sports, but perhaps an athlete who was a minor contributor in high school.  Athletes from “5-9” are pretty good athletes, many perhaps the best athletes on their high school teams, but just not quite good enough to play collegiate sports at the highest level.  Athletes from “9 to 9.8” are closer to the top of the pyramid and were granted scholarships to Div 1 NCAA schools. Athletes in the “9.8 and higher” category are of the “can’t miss” variety and go on to pro careers.  I’ll be the first to state these numbers are arbitrary and the lines could be drawn differently.  In particular, if you want to really define the athlete population more accurately, the delineations that I start at “5.0” could start at “9.5” or even higher.  Additionally, many athletes develop sport specific skills that trump their limited raw athletic ability and allow them to compete in college.

Y Axis (Age):  Defining the age of athletes is pretty definitive. Unless, we’re talking about some Latin American baseball prospects, we know exactly how old athletes are.  There certainly can be some debate as to how much the age of an athlete matters, but there can be no debate that it matters.  For the purposes of discussion I broke the chart out into 4 distinct blocks of 4 years.  Conveniently, this delineates two fairly well defined periods of athletic endeavors for many athletes in the U.S.:  High School and college.

The Non Candidates 

As you look upon the X and Y axes several areas where USA Team Handball should not focus for target recruited can be readily identified.  I’ve grouped these would be potential candidates into the following categories:

Insufficient Athletic Ability:  The largest area of the chart is composed of athletes that simply do not have the raw athletic talent that will ever allow them to be productive and contributing members to USA national teams.  This may seem a rather cold indictment that doesn’t take into account an individual’s motivation and determination, but it is a reality for many, many athletes.  To be sure it’s not always easy to delineate where the line is.  While it may be easy when an athlete is a “1”, it’s not so easy when an athlete is a “6.5” and a real hard worker.

High School Athletes (with collegiate aspirations):  This area is composed of the top tier of high school athletes and virtually every future U.S. National Team players (with the exception of dual citizens) will spend their ages 14-18 playing high school sports other than team handball.  While it certainly would be desirable to get these athletes playing team handball seriously at these ages it is currently nearly impossible to do so.  Perhaps some pilot programs could be started, but it will be challenging to do so in the near term in significant numbers.

Collegiate Athletes:  This area is composed of athletes that have made collegiate teams and continue to play their primary sport from ages 18-22.  In most instances these athletes are on the higher end of the raw athletic ability scale (9-10).  The logic being that college teams are somewhat cold-hearted in their approach.  (i.e., they don’t waste limited scholarships on athletes with lower ability when they can get athletes with greater ability and potential.)  Again, while it would be nice to get these athletes to play team handball, they are largely unavailable until age 22 or so.  Perhaps it might be feasible if our residency programs could offer full ride scholarships and regular competition, but barring that it’s very unlikely a scholarship athlete would choose to abandon his/her current sport.

Pro Athletes:  This tiny sliver of athletes represent the elite of the elite.  It goes without saying that prying any of these athletes away is by and large Fantasyland.

Too Old to Start:  This area is composed of athletes that could have been great candidates for USA national teams, but have reached an age whereby it is increasingly unlikely that they will develop the requisite handball skills before their athletic skills decline or “life issues” result in them moving on to other endeavors.  It’s certainly debatable as to where this line should be drawn.  I’ve assessed that for high school cross over athletes that line should be drawn at age 23-24 and that for college cross over athletes it should be around age 25 or so.  Arguments can be made to draw those lines at younger or older ages, but lines should be drawn somewhere.

The Candidates

By the process of elimination there are then two small boxes where USA Team Handball should focus its efforts for targeted recruitment:

Post High School Cross Over Athletes:  This group consists of talented athletes who have not made collegiate teams in their chosen primary sport.  In many instances this was because they simply were not good enough to obtain a college scholarship.  Accordingly, these athletes will tend to fall a little lower on the scale of raw athletic ability.  While it would be preferable to get athletes further to the right of the scale those athletes will be harder to come by.  This disadvantage, however, can be offset by the younger age that they start focusing on team handball.  With more time to work with its possible that they will be able to offset their lower raw athletic ability with greater handball skills and technique.

Post College Cross Over Athletes:  This group consists of exceptional athletes who either weren’t good enough for a professional career or play a sport with limited professional options.  Historically, this is where USA Team Handball hasn’t gotten most of its top national team athletes.  Given enough time to develop and train these athletes the USA was able to field national teams that were competitive.

Theory vs. Reality

While I doubt that USA Team Handball has ever drawn lines on a graph or identified hard cut lines in terms of ages or athletic ability National Team rosters decisions have undoubtedly been made along these lines in the past.  All too often, however, circumstances related to a very thin talent pool have moved the lines too far to the left or the top of the chart.  In other words, USA Team Handball has often had rosters with too many athletes that were either too old or didn’t have sufficient athletic ability.  Comfortably ensconced in middle age I’ll declare that I myself, might very well have been in both categories during my short stint on the U.S. National Team.  For sure, I was in the upper left hand corner of the post high school crossover box.

And looking at today’s national team player pools I’ll generously assess that both the men’s and women’s teams are rife with players in that upper left hand corner of the crossover high school and college boxes.  Throw out the dual citizen athletes and it paints a pretty bleak picture.   And, if you add in that reality that Rio 2016 is a long shot at best and the more realistic focus is Tokyo 2020 then only a handful of athletes in our current player pool even have a realistic chance of being Olympians some day.

All of this points to a dramatic need to move from the upper left corner of the chart to the bottom right hand corner.  Younger and better athletes.  Duh, a no-brainer.  Easier said than done for sure.  In the next installment I’ll delve into some Moneyball Handball analysis and recruitment tactics, however, that just might make it possible.

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American Football and Team Handball (Part 2): The historical pipeline and positions to target

 

American Football to Team Handball:  Which positions are most likely to provide the best candidates to transistion to team handball?

American Football to Team Handball: Which positions are most likely to provide the best candidates to transition to team handball?

ehfTV recently had a profile on Danish Center Back, Rasmus Lauge Schmidt and his passion for American Football.  In part 1 I took a look at the development of American Football in Europe as an example of how an alien sport can develop in an unlikely place.  So much so, that there are even a few German players playing in the NFL. In this second part I take a look at the American Football to Team Handball pipeline and assess which football positions are the most likely to yield good team handball athletes.

An Historically Narrow Pipeline 

My investigation of Europeans making NFL rosters caused me to reflect a bit regarding U.S. National Team players that had crossed over from American Football to Team Handball.  While basketball has always been the most prominent cross over sport, there’s also been a few football athletes of note.  From the 70s and 80s, Joe Story, one of USA Team Handball’s best ever wings played wide receiver at then NAIA Willamette University. From my era in 80s and 90s, Olympian John Keller was a tight end at Div 1 North Carolina and Joe Fitzgerald played QB at Div 3, Ithaca College.  More recently, Mark Ortega played wide receiver at then NAIA Malone College and Lewis Howes played wide receiver at Div 3 Principia and Capital colleges.  Howes even played a season of professional football, albeit for the Alabama Vipers in the AF2, the former development league for the Arena Football League. (So, a minor league of a minor league, but hey, if you’re getting paid to play, you’re a professional and that’s saying something.)

Perhaps, I’m missing some notable football players that also crossed over to Team Handball, but it’s fairly clear that this pipeline hasn’t been much of a pipeline. More accurately it’s been a narrow pipe with just a trickle of water coming out. As someone who played 10 years of organized football, I’ll put forward two closely related reasons for this narrow pipeline. First off, the type of skills learned in football for the most part only tangentially apply to Team Handball. The blocking and tackling which are an integral part of the game have no application to Team Handball. And the passing and catching at the skill positions only tangentially applies. This doesn’t mean a football player can’t become a good handball player. Just means that very little that is learned in football training can be readily applied in a handball context.

Closely related to the first reason regarding minimal crossover skills between the two sports is the natural gravitation of athletes to sports where they are more likely to excel. Again, there are quite a few athletes that can excel at multiple sports, but whether it be their body type, arm strength, jumping ability, speed or hand-eye coordination there are aspects of every athlete that often steer them towards a particular sport. Accordingly, many of the athletes that naturally gravitated to football aren’t the type of athletes that would make great handball players.

Certainly, I don’t think too many people would argue that very few interior lineman on both sides of the ball have the makings of handball stardom.  Perhaps, there might be a few circle runners along the lines of  Hungary’s Gyula Gal, but that would be the exception rather than the rule.  To a lesser degree, linebackers, defensive ends and up the middle running backs are probably in the same boat, but if they totally reshaped their bodies they could maybe become decent handball players.  This leaves defensive backs and skill positions and indeed that’s where the U.S crossover players have come from.  And, if USA Team handball is interested in targeting football athletes I would argue that there are 2 football player positions worthy of specific targeting.

Pipeline Target #1: The Tight End

A while back, the Hang Up and Listen Podcast created all-star handball squads from pro sports and they selected several quarterbacks and tight ends for their teams.  Not exactly rocket science and as a former tight end I can attest that this is where the tall lanky guy who can somewhat reliably catch a football is placed.  What’s striking of late has been the successful and relative speedy transition of decent, but undersized college basketball centers into outstanding NFL tight ends.  Jimmy Graham of the New Orleans Saints is the best example and this video and article provide more detail on his conversion.  I have no idea as to whether Jimmy Graham could have been converted into a decent backcourt player, but I think with a couple months training plenty of teams could find room on their roster for him as a defensive specialist.  Train him for a year or two and he would likely be a pretty decent circle runner.

Unfortunately, I wouldn’t bank on USA Team Handball convincing Jimmy Graham to drop his multi-million dollar contract to play handball. What might be interesting, however, is investigating the 2nd and 3rd string tight ends currently playing collegiate football. Those players by virtue of their current spots on the depth chart have probably already assessed (accurately) that they aren’t going to the NFL or even the CFL or AFL. With 249 Div 1 (FCS and FBS schools) that’s roughly 500 athletes to investigate and recruit. It’s a numbers game, but chances are that some sliver of that targeted group would have both the interest and the raw skill to be great handball players. A Jimmy Graham (sort of in reverse) if you will. The decent college football player (not good enough for the NFL) who could be a great handball player. Or, even better, if we are interested in getting athletes at younger ages, the decent high school football player (not good enough for NCAA D1).

Pipeline Target #2: The Mobile QB

The other interesting position to target is the QB. For a number of reasons this has always been a position to target. In particular, as throwing is an inherent part of the position, generally a QB has a decent throwing arm and often a phenomenal one. The position also, perhaps more than any position in all other sports, requires a great deal of intelligence and quick decision making under pressure. What makes the position even more of a target today, however, is the evolution of the game to put more of a premium on QB mobility. The days of the pocket passer standing still looking for targets down field are waning. Instead, the QB that can also find holes and dodge tacklers is more desired. And without a doubt those skills translate well to team handball. Tom Brady and Peyton Manning might have made decent handball players, but there’s little doubt in my mind that Colin Kaepernick and Cam Newton would have been great handball players. (And as a short aside, one of USA Team Handball’s greatest players, Darrick Heath was a pretty good HS QB in that mold. Makes me wonder if he had been coming of age in 2013 whether he would have played football in college instead of hoops.)

But, again the idea of Kaepernick and Newton picking up handball is totally Fantasyland. Even the possibility of a failed NFL quarterback like Tim Tebow is an unlikely prospect as long as the carrot of the NFL is out there. No, realistically USA Team Handball needs to drop down a few levels in terms of expectation. Every college team keeps several QBs on their roster and amongst the 500 or so back up QBs there are surely some prospects worth considering.

But, how can USA Team Handball go about finding those would be converted tight ends and quarterbacks?  What sort of recruiting strategy should be implemented?  In the next installment I take a closer look at what I like to call “Moneyball” Handball.

Editor’s note: This article was updated to include Joe Story to the list of former college football players.