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Men’s Gold Medal Match: Live Chat

I’ll be leading a live chat during the Gold Medal match which starts at 10:00 AM, Eastern time.  It looks like NBC is only go air parts of the match live on the NBC Sports Network, so I’ll start of f with the NBC webstream, then switch to traditional TV when it becomes available.

I’ll have a microphone, but won’t use it when the TV broadcast is up.  Everyone who joins the ustream feed will be able to ask questions and comment via text.

Ustream Link: http://www.ustream.tv/channel/team-handball

NBC Weblink: http://www.nbcolympics.com/liveextra/video-watch.html?video=men-medal-matches-placements-gold

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Move over Fatsis, Scott Van Pelt is the new mainstream media Handball King

ESPN's "Home for Handball"

For several year’s NPR’s Stefan Fatsis has proudly worn the mantle as Team Handball’s #1 mainstream media proponent and fan.  But coming on strong and aided by the nationwide blowtorch that is ESPN Radio is Scott Van Pelt, who’s show airs from 1:00 – 4:00 PM, Eastern Time.  Van Pelt and his crew talk about the sport daily and he’s now even sporting USA Team Handball gear.  A shout even to Ulrik Wilbek.  Who’d a thunk it.

But with such a mantle also comes great responsibility. All one has to do is look at early morning offering on any of the ESPN family of networks and quickly conclude that if ESPN wants to be the “Home of Handball” there’s plenty of room to start broadcasting.  Or at the very least get some broadcasts on ESPN3 or ESPN Live or whatever ESPN is now calling their webstreaming channel.  Hey, it’s been done before as the 2009 World Championship final was broadcast online at ESPN360.  I was also told a couple of years ago that ESPN was sitting on the rights for the Liga Asobal, the Spanish Professional League.  Finally, the EHF Champions League is there for the taking if ESPN wants it.

So Scott Van Pelt:  Are you up to the challenge? Are you going to continue to talk Handball after Sunday?  Are you going to shepherd the broadcasting of the sport at ESPN?  Or are we going to spend another 4 years waiting until Rio?

Scott Van Pelt Show Website:  http://espn.go.com/espnradio/show?showId=scottvanpelt2009

Link to show podcasts: http://sports.espn.go.com/espnradio/podcast/archive?id=3028618

Scott Van Pelt Twitter: https://twitter.com/SVPshow (Note the current moniker)

 

 

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Audio: 1972 Olympians reflect on the Munich games and more

72 Team Handball Olympians (From left to right: Vinny Dicalogero, Rick Abrahamson, Dennis Berkholtz, Jim Rogers and Joel Voelkert

This past weekend members of the 1972 Men’s Olympic Team Handball squad gathered in Las Vegas for their 40 year reunion.  Vinny Dicalogero, Rick Abrahamson, Dennis Berkholtz, Jim Rogers and Joel Voelkert sat down with me to reminisce about their “glory days.”  How the team was formed, how they prepared for the games, their qualification tournament in front of a packed house in Elkhart, Indiana, their experiences in Munich and their thoughts about what’s happened with Team Handball in the U.S. in the past 40 years.It’s an hour long, but well worth the history listen.  I suggest you use it as your sound track while watching the 2012 Olympics online.

1972 Results

Group Play (0-3)
USA vs. Hungary 15:28 (8:16)
USA vs. Yugoslavia  15:25 (9:11)
USA vs. Japan 16:20 (9:9)

Placement 13-16th place
Semi: USA vs. Spain 22:20 (8:11)
Final: USA vs. Denmark 18:19 (6:12)

Overall Placement: 14th out of 16 teams

 

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Men’s Quarterfinal Matchups: Croatia is the new favorite

Igor Vori and Croatia should easily advance to the semis

Here are the matchups for the Men’s quarterfinals on Wednesday.  Handicap (point spreads) are in parentheses

Upper Bracket
Iceland (-3)   vs. Hungary
Denmark (-2.5) vs. Sweden

Lower Bracket
France (-2) vs. Spain
Croatia (-7.5) vs. Tunisia

Updated Odds

Here are the updated odds for the 8 remaining teams to win it all:

Croatia: 1.8 to 1 (Pre-tournament: 5.5 to 1)
France:  2.8 to 1 (2 to 1)
Denmark: 4 to 1 (3.5 to 1)
Spain: 11 to 1 (5 to 1)
Iceland: 14 to 1 (19 to 1)
Sweden: 39 to 1 (40 to 1)
Hungary: 50 to 1 (40 to 1)
Tunisia: 2000 to 1 (550 to 1)

Worth noting:  Croatia is the new favorite and they clearly played the best in group play.  Assuming France survives Spain the oddsmakers seem to think that the semifinal between France and Croatia might be the real final.  Denmark is favored out of the other bracket, but Iceland may again be the surprise team.

Link to NBC schedule of online games: http://www.nbcolympics.com/online-listings/sport=handball/index.html

(Note:  If you are time shifting, be careful not to scroll down to far if you want to avoid seeing who’s in the semifinals.)

Personal note: 4 quarterfinal knockout matches to watch.  Time to head into the time shifting tank.  No twitter, facebook and email reading for this fan!

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Women’s Quarterfinal Matchups: Norway, Russia, Brazil and Korea in the “Bracket of Death”

Chouette! We've avoided the Bracket de la mort!

Here are the matchups for the Women’s quarterfinals on Tuesday.  Handicap (point spreads) are in parentheses

Upper Bracket
Brazil vs. Norway (-1.5)
South Korea vs. Russia (-1.5)

Lower Bracket
Croatia (-.5) vs. Spain
Montenegro vs. France (-1.5)

Badminton tactics?: Conspiracy theorists are accusing Norway of some badminton-like tactics after their 25-20 loss to Spain in their final group play game.  A win would have placed Norway in 2nd place and set up a quarter final show down against Russia.  Norway and Russia have been the top two women’s teams in recent years and they were the oddsmaker’s top two pre-tournament favorites.  Norway’s loss, however, dropped them to fourth place and they will now play surprising Brazil.  Brazil has been playing well, though, so who’s to say whether that really is a better matchup.

Updated Odds: Here are the updated odds for the 8 remaining teams to win it all:

France:  2.5 to 1 (Pre-tournament odds: 6.5 to 1)
Norway: 2.75 to 1 (1.75 to 1)
Russia: 4.5 to 1 (3.5 to 1)
Brazil: 14 to 1 (50 to 1)
South Korea: 14 to 1 (50 to 1)
Montenegro: 19 to 1 (7.5 to 1)
Spain: 20 to 1 (34 to 1)
Croatia: 20 to 1 (75 to 1)

Worth noting:  France is the new favorite, partially due to their strong performance, but also due to a very favorable bracket.  The next four teams (Norway, Russia, Brazil and South Korea) will now battle each other in the “bracket of death”.

Link to NBC schedule of online games: http://www.nbcolympics.com/online-listings/sport=handball/index.html

(Note:  If you are time shifting, be careful not to scroll down to far if you want to avoid seeing who’s in the semifinals.)

 

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AUDIO: NBC’s Dawn Lewis on the Olympics so far

Surprising Brazil wins their Group; Up next defending champion, Norway in the Quarterfinals

Women’s Group play has just concluded and the Men have just one more round of games.  NBC Commentator and 1996 Olympian Dawn Allinger Lewis discusses the upcoming women’s quarterfinals and the men’s results so far.  Podcast length is 15 minutes.

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Why aren’t the U.S. National Teams at the London Olympics?: Part 2: Where do you find and/or how do you develop great Team Handball players?

Targeted recruiting for national teams or grass roots development? Or Both? And why is it so hard?

In Part 1, I provided some top level analysis as to why our current national teams didn’t qualify for the London Olympics.   This analysis simply looked at our current team and compared that team to former U.S. Olympic teams and our current Pan American competition.  That analysis highlighted that our current teams are lacking in the following areas: 1) Raw athletic talent, 2) Conditioning, 3) Individual technique/skills, 4) Team cohesion/experience, 5) Coaching strategy/preparation.  In this second part I start to look at the underlying reasons for failure.

The Underlying Reasons:   A complicated web they weave.

I’ve been asked a number of times over the years, just why the U.S. isn’t any good in Team Handball.  I usually reply with “How much time do you have and where should I start?”  As I started to map out the reasons on paper in a systematic way it became even more clear to me just how complicated it is as all of the reasons are interlocking in multiple ways so there is no clear root cause to failure.  In short, there is no straight line cause and effect like the old “For want of a nail” proverb by which if we just solve this one thing we’ll become a great handball nation.  Perhaps, some reasons like the lack of funding or lack of marketing exposure come close, but there is no “silver bullet” guaranteed to solve all the problems.

So, with that little diatribe in mind I would like to highlight 4 major underlying reasons worth further discussion.  Those 4 reasons are:

1) A lack of good handball athletes
2) A lack of marketing/awareness
3) A lack of funding
4) Ineffective leadership/management

Underlying Reason #1:  A lack of good handball athletes

Perhaps the most obvious shortcoming to the U.S. National teams relates to a distinct lack of athlete with both the raw talent and technical skills to compete at higher levels.  There are two basic solutions or paths to address this problem:

1) Targeted Recruitment: You can recruit some good raw athletic talent and have a dedicated and intensive training program to build up their technical skills
2) Grass Roots:  You can develop broad based grass roots programs to increase the number of players in this country and out of those greater numbers some good athletes with strong technical skills will emerge.

Over the years the U.S. has tried both approaches to varying degrees of success.  In a series of articles I wrote 3 years ago, “A Framework for Creating USA National Team Success” Part 1, Part 2, Part 3, I provided an in depth review of some of the problems with each strategy and proposed a hybrid model for implementation.  Here is a somewhat shortened version of that analysis.

Targeted Recruitment:  The obvious solution?

With the Olympics going on various media observers have been watching the Handball matches and have been zeroing in on the Target Recruitment strategy.  All we need is NBA D-League players or mediocre NCAA talent from the Big Sky conference and train them up a little.  Even USA Team Handball is in the act taking the more modest approach of 1 (all we need is just 1) athlete from each NCAA conference.

It’s easy to see why so many people immediately come up with this strategy as one only has to watch the teams currently playing in London and assess that there are indeed thousands, if not tens of thousands of athletes in the U.S. with the raw athletic talent necessary to compete.  But, it’s just not that simple as there are a number of further underlying reasons:

1) Recruitment of the great raw talent athlete is only feasible when those athletes run out of other options:  Many observers fully realize this and that is why the more credible back of the napkin analysis focuses on athletes that aren’t going to make the big time.  Problem is you need to convince those athletes that they aren’t going to be the next D-Leaguer that isn’t going to make the NBA.

2) More athletes have more “other” options:  Not too many years ago the options for former NCAA athletes were pretty limited making an Olympic handball career an interesting possibility.  This is not as true anymore, particularly for basketball athletes who have a lot more options in Europe.  This article highlights how things have change over the years.

3) Older players are more likely to have “life issues” emerge:  Most great raw talent athletes at least having the option of playing their chosen sport in college.  This means the youngest athletes will be in 22-23 age range.  Certainly from a physicality standpoint this age is not a tremendous problem, but with each passing year athletes will inevitably have “life issues” play a greater and greater role in their overall psyche.  The possibility of marriage, needing to start a career or just waking up some morning and deciding that this training isn’t any fun anymore will come into play.

4) The Olympic carrot is less of a tangible reward:  In the past a USA Team Handball recruiter could confidently wave the Olympic carrot in front of a would be player.  Certainly at the 84 and 96 Olympics there was automatic qualification.  The competition in the Pan American region, however, is now much stiffer and some athletes will be less enticed when they realize that participating in the Olympics is far from a guarantee.

5) Lack of funding:  And right now the USA Federation has nowhere near the funding necessary to establish a credible training program for these would be recruits.  The programs in the 80s and 90s provided room and board, overseas travel opportunities and a small stipend.  With the other reasons outlined above even that model might not be sufficient enough to recruit the players needed.

Grass Roots:  Too hard and it takes too long?

While it’s not the solution du jour, Grass Roots strategies have garnered more weight at other times.  All we have to do is copy what soccer has done (or lacrosse, or rugby, or ultimate Frisbee) and then the sport will be popular in this country.  It’s not so simple and in this post I explained why.

Perhaps the biggest proponents to this strategy are the many expats who remember how they learned the sport at younger ages in their home country.  If we could do it in Elbonia then we can do it in the USA.   Grass Roots takes time, but it’s clearly the way to go if we want to have sustained success.  If you have thousands and thousands playing the sport, you will have great players that bubble up to the top and they will be doing so at age 18, not age 25.  But it’s not easy to develop these broad based programs.  Here are some of the reasons why.

1) Starting up a team sport from scratch isn’t easy:  Team Handball is a team game and you need a lot of players in order to have a good training environment.  We can probably quibble about just exactly how many are needed, but at least 10 is probably a good number.   Then, of course, you have to add the challenge of convincing people who’ve never played a sport before to suddenly decide to devote time and money to it.  The internet and Olympic telecast make such recruiting easier, but as anybody who’s ever started a club knows this is painstaking, unglamorous work.

2) Gym space is needed:  Finding a gym to play in can be a challenge as many in the U.S. were built for smaller basketball courts.  And then all those basketball leagues have to be contended with.  The cost of gym rental can be a crippling blow to new clubs which lack the numbers to share the costs.

3) The tyranny of distance:  The U.S. is a big country.  Even if a good club program is started in one particular city, that club often has to travel considerable distance to play another club.  This means that for real grass roots efforts to succeed that one club in a city often isn’t enough.  This is why to a certain extent that there is a little bit more concentration and development on the East Coast where the population has a bit more density.

4) The dominance of basketball: Team Handball is its own game and has similarities with a number of sports.  Still, it should be obvious that there is a great deal of similarity between the two games.  Not every good basketball player could be a good team handball player (and vice-versa), but there is a massive number of players that could choose either.  Basketball was invented in the U.S. and it’s our national indoor sport.  That’s not going to ever change and those would be athletes at younger ages are almost always going to select hoops over handball.

5) The physicality of team handball:  Team Handball can be a rough sport to play and it’s probably better suited for athletes in their teens.  Accordingly, it’s at a handicap compared to other sports like soccer where there is less injury, or at least the perception of less injury.

6) The pressure to succeed now: It’s a given that Grass Roots programs will not lead to immediate success.  In fact, you could argue that it will take at least 10 years to see any success translated to our national teams.  Meanwhile the USOC, a primary funding source for USA Team Handball, requests a yearly High Performance Plan which is supposed to outline how Team USA is going to win medals when the reality is that even qualifying at this point would be a tremendous success.  This pressure has always existed, so it’s not surprising that funding choices have often been made towards supporting National Teams rather than Grass Roots efforts.  And then when those National Teams have only moderate success (if even that) the Grass Roots proponents out in the sticks have complained, if only you had given me the resources I need, I would have developed several athletes that could make your national teams.

7) Lack of funding:  But, again the reality is that even if USA Team Handball zeroed out all funding for USA National Teams there still wouldn’t be enough seed money to support Grass Roots programs on the scale that is necessary.  Sure, it could be argued that these programs should be self-sufficient, but with the challenges outlined above assistance is needed to better enable success.

The Answer?

When you start to add up the underlying reasons it becomes fairly clear that both strategies have a lot of hurdles standing in the way of success.   As I noted in my framework series there are elements of both models that have merits, so that’s why I think some sort of a hybrid approach stand the best chance of success.  And I say best chance, because there are some other underlying reasons that would have to be resolved before any plan to field better teams has a good chance at success.  Those other areas include a lack of funding, a lack of exposure/marketing,  and yes, a history of ineffective leadership/managemen.  In Part 3, I first address the historical lack of funding.

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Why aren’t the USA men’s and women’s national teams at the 2012 Olympics?: Part 1: The simple analysis

Brazil scoring one of their 50 goals in their 50-10 victory over the USA last year at the PANAM Games. The USA will need to get a lot better if it wants to qualify for the Olympics.

I’m in the process of updating the Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) page and as this is easily the question of the moment, I thought it worthwhile to answer it.   In this first part, I simply review the qualification competition and analyze why the U.S. came up short.

Why aren’t the USA men’s and women’s national teams at the 2012 Olympics?

The simple answer:  They didn’t qualify (and they didn’t even come close).  There are two paths to qualification for the USA; either via the World Championships or the PANAM Games.  It’s a somewhat complicated process and the details are at these links (Men’s 2012 Qualification, Women’s 2012 Qualification).  By far, the simplest and easiest way for the USA to have qualified would have been to win the Handball Tournament at the PANAM Games.

At the 2011 PANAM Games the women finished 8th out of 8 teams, failing to win a single match.  In pool play they lost to the eventual winner and Olympic qualifier, Brazil by a score of 50-10.  There’s no way to sugar coat such a loss as it means that Brazil basically scored at will.  In their other 4 games the women were more competitive, but still lost by an average of 7 goals. (Details on PANAM Games Women’s Tournament)

The men fared slightly better and finished 7th out of 8 teams.  In pool play they lost 36-19 to the eventual winner and Olympic qualifier, Argentina.  Their other pool play and placement matches were relatively close.  They lost by 5 goals to eventual 4th place finisher, the Dominican Republic and lost by 1 goal to both Mexico and Canada.  In the 7th place game they managed to beat winless Venezuela by 4.    These margins of defeat make it abundantly clear that there was no realistic scenario by which either the men or women could have qualified for London. (Details on PANAM Games Men’s Tournament)

Why weren’t the U.S. teams more competitive? The U.S. has never been a world power, but in the 80s and 90s, the U.S. fielded competitive sides that were able to earn qualification to the Olympics.   What happened?  Why the lopsided scores?  As this is just the first of two parts, I’ll first give the direct causes of failure.  In thinking about how to best capture this I came up with 5 key areas that factor into how good a team is.  These 5 key factors are:

1) Raw athletic talent
2) Conditioning
3) Individual technique/skills
4) Team cohesion/experience
5) Coaching strategy/preparation

So here’s my assessment of our current national teams and where they stand, both in comparison to their current competition and USA teams of the 80s and 90s.  (Side Note: If this assessment comes across as a cranky old timer who thinks former USA teams walked on water, let me be clear on a couple of things.  I, personally was a border line national team player on a team that only was able to eke out a win and a draw in my 12 International Game; And those were against Canada.  Translation:  I am a has been, that never was.  Going further, no USA team has ever been good enough to beat the top teams of Europe in World Championship or Olympic competition.

1) Raw athletic talent.  If you can jump higher, throw harder and move quicker than your opponent you will have a distinct advantage.   For many years, U.S. teams compensated for their lack of technical skill with superior athletic talent drawn from our sizable population

USA Women:  With the Women’s team, I would assess that only one player (Jennifer Fithian) to have the type of raw talent that would compare with our former Olympic teams.  Karoline Borg comes close and would “have a chance” to make the roster, but mostly based on her strong technical skill.  Against current PATHF competition they are totally outgunned by Brazil.  The gap with the rest of PATHF, however, isn’t as bad, but they still are at a disadvantage.

USA Men:  The men’s team is a bit stronger in this department.  Clearly backcourts Gary Hines and Adam El Zogby have the raw talent.  (Although, Hines would have to play wing instead of back.)  From what I’ve seen Jordan Fithian may have the raw talent, but it’s not as clear cut.  The rest of the roster is filled with some decent talent, but in a competitive environment for roster slots comparable to the 80s and 90s most would come up short.  Against their current competition in PATHF, however, they only have a slight handicap against Argentina/Brazil and have better raw talent than the other also-rans.

2) Conditioning.  Team Handball is a physically demanding game and if athletes are out of shape it can make a big difference.   Former USA Olympic team might have come up short technically, but rarely were they out hustled.

USA Women:  The U.S. Women’s team was clearly lacking in this area and this certainly played a role in the final score line of their matches.

USA Men:  The USA Men seemed to be OK in this department.  Although, perhaps a little better conditioning could have helped the team to overcome some rough patches in close matches.

3) Individual technique/skills: While Team Handball is a relatively easy game to learn, it can be a challenging game to master.  Despite extensive full time training (often for several years) former USA Olympic teams were always outmatched in this area by European teams.  In the 80s and 90s it was a rare occurrence for a USA team to be technically outmatched by their PATHF competition, but several PATHF nations have since made significant gains in training and development.

USA Women:  On the women’s side, arguably only one player, leading scorer and Swedish-American, Karoline Borg, has fully mastered the finer points of the game.  Several other players have made significant progress, but still have a ways to go in this department.  The current USA team is technically weaker than our former Olympic teams, but this is due to substantially fewer training opportunities.  And slippage against PATHF competition is also attributable to improved training in development in those nations.

USA Men:  Several players, primarily dual citizen athletes, are pretty sound technically.  Gary Hines is arguably the most technically developed American player that didn’t also have the benefit of training as part of a fully established USA residence program.   The American born players aren’t as strong technically for the same reasons mentioned in the women’s section.

4) Team cohesion/experience.   Team Handball, as the name indicates, is a “team” game.  How the different individual players combine their talents to form a cohesive team can make all the difference.  Additionally, teams that have played together for years have a distinct advantage in that the players are familiar with each other’s moves, strengths and weaknesses.  Former USA Olympic teams were very cohesive in that they trained and, in many instances, lived together for several years.  USA teams in the past also had the advantage of periodic overseas trips for competition.

USA Women:  The core of the USA Women’s team is a pretty cohesive unit having trained together at Cortland University from 2004-2007.  Since 2007, however, there have only been a few training camps prior to competition for World Championship or Olympic qualification.  There is no comparison to the advantages that former USA teams had in this area.  Additionally, several PATHF programs now have regular training and overseas trips for competition.

USA Men:  The Men’s team is even more handicapped in this department as players often met each other for the first time at the short training camps prior to competition.  The team has done as good as job as can be expected in this department, but they are clearly lacking opportunities to play together as a team.  This has put them at a distinct disadvantage against several PATHF foes where those teams have played dozens of games together.

5) Coaching Strategy/Preparation.  A good coach can make any team a little bit better with good X’s and O’s strategy during the match and by preparing his team with a good scouting report on the opposition.  USA Olympic teams in the past had full time coaches and in most instances they were experienced European coaches with good track records.

USA Women/USA Men:  Both the current men’s and women’s teams do not have permanent head coaches.  Instead coaches have been hired prior to competition.  It’s difficult to assess the performance of these coaches without being more closely involved in the program.  Additionally, as part time coaches with inadequate resources it’s difficult to find great fault with their efforts. In terms of the PATHF programs, Brazil has had full time European coaches in recent years and I suspect that Argentina and Chile’s coaches also receive more consistent support from their federations.

Summary

It’s possible that a team can compensate for a weakness in any of these areas.  I’ve seen superior raw athletic talent trump weak technical skills and I’ve also seen the reverse happen.  I’ve seen inexperienced teams do well with a good coach, and again I’ve seen the reverse as well. But, if you are at a disadvantage in all 5 areas (Women) and 4 out of 5 (Men) there’s simply no way you can expect anything but poor results.

Of course, there are a number of obvious steps that could be taken to improve in all of these areas.  If you need better raw talent, then do a better job of recruiting.  If your players are technically weak, well then train them to be better, etc., etc.,   All of this, however, is easier said than done.  In part 2, I’ll tackle the underlying reasons as to why the USA has struggled to field better teams and qualify for the Olympics.

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2012 Olympic Preview for Handball

5 Time Olympian and Player-Coach Kyung-Shin Yoon leads the South Korean delegation into Olympic Stadium

Here’s some quick analysis and a few notes of the upcoming Olympic Tournament

Olympic Tournament Format Basics:  The Olympic Tournament consists of two phases.   The first phase, group play, has the nations divided up into 2 groups of 6 nations.  Over 10 days the teams will play a round robin with the women and men alternating playing days.  At the end of the first phase, the top 4 teams from each group will advance to the second phase.  The second phase is a straight knock out competition with quarterfinals, semifinals and finals

Group Play is somewhat academic:  The nature of this format makes group play somewhat academic since it’s very unlikely that the favored teams won’t finish in the top 4 and advance to the quarterfinals.  So, a team can slip up in group play; heck even lose 3 times and still advance.  Sure the nations would prefer a higher seed and avoid a tougher opponent in the quarterfinals, but that’s only a slight advantage.  In 2004, France went 5-0 in group play then got unceremoniously bounced out by Russia in the quarterfinals.  So, look at group play as extended warm-up for the top teams.

Favorites (Women): Here are the odds for the Women’s teams to win the gold medal.  I’ve kept the teams in their respective groups so you can get a relative sense of each team’s projected finish.

Group A
Russia (3.5 to 1)
Montenegro (7.5 to 1)
Brazil (50 to 1)
Croatia (75 to 1)
Angola (500 to 1)
Great Britain (10,000 to 1)

Group B
Norway (1.75 to 1)
France (6.5 to 1)
Denmark (33 to 1)
Spain (34 to 1)
Sweden (33 to 1)
South Korea (50 to 1)

So, the oddsmakers have assessed that in Group A, Russia and Montenegro are near locks for a 1st or 2nd place finish.  Brazil and Croatia are also expected to advance, while Angola and Great Britain are significant longshots.  In Group B, Norway and France are expected to advance, but it should be a big fight between the remaining sides for spots 3 and 4.  The big question mark is South Korea.  South Korea didn’t perform particularly well at the World Championships in December, but they’ve been known in the past to regroup pretty quickly.  Their fast style of play also has been known to give the Europeans fits.

Favorites (Men): Here are the odds for the men:

Group A
France (2 to 1)
Iceland (19 to 1)
Sweden (40 to 1)
Argentina (550 to 1)
Tunisia (550 to 1)
Great Britain (10,000 to 1)

Group B
Denmark (3.5 to 1)
Spain (5 to 1)
Croatia (5.5 to 1)
Serbia (30 to 1)
Hungary (40 to 1)
South Korea (150 to 1)

In Group A, France, Iceland and Sweden are pretty much guaranteed to advance.  Argentina and Tunisia are expected to battle for 4th place.  In Group B the teams are more closely bunched.  Denmark, Spain and Croatia are the favorites while Serbia and Hungary are expected to battle for 4th.  The difference between all 5 of those teams is not nearly as great, though compared to Group A.  South Korea is expected to be an outsider, but then in Beijing they surprised everyone by winning their Group.

Great Expectations for Great Britain? My assessment is that the host nation is not like to win a match in this tournament.  The scorelines for the past year suggest that the Women have made significant progress and there’s a good chance that they will keep the final scores respectable.  Their best chance for victory is against Angola, who they actually beat in a friendly earlier this year.  The Men will likely struggle against their competition and the best they can hope for is to be competitive against France, Iceland and Sweden (Keep the margin under 20).  Against Tunisia and Argentina if they can keep the final margin under 10 they will be doing well.  The real goal for Great Britain is not so much the outcome in London, but to leave a legacy that will enable them to continue the sport’s growth in their country.  Other minor handball nations (USA and Australia) were able to get a marginal bounce from hosting the Olympics.  Maybe the Brits can show the way.

Wither Karabatic? Since 2002, I’ve followed the career of Nikola Karabatic fairly closely.  I’ll never forget seeing him play on TV for Montpellier, asking myself, “Who’s that guy?  He’s pretty good” and being stunned to find out he was only 18 years old.  I’ll go on the record as stating he’s the best all around player, I’ve ever seen, period.  I’ve never seen a handball player do such a good job at making the players around him better.  No more so was that evident then at the 2011 WC, where he shepherded a weak backcourt (Sorry, French youngsters, Accambray and Barrachet) to a gold medal.  But, then at the 2012 Euros with Narcisse back in action, Karabatic instead of his usual masterful self was uncharacteristically pedestrian.  Teams lose at teams, but France’s 11th place finish was largely due to his uncharacteristically pedestrian performance.  More than his share of turnovers and some downright bad shots on goal.  Even in the matches this past year in the Champions League he hasn’t seem to be his usual stuff.  So the big question in my mind is whether the guy who’s the best I’ve ever seen can shake it off or will I need to re-evaluate the current pecking order of greatness.  At 28, Karabatic should be at the peak of his powers, so I’m guessing we will see a return to earlier form.

Flag Bearers: Three handball athletes were honored with the opportunity to carry their nation’s flag in the opening ceremonies:  Croatia’s Venio Losert, Tunisia’s Heykel Megannem and South Korea’s Kyung Shin Yoon.  At 39, Yoon is playing in his 5th Olympics, this time as a player coach.  Yoon also is notable for having the record as the all time goal scorer for the German Bundesliga.

Predictions

Women:
Gold:  Norway
Silver:  Russia
Bronze: Montenegro

Men:
Gold:  France
Silver:  Denmark
Bronze:  Spain

OK.  None of these are very bold, but it’s what I think will happen.  I will, however, go out on a limb with this prediction:  The French Men will shake off the doldrums from the Euros and have an undefeated run to the title.  And, further they will comfortably win every match.  My rationale is that the Euros have taught them what happens when they let the competition stick around and they will assert their superior talent early and often.  We shall see, however, we shall see.

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NBC Posts Handball TV Schedule

Note: The key words are "Schedule Subject to Change"

American residents can now see what their TV viewing options are for Team Handball as NBC has posted their tentative TV schedule.  You can find the schedule by clicking here:  http://www.nbcolympics.com/tv-listings/index.html# And then clicking “TV Schedule by Sport” and selecting “Handball.”   (Also, depending on whether you’ve accessed the site before, you may need to answer a few questions to sign in.  The good thing is that they will adjust the schedule to your local time.)

According to the posted schedule, there will be at least part of 1 handball match shown every day and the matches will be broadcast on either MSNBC or the NBC Sports Network (formerly known as Versus).  You may want to check your current programming packing with your cable of satellite TV provider to see if you have those channels.  MSNBC is available with most lower tier packages, but you may have to upgrade to get the NBC Sports Network (I did with Dish Network).

Of course, NBC will also be live streaming every single match, but you’ll need to sign up and verify that you have cable or a satellite TV package.  The link to the live streaming schedule is here: http://www.nbcolympics.com/online-listings/sport=handball/index.html In terms of “On Demand” viewing (i.e., replays after the live showing) it remains to be seen as to what is provided and how soon after the match it will be available for viewing.  In 2008, NBC provided options for delayed viewing, but you had to be careful if you wanted to watch it without first finding out the score.

Also, don’t be surprised if there are some changes to the schedule in terms of what’s shown on TV.   It’s best that you check the online listings every day or so to see if there are any changes.

 

 

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AUDIO: Conversation with NPR reporter Stefan Fatsis

Uber Fan Stefan Fatisis (#17) acquired this Team Handball jersey from Club VfB Fallersleben last year while visiting Germany

Stefan Fatsis is without a doubt the biggest mainstream sports reporter/proponent of Team Handball in the United States.  A regular guest on National Public Radio’s All Things Considered, if there’s a possibility to work in a tidbit of news about the sport Stefan finds a way.

With the Olympics coming up Stefan was curious as to the state of the sport in the USA and what do expect in terms of the upcoming Olympic competition. Our conversation covers these topics and more and lasts about 38 minutes.

Stefan Fatsis Website:  http://www.stefanfatsis.com/

Hang Up and Listen Podcast: http://www.slate.com/articles/podcasts/hang_up_and_listen.html (Stefan is one of the hosts on this weekly sports podcast)

Wall St Journal (25 Aug 2004): A Game We Ought to Play: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB109338095139999984.html

New York Times (9 May 2009): Team Handball Has It All, Except an American Interest: http://www.nytimes.com/2009/05/10/sports/othersports/10cheer.html

THN (26 Dec 2011) Analysis of the Hang Up And Listen crossover athlete Team Handball All Star Teams: https://teamhandballnews.com/2011/12/tim-tebow-future-american-team-handball-star/
(Includes link to the podcast that discusses the teams)

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Did I drop an F-Bomb?

In case you were wondering, I didn't drop any F-Bombs

Virtually everyone who’s ever been interviewed knows that the article that ends up getting written never fully captures everything that was said.  And all too often this can result in bits and pieces of what’s said getting quoted without the context of the entire conversation.  Going further, when there is information from multiple interviews being interspersed with analysis from the author sometimes the final product might lead to some assumptions from the reader.

Case in point is the recent article, “A Handball Nation with a Basketball Problem” by Gregg Gethard at the classical.org, a somewhat eclectic sports blog.  I had a great conversation with Gregg, who has become a fan of Team Handball and is one of those Americans relatively new to the sport trying to fathom why the sport isn’t very popular in this country.  I definitely like some of his analysis, particularly the part about THN being the “go-to source for any and all people in the US interested in the sport”.

But, I’d like to clear up a few things, in particular this part of the article:

“Team sports got devalued and the USOC started to tie funding to performance,” said John Ryan, the editor of TeamHandballNews.com, the go-to source for any and all people in the US interested in the sport. “That’s the biggest factor which caused us to become weaker.”

The second is—to be frank— that no one who ran USA Team Handball for most of its history knew what the f*** they were doing.”

I certainly made the first point as I do suspect that the USOC devalues team sports in that they are a lot of investment for 1 potential medal.  And it’s hard to argue that we weren’t more competitive when the USOC provided us with more funding.  But, just because I’m directly quoted on the first point, don’t make the inference that the second point is a paraphrasing of something that I might have said in continuance.  I didn’t drop any F-bombs and I disagree with the point entirely. While, I’ve had my share of disagreements with Mike Cavanaugh over many years and Steve Pastorino more recently, I think they knew what they were doing.  Call me an apologist if you will, but the challenges this sport has faced are massive.  Sure, there’s been some highly questionable management calls in the past, but even a super manager would have had more than a few failures.  If it was a no-brainer easy task to turn the USA into a Team Handball nation it would have been done years ago.

And also this paragraph:

“Ryan says there are probably somewhere between 300 and 500 people in the US who care at all about the sport. And all of those people have seemingly at some point served on the NGBs board of directors. And very few of these people liked each other.”

First sentence me, second sentence either the author or perhaps, Bogdan.  (He, is indeed a firebrand)

Now that, I’ve been an interviewer in addition to an interviewee, I know how these sorts of things happen.  Interviews sometimes run together and sometimes as a writer you do see emphasis and what’s interestingly from a different perspective.  And while some of it is a little misconstrued it does capture a lot of the problems our sport has faced in this country.

And it reminds me that I should do a post on the very same topic.  Although, I’ve written about many of these issues separately, I’ll try to put together a more comprehensive summary in the next few days.  And since the media questions are starting to trickle in and every reporter wonders why the U.S. isn’t at the Olympics I might as well take the time to answer it.

 

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Memo to the Main Stream Media: Please do your research prior to posting your Team Handball stories

Main Stream Media reporting on Team Handball is great for the sport's promotion in the U.S., but the analysis often comes up short

 

Like clockwork, every four years, there’s a bump in media coverage for Team Handball in the U.S. as reporters and columnists are exposed to the sport during the Olympics.  While this increased exposure is great for our sport, I can’t help but get a little annoyed sometimes at the inaccuracies and naiveté that often comes with these stories.

Case in point is the feature article that Sean Gregory did four years ago for Time Magazine.  Overall, it was a very positive piece.  So much so, that a line from the article, “The rest of the world knows that this Olympic sport is ripe for an American invasion,” is prominently still displayed 4 years later on USA Team Handball’s Facebook page (see photo).  But, when Gregory stepped beyond his initial discovery of the game and presented some 2 second analysis of how to make the U.S. National Teams competitive the article devolved into total nonsense.  I’m not certain as to whether this was intentionally done for effect, but I wrote this response commentary just to make it clear how impractical his solutions were.

So, a short memo to all the mainstream reporters out there Googling for more information about this great sport you’ve just discovered:  Please do your research and don’t hesitate to contact us for more information.
Greatest (and not so greatest) hits:  Mainstream Media reporting on handball

Boston Globe (25 Aug 2004): Bob Ryan:  Give handball a sporting chance

Time Magazine (14 Aug 2008): Sean Gregory: Hey, America, What About Handball?
THN (14 Aug 2008):  Time Magazine: Thanks for promoting Team Handball, but save us your naïve solutions

National Review Online (15 Aug 2008): Mark Corallo  : An All-American Sport
THN (16 Aug 2008): National Review Online does hatchet job on Team Handball
(OK. The National Review Online isn’t a major news outlet, but it’s notable that occasionally there’s someone that actually doesn’t fall in love with the sport.)

Washington Post (23 Aug 2008) D.C. Sports Bog: Dan Steinberg: A Morning Jolt of Icelandic Team Handball:
(A great summary with several links to the numerous articles written related to Iceland’s run to the gold medal game in 2008.)

New York Times (9 May 2009): Stefan Fatsis:  Team Handball Has It All, Except an American Interest
(Credit to Fatsis, the dean of main stream reporters who’ve written about the sport.  This article and his periodic promotion of the sport at NPR gets the facts straight most of the time)