Following the twin disappointments this year of failing to qualify for the Pan Am Games and the 2007 World Championships the USA Women’s National Team is at a crossroads. What happened and what’s next?

I hope to interview the current (Dawn Lewis) and former coach (Christian Latulippe), as well as Mike Cavanaugh, the USOC High Performance Handball Director once I get settled back in the US. In the interim I’ll pose a few questions and possible answers from my perspective.

[b]Did the US Women have a realistic chance to qualify for the Pan Am Games or the World Championships?[/b]

Answer: Yes. Looking at the scores and the write-ups of the matches that were played one can conclude that they had a legitimate shot at qualifying for both tournaments. For the Pan Am Games beating Canada 2 out of 3 was unlikely, but they are a better team than Mexico. They certainly proved that they could beat Mexico in a neutral setting in the Dominican Republic. I can only speculate as to whether the coaching change prior to the 2nd chance tournament in Mexico impacted the outcome of that tournament. In terms of qualifying for the World Championships it has been noted in the comments section of one of our write-ups that the US Women’s team was leading Paraguay by 4 in the 2nd half. If they had held on to that lead they would have qualified.

[b]Did the US Women have a realistic chance to qualify for the 2008 Olympic Games?[/b]

Answer: No. The gap in terms of both raw athletic talent and experience between the US and Brazil was simply too great. And the same can be said for the rest of the PATHF. Nobody is going to beat Brazil in Rio this summer at the Pan Am Games and no team will likely lose by less than double digits. The 2nd place and possibly the 3rd place team will have a chance in an Olympic qualification tournament, but they will likely face the difficult task of having to beat a European team in Europe. It is also extremely unlikely that a PATHF nation, other than Brazil, will place in 7th or higher at the World Championships. Bottom line: Barring some bizarre disqualification, the sole PATHF rep at the Olympics will be Brazil.

[b]What are the chances for the US Women to qualify for the 2012 Olympics?[/b]

Answer: There’s always a chance, but there are simply too many unknowns to accurately predict the likelihood of qualifying. In simple terms a combination of either the US fielding a better team and/or Brazil and other PATHF foes dropping down a bit will be needed.

[b]What are the prospects of Brazil and other PATHF foes fielding weaker teams?[/b]

Answer: It’s possible, but I wouldn’t count on it. The quality of national teams often runs in cycles, but Brazil appears to have developed a national program which is developing quality youth athletes that feed into their national program. Additionally, many of their players will continue to likely gain valuable experience overseas. To a lesser extent other nations like Argentina have followed Brazil’s example, but are more within reach of the US program.

[b]What are the prospects for the US to field a team that can qualify for 2012?[/b]

Answer: Unknown. Four years provides some time to put together a credible program, but the current picture looks bleak. USOC management at the 2006 National Championships Town Hall meeting indicated that following USA Team Handball’s decertification they had actually considered dropping the Women’s program. In the end, they decided to continue to fund the program with limited resources. Now that the program has definitively failed to qualify for the 2008 Olympics continued funding is in question. Also based on recent performance it is highly doubtful that a more competitive program could be created anyway at the current level of funding. Adding even more uncertainty are the USOC plans to turn over control of day to day handball operations to a new organization later this year. Perhaps this new organization will quickly and innovatively develop a competitive national team, but this remains to be seen.

[b]What is the tournament schedule for the Women leading up to the 2012 Olympics?[/b]

Answer: Assuming the calendar follows past precedent, the following tournaments will be staged prior to the 2012 Olympics

2008 Pan American Div 2 Championships (Winter?)
2009 Pan American Championships (May?) (Qualification for Dec 2009 WC)
2009 World Championships (December) China
2010 Pan Am Games Qualification (Winter?)
2011 Pan American Championships (May?) Qualification for Dec 2011 WC)
2011 Pan Am Games (Summer) in Guadalajara, Mexico (Qualification for 2012 Olympics)
2011 World Championships (December) Location TBD
2012 Olympics (August) London

Some question marks in terms of timing, as well as whether there would be a Division 2 tournament for the Pan American Championships. According to the old newsletters of the PATHF the plan was that the bottom 2 teams from the Pan American Championships would have to participate in a Div 2 tournament, in which the top 2 team would qualify for the Pan American Championships. As only 8 teams wanted to participate at the last championships it’s quite possible that there won’t be a Division 2 tournament.

This schedule adds further uncertainty as the next meaningful tournament is likely two years away. In light of this dry spell, one could argue that perhaps this is an opportune time to change management and implement changes to the current program. In terms of Olympic qualification the Pan Am Game in Mexico in 2011 will be the most important test.

[b]What does the US [i][u]need[/u][/i] to do in order to field a better team?[/b]

Answer: The US needs better athletes, more experienced athletes, top level coaching and top level competition on a regular basis.

[b][i][u]How[/u][/i] does the US field a better team?[/b]

Answer: There are a number of different models and strategies that could be employed and several have been tried in the past with varying degrees of success. As answering this question would take awhile, I’ll save an extended discourse on this question for a future post. In short, however, no matter what model and strategy you choose, it will need funding in order to be executed properly.

This questioned can best be answered by going to the sports section in the newspaper “Europe Today” Similar to the “USA Today” salaries database  which lists the salary of every professional player in the 4 major US spots, Europe Today also has the salary listed for every Team Handball player in each National League, thus providing an interesting and handy guide to compare and contrast player value.

Oh, if it were only that simple! Such a list doesn’t exist as far as I know. And prior to moving to France I’d never read anything, anywhere which discussed compensation, even in broad, general terms. I had heard, word of mouth, anecdotal information about the great salaries that players had in Europe, but was always skeptical. Now using some data from the French HandAction Magazine and L’Equipe (Lance Armstong’s and my favorite sports newspaper) here’s my analysis of handball salaries along with a few choice questions that can help put things in perspective.

Question #1a: Which is greater, French NBA Basketball player Tony Parker’s 2006 salary or the entire operating budget for Montpellier Handball, the top club program in France?
Answer: Tony Parker. Tony Parker made 9.8M Euros in 2006, and Montpellier’s entire budget is 3.5M Euros. In fact, Tony Parker also could fund the next 3 teams in the French league. And when Boris Diaw of the Phoenix Suns signs a new contract, together, they could probably fund the entire league.

Question #1b: Which is greater, German NBA player, Dirk Nowitzki’s salary or the entire operating budget for Kiel, the Champion’s League winner.
Answer: Dirk Nowitzki. The top German clubs have budgets of 5 to 6 Million Euros. With $13.8M this year the NBA MVP, could also handle the budget for their Champions League opponent Flensburg.

Question #1c: Which is greater, Spanish NBA player, Pau Gasol Salary or Ciudad Real’s entire operating budget
Answer: Paul Gasol. The top Spanish clubs also have a budget of 5 to 6 Million Euros. Paul Gasol with $10.9M this year, however couldn’t fund two top teams like Dirk.

The point of these 3 questions is to once and for all highlight while European Club Handball is the best in the world it is financially small time compared to the major professional sports in the United States.  In fact, it could probably be argued that minor sports like Arena Football and Major League Lacrosse are comparable to the European Handball Leagues. This can also be said, however, for just about every sport in Europe except soccer.

Question #2: What’s the average salary for a player in the French 1st Division?
Answer: According to UFF Sport Conseil: 27,000 Euros/year.

While this is the average salary, I think it’s also important to look further behind these numbers. For instance, it’s possible to guesstimate what the athletes make at the top end by looking at L’Equipe’s annual listing of the top 5 salaries for French athletes in each sport. In particular, it’s worth noting that all of the athletes listed are playing in either Spain or Germany and that the 5th place athlete, Barcelona Backcourt player Jerome Fernandez compensation in 2004 was listed at 140,000 Euros. So, it’s safe to say that no one playing in France, with the possible exception of Jackson Richardson is making 140,000 Euros.

Based on the fact that the French League is keeping a few of their top native players home and was able to sign Tunisian standout Wissem Hmam, I’m guessing that there are probably 15 top players making 50-100,000 Euros. This guess is based on the logic that these players need compensation in that range in order to keep them from signing with German and Spanish league teams. Below this top tier there is probably a middle tier of 45 players making 15,000-50,000 Euros/year. These players are not a threat to jump to a foreign league, but they need this compensation to make a decent living in Europe. Rounding out the league, I’m guessing there is a 3rd tier of about 100 players receiving under 15,000 Euros a year. These players are typically the youngest players and are often University students. The composition of 1st, 2nd, and 3rd tier players varies from club to club. I would speculate that Montpellier is composed entirely of 1st and 2nd tier players, while the teams at the bottom of the standings are composed entirely of 2nd and 3rd tier players.

Question #3: What’s the average salary for a player in Germany and Spain’s 1st Division Leagues?

Answer: Greater than 27,000 Euros/year. How much greater, though, I’m not sure. I’m less intimately familiar with the Spanish and German leagues, but I think it’s safe to say that the same three tiers of players apply in these leagues as well, with one significant difference: the compensation for 1st tier players is significantly higher. As France has one of the best National Teams in the world right now, the compensation that Top French players are paid in Germany/Spain is indicative as to what is being paid at the high end in those leagues. Jackson Richardson’s compensation for Spanish Club, Portland San Antonio in 2004 was 530,000 Euros and in 2005 was 425,000 Euros. As an iconic figure in Handball, I would argue that a good portion of his 2004 contract was probably more related to his ability to fill seats, as while he was still a great player, he was on the tail end of his career. Didier Dinart is paid 217,000 Euros for Ciudad Real as a defensive specialist and Jerome Fernandez is paid probably around 170,000 Euros (based on his 140,000 Euros in 2004) So for the top clubs in Spain, the top players are making 150,000-500,000 Euros/year.

In Germany, the Gilles brothers (Guillame and Bertrand) both make roughly 220,000 Euros/year playing for Hamburg. Nikola Karbatic, is making around 229,000 Euros. So for Germany, I would guess that the top players are making 180,000 to 300,000 Euros.

Spain’s top teams, Ciudad Real, Portland San Antonio and Barcelona have been known to outbid German clubs for their star players, but they were recently unsuccessful in luring Karabatic away from Kiel. My guess is that the top players for those 3 Spanish sides are paid more than the Bundesliga stars, but that the Bundesliga has a larger cluster of players being paid around 200,000 Euros. Another factor, however, that would have to be considered is the lower cost of living in Spain that would also translate into a higher salary in real terms.

In terms of salaries in Germany and Spain for the middle tier and lower tier of players, I’m guessing that the overall compensation is higher, but not that much higher than France. The logic being that there are not a lot of 2nd tier players jumping over from foreign countries for a better salary. The big difference is at the top end for the star players at the key positions.

Which player positions get paid more? 

Answer: Typically the highest paid players are backcourt players with a proven ability to put the ball in the back of the net from 9 meters. The logic being that you can always find somebody to play circle and wing, but you can’t always find a good scoring backcourt. When a new player starts playing, this is also typically where he’s placed on the court. There is certainly a lot of logic to this and I would bet that this is true for the preponderance of Professional Teams. The very top teams with more of a budget, however, can afford to also pay top dollar for wings, circles, and goalkeepers.

Foreign Player Assumption: I’m guessing that 8 times out of 10 the most compensated player on a team is a foreign player. The logic being that the only reason a club is going to be willing to have a non-native player, who may not speak the language, and will need extra attention to adjust to an unfamiliar environment, is because he’s a really good player. And really good players are usually paid more than just good players.

Final Thoughts:  Admittedly there’s a lot of guesswork with these numbers. If anybody has better numbers that can be documented please let me know.

L’Equipe’s Annual Top 5 Salary List for French Handball Players

Calendar Year 2004
1) Jackson Richardson, Portland San Antonio (ESP), 530,000 Euros
2) Bertrand Gille, Hamburg (GER), 225,000 Euros
3) Guillaume Gille, Hamburg (GER), 220,000 Euros
4) Didier Dinart, Montpellier (FRA)/Ciudad Real (ESP), 164,000 Euros
5) Jerome Fernandez, Barcelona (ESP), 140,000 Euros

Calendar Year 2005
1) Jackson Richardson, Portland San Antonio (ESP)/ Chambery (FRA), 425,000 Euros
2) Guillaume Gille, Hamburg (GER), 230,000 Euros
3) Bertrand Gille, Hamburg (GER), 215,000 Euros
4) Nikola Karabatic, Montpellier (FRA)/ Kiel (GER), 197,000 Euros
5) Didier Dinart, Ciudad Real (ESP), 187,000 Euros

Calendar Year 2006
1) Bertrand Gille, Hamburg (GER), 255,000 Euros
2) Nikola Karabatic, Kiel (GER), 229,000 Euros
3) Guillaume Gille, Hamburg (GER), 219,000 Euros
4) Didier Dinart, Ciudad Real (ESP), 217,000 Euros
5) Daniel Narcisse, Gummersbach (GER), 209,000 Euros

At the last International Handball Federation (IHF) Congress, the European Handball Federation (EHF) proposal to switch from having the World Championships every 2 years to every 4 years was soundly defeated. https://teamhandballnews.com/news.php?item.318 This sparked some comments concerning whether the EHF proposal was a good idea and whether Handball should follow the lead of other sports. Herewith is my analysis and why the analogies with other sports are only partially valid.

Championship Cycles in Other Sports: Part of the EHF reasoning to change the format is indeed likely spurred by other sports. Here’s a short summary of how it’s done for some other team sports

Soccer:
2004: European Championships (June); Olympics (August)
2006: World Cup (June)
2008: European Championships (June); Olympics (August)
2010: World Cup (summer)

The World Cup, depending on your metrics, is either the #1 or #2 sporting event in the world. And as the Olympics is a multi-sport event, the World Cup is unquestionably the #1 single sport event. The World cup is held only once every 4 years and most of the Continental Federations also hold tournaments on a once every four years timetable 2 years after the World Cup. Some of these Continental tournaments are minor affairs, but the European Championships is a huge event. By contrast, the Olympic Soccer tournament is a minor affair with age restrictions on the players basically turning it into a Junior Championship. There’s been some noise made that the odd years should also have a meaningful summer time tournament, but with European clubs exercising more and more power it is unlikely that they would acquiesce to more national team competitions.

Basketball:
2004: Olympics (August)
2005: Continental Championships (summer)
2006: World Championships (September)
2007: Continental Championships (summer)
2008: Olympics (August)

The World Championships for Basketball is a significant event in Europe and other parts of the world, but in the US it is a minor event behind the start of football season and the baseball playoffs. And for all nations, it’s pretty safe to say that an Olympic Basketball Gold Medal is considered the top prize for national teams. The basketball model is essentially what the EHF was proposing for Handball, but with one important timing complication– The World/European Championships are played in Dec/Jan, vice the summer.

Handball:
Note: I’ve broken this out for the Men and Women as the schedule impact is different. I’ve also focused on the European Championships as it is the only Continental Championship with significant attendance and TV coverage.

Men
2004: European Championships (January)
2004: Olympics (August)
2005: World Championships (January)
2006: European Championships (January)
2007: World Championships (January)
2008: European Championships (January)
2008: Olympics (August)

Women
2004: Olympics (August)
2004: European Championships (December)
2005: World Championships (December)
2006: European Championships (December)
2007: World Championships (December)
2008: Olympics (August)
2008: European Championships (December)

As you can see by these schedules, Olympic years result in 3 major tournaments within a 13 month period. Add a long club season into this 13 month window and you have the reason why the EHF proposed a change that would help limit the number of games played by the top players. Removing a World Championship, however would create a feast and famine cycle in which you would have 2 major events in roughly a 6 month span, then nothing for a year and a half. And which World Championship would you remove? The one just before the Olympics or the one just after. And would you do the same thing for the Women and the Men.

Both the soccer and basketball models are good for their sports, but for Handball to adopt either it would have to fully adopt them. If handball were to adopt the basketball model it would need to move the World Championships to the summer. If handball were to adopt the soccer model it could keep its January/December schedule, but it would need to deemphasize the Olympics. But as the Olympics are Handball’s best opportunity to showcase the sport to the world this is not going to happen.

Follow the Money: Something that hasn’t been mentioned with the EHF’s proposed change is that another solution to decrease the number of games played could be easily self-implemented by the EHF. Namely, the EHF could decide to only hold their full-fledged European Championship once every four years. This would also decrease the number of games played, but ….. it would also result in the EHF only having this profit making event once every four years. Not surprisingly, the EHF would prefer that the IHF take the financial hit. And, of course, the IHF has no interest whatsoever in having a big payday only once every four years.

The Solution: If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. The current cycle is just fine as far as I’m concerned and why would you want to eliminate an event that everyone wants to see. If the EHF really is concerned about the number of games they can fix that problem by canceling one of their own tournaments or shortening their club seasons. That being said, the underlying issue is money. As long as the World Championships continue to be primarily a European show, the IHF might be wise to consider some level of revenue sharing with the EHF and the top European clubs. This would make everyone happy and could avoid a sequence of events that one day might result in the top European players sitting out the World Championships.

Well, Team Handball fans if you’ve watched Poker or the World’s Strongest Man competition on TV in the United States and thought surely the next sport that will get air time is Handball, you thought wrong. As reported in the International Herald Tribune and other news outlets, Rock, Paper, Scissors is finding its way on to ESPN this July. Adding further insult to injury, the US national championships took place this past weekend in my new home of Las Vegas. Jamie Langridge of Odessa, Texas took home the $50,000 grand prize.

EHF, Liga ASOBAL, HBL are you reading this? Will you please do something, anything to get your sport on TV in the United States.

Variety:: http://www.variety.com/article/VR1117961028.html?categoryid=14&cs=1
International Herald Tribune: http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/05/14/news/rock.php
Official American Rock Paper Scissors League site: http://www.usarps.com/news/articles/view/jamie-langridge-takes-the-2007-usarps-world-championship/14/