Captain America, Drew Donlin, playing for Leon Ademar vs FC Barcelona
It’s been quite the ride for Team USA’s Drew Donlin, from Minnesota to the Air Force Academy to Los Angeles to Germany and now Spain.
In September 2018 he was an alternate and a last minute call up for the U.S. National Team for the PANAM Games Qualification series vs Canada. Just 14 months later he found himself playing important minutes for his club, Leon Ademar, against FC Barcelona. Such a rapid rise is unprecedented for just about any handball player, let alone a U.S. National Team player who was born and raised in the U.S. and didn’t start playing the sport until he was 18.
On the podcast we discuss his handball origin story, USA Beach Handball competitions and how exactly he went from a national team alternate to playing against Barca in 14 months.
Player Profile Pages – Leon Ademar: Link – Liga ASOBAL (with current stats): Link – EHF: Link – USA Team Handball: Link
Drew Donlin Social Media – Facebook: Link – Instagram: Link
Total USA Team Handball Revenue since 1993. What we have and some reasons for optimism.
The previous parts of
this series have focused on our current athlete and club demographics. This part of the series will focus on USA
Team Handball’s current finances.
Big Picture
As you might recall from the introduction to this series I am addressing possible futures for USA Team Handball by first methodically capturing, “What we have.” I have covered quite a bit of ground, but haven’t focused on the lack of money and resources that pretty much underlie most of team handball’s small footprint and presence in the U.S.
It may be true that “Money isn’t everything”, but I think we
can also agree that, it’s still something.
And, that without money it’s very difficult to move forward with new
projects and initiatives. As one long
time handball follower put it to me succinctly:
“If there’s more money, there are morechoices. But, if there’s no money, there are no
choices.”
While, historically there has usually been “some money” it’s been pretty limited with the exception (to varying degrees) of support to national teams that have qualified for the Olympics. In recent years, the cupboard has been really bare. Fortunately, there are a number of developments that should help improve USA Team Handball’s financial situation. These developments include the 2028 LA Olympics, IOC pressure on the IHF to develop handball globally, and European pro leagues/clubs seeking to develop a U.S. market. Yes, after years of shrugging, Europeans are finally starting to realize the potential of a U.S. market and seem willing to do some things to make it happen. All told, this confluence of events could be a real game changer.
Yes, long time followers that accuse me of being an eternal pessimist I am truly optimistic that our financial picture will change.
But, while these numbers should change in the not too distant future, it’s still a worthwhile exercise to assess where we are starting from. Further, it’s important to also characterize the different sources of revenue. Where the revenue is coming from and where there are opportunities to improve revenue generation.
Publicly Available
Data
To assess USA the current financial situation I have reviewed USA Team Handball’s publicly available financial data. As a 501(c)(3) non-profit, USA Team Handball is required to file an Internal Revenue Service (IRS) Form 990 every year. Additionally, an audited financial statement is prepared on a yearly basis and both the annual audits and Form 990s are available on the USA Team Handball website. While great information this data, however, has its limitations. In particular, it’s top level data, so while it might be really interesting to break down revenue sources and expenses in greater deal, that information is not available. Additionally, the forms are typically posted around one year after the accounting period in question. So, if you are looking at a hot off the press Form 990 you will be reviewing data that is actually 1-2 years old. And, if it’s been awhile since the Form 990 has been posted you could be reviewing data that is 2-3 years old.
The data below comprises the last four available Form 990s,
covering the period from July 30, 2014 to June 30, 2018, so the data that is
from 1.5 to 5.5 years old. I have heard
that the IHF and USOC have kicked in some grant funding already, but it’s not
clear how much and for how long. While
this data doesn’t include those plus-ups it does provide a good baseline.
USA Team Handball’s average total annual revenue has been roughly $540K. For a U.S. Sport National Governing Body (NGB) this is a paltry amount that significantly limits what can be done. Compared to several other team sport NGBs it is an order of magnitude smaller. There’s a reason why for several years USA Team Handball has been pretty much a staff of one, plus coaches and a part team media specialist. Heck, in some years it’s not even clear whether the coaches have actually been paid. I have also heard rumors that at times there have been cash flow issues resulting even the CEO not being paid. It should therefore come as no great surprise that many national team trips for competition have been partly self-funded by the players participating.
So why has the revenue been so lacking? Let’s take a closer look at several sub-components of the top line number.
Grants and
Contributions
Historically, an annual grant from the USOPC has been the primary source of revenue for USA Team Handball. For the 4 most recent years of available data the USOPC has provided around $225K/year. As I’ve highlighted previously the annual USOPC grant used to be substantially more but has decreased over the years for several reasons. First, following the 1996 Olympics the USOPC began more closely tying financial support to medaling opportunities. With the U.S. being very unlikely to medal grant funding decreased. Secondly, the U.S. has failed to qualify for the Olympics since 1996 meaning there was no need to support national teams so that a “respectable” performance in the Olympic spotlight could be had. Finally, there have been general concerns with the management and performance of USA Team Handball. The 2005 decertification of USA Team Handball is a prime example of those concerns.
With the 2028 Olympics now on the horizon and with greater
engagement from the IHF, USOPC concerns seem to have been lifted. Reportedly the USOPC is now providing some
additional grant funding that is more in line with what other minor sport NGBs
are provided.
The U.S. Team Handball Foundation which was established with
left over funds from the 1984 Olympic Game has also been a consistent source of
revenue support, albeit on a smaller scale.
For the most recent four years they have provided roughly $34K/year
often in support of national team competition.
The IHF did not provide any grant support in the posted four
years, but reportedly they are now providing some grant funding to support
college development efforts. How much
funding and for how long, however, has not been officially reported. It would certainly be interesting to know,
but we probably won’t officially know until the 2019 Form 990 is released in
spring 2021.
Contributions are charitable donations that USA Team
Handball receives from individuals and have averaged $88K for the past 4 years. Considering the small base of supporters USA
Team Handball has to work with this is actually a fairly decent number compared
to other NGBs with much larger membership bases to draw from.
Corporate Sponsorship
Corporate Sponsorship highlighted in blue.
Corporate sponsorship is roughly $64K/year and this is, as one might expect, substantially lower than other NGBs. In short, “what we have” is pretty much next to nothing. There has long been an outcry that this was a direct result of management and salesmanship incompetency. However, as I pointed out in this 2012 commentary the reality is that sponsors are not in the business of charity and they want to see return on their sponsorship investment. With a very small membership base and no TV exposure it has been very difficult to make a strong business case in support of USA Team Handball sponsorship. There essentially has been no product to credibly sell to sponsors. So, in other words I would argue that it was more of a product issue than it was a salesmanship issue.
However, with some investment from the USOPC and IHF this
could be changing and we could actually have some products (e.g. a collegiate
club championship) on the foreseeable horizon worthy of sponsorship. Add in the promise of the 2028 Olympics in
Los Angeles and it’s becoming more possible to sell the future of USA Team Handball.
Further some personal relationships with a key handball proponent could make a difference. In October, USA Team Handball and the IHF met with Verizon CEO, Hans Vestberg, in New York. (IHF Writeup: Link) Vestberg is a former handball player and the former President of the Swedish Handball Federation and Swedish Olympic Committee, so he personally has an affinity for handball. Verizon is also one of the largest companies in the U.S. (16th on the Fortune 500 list) and already has major sport sponsorships with the NFL, NHL and NASCAR. The NFL deal alone is reportedly for $500M/year so one can easily envision some sort of deal (on a smaller scale) for USA Team Handball being announced in the near future.
So right now, sponsorship revenue is paltry. But, this could be changing very soon. For how much and for how long, again are the
big questions.
Next up: The assessment of current finances continues
with a closer look at events and memberships.
Pitt Team Handball sits atop the Northeast Team Handball League (NTHL) D2 South with a 3-0-0 record. That early season record has earned them a first ever appearance in the Collegiate Top 5 Poll.
The top 3 spots in the poll are identical from November. Army which has never left the first spot in the history of the poll picked up 2 victories in Northeast Team Handball League (NTHL) action over the Army’s 2nd Team, and NYC2, but suffered their first lost of the season to one of the top at-large clubs in the U.S.,NYC, 37-28. North Carolina and West Virginia played no matches since the last poll, but held on to their 2nd and 3rd place poll rankings.
Spots 4 and 5, however, have changed with Air Force and Ohio St dropping out of the top 5. Air Force picked up their first win of the season, a 23-21 win over Texas A&M at the Texas Cup, but their overall 1-0-8 record must look bad in the eyes of voters. Ohio St played only one match since the last poll, a 36-36 draw vs the Columbus Armada, but also slipped in the polls.
Joining the top 5 for the first time are Pittsburgh and Penn St. Pittsburgh’s 3-0-0 record has them sitting atop the NTHL D2 South. Pittsburgh has gotten good leadership from seniors Michael Lane and Brian Hoover and has benefited from a newcomer to the team, Pau Balcells Sanchez. Balcells Sanchez is just a Freshman, but is an international student from Spain and brings some European experience to the the team. The NTHL D2 South is the only de facto collegiate club conference (Pittsburgh, James Madison, Virginia, Johns Hopkins) and their next matches will be February 1st.
Rounding out the top 5 is Penn St with a 3-0-0 collegiate record and and a 6-0-1 overall record. Penn St competes in the NTHL D2 North where they currently have the 2nd best win pct in the league. These records may, however, look a little bit better than reality. In particular, the 3 collegiate wins are all over the Penn St B team, so it will be interesting to see how well the Nittany Lions fare at College Nationals later this year.
Detroit Handball Club Promotional Video: This new club effort is a good example of the challenges facing any new club effort in the U.S.
Note: This is part of an ongoing series, Charting a Way
Forward for USA Team Handball (2019 Reboot): Link
Parts 1, 2 and 3 provided an overview of Men’s and Women’s clubs in the U.S. It doesn’t take long to empirically determine that there aren’t very many clubs and that the few clubs we are for the most populated with expats. Here’s some context as to why this is so.
Starting a Club: Big Picture
It kind of goes without saying that all existing clubs at
some point in the past had to get started.
And, let’s make one thing clear up front. Starting a club is a huge undertaking. It takes organization skills. It takes resources (money). It takes time. (A lot of time) It takes determination. Either from one indefatigable person or a
village willing to put in quite a bit of effort.
It is not easy when structures are in place to facilitate
new clubs. It can seem like mission
impossible when no such structures exist.
For many people it might be the hardest thing they’ve ever tried to
do.
It should therefore come as no surprise that many folks take
initial steps to start a club, assess that it’s not going to be a walk in the
park and fairly quickly decide to punt.
That maybe they’ve got better things to do with their time and
money. I used to kind of look down at
those lazy talkers, but now older and wiser I sometimes think that maybe
they’re the smart ones.
Back in 2013 I highlighted some of the challenges from my own experience in helping to start two clubs. With mixed success I might add. And, yes I must admit failure is not easy for someone who is used to succeeding at a lot of different things. As one gets older, however, one gets smarter and a little bit more humble.
Here are the major hurdles that typically have to be
overcome on the way to starting a new club:
Hurdle 1) Recruiting
Players
When you’re starting a new handball club, the first step is
recruiting players. Anyone who has done
this knows that it is not as simple as posting a flyer or a Facebook post and
waiting for the players to simply show up.
It might sort of work like that for a short window during the Summer
Olympics every four years, but for the most part it involves working on your
sales pitch. For some this is a simple
task, but for others it requires really stepping out of their comfort zone.
Recruiting athletes is not easy and requires a lot of
salesmanship. Adults in their 20s are
busy starting a new career; perhaps in a significant committed
relationship. They’ve got competing
interests. A college student may be
focused on their studies or simply happy playing pickup basketball or jogging
as an outlet. Many people are simply not willing to make the time and money
commitment to a club.
And, keep in mind this sort of convincing/recruiting can be
challenging for a well-known sport that athletes are familiar with and
have
played before. Convincing/recruiting
people to play a sport they are not familiar with or have never
played before adds yet another layer of difficulty.
Yes, some folks, indeed, are interested in trying something new like handball. But, it’s a long path from checking out handball after you’ve seen it on TV to becoming fully committed to the sport. Typically, there’s a huge attrition rate as those new players discover that the sport is more physical and a whole lot harder to master than they thought it would be.
Thus, it should come as no surprise that U.S. clubs are
heavily populated with expats. Yes,
people seeking out… something they are familiar with and have played before
vice seeking out an opportunity to join some other club to do something totally
new. In a nutshell, this explains the
predominance of Expat clubs in the U.S.
Hurdle 2) Achieving
“Critical Mass”
Then there is the issue of “critical mass.” As in you really need around 16 athletes to have a truly viable club. Yes, a club can “get by” with fewer athletes. Heck, the mighty Condors once took 3rd place at open Nationals with just 7 athletes and one of them wasn’t really a goalie! (Iron Man Handball at its finest.) But, generally you want enough athletes to scrimmage at practices, for substitution in matches and to handle the natural attrition that occurs due to injuries and other commitments.
It goes without saying that achieving such critical mass is
much easier in big cities. Big cities,
where, you guessed it, there’s a healthy supply of handball loving expats
moving in and out every year. The bigger
the city, the easier such recruitment is.
It should come as no surprise, for instance, that one of the largest and
most international cities in the world, New York City, has such a strong and
vibrant club.
Achieving critical mass in smaller population areas can also
be done. It’s just that it’s much harder
and requires really strong commitment.
And, effective recruitment of stateside Americans to make up for the
shortage of expat players available. So,
a new club is always on the lookout for new athletes to get to the critical
mass needed to practice.
Hurdle 3) A Place to
Practice and Equipment (Balls and Goals)
Once you’ve got enough players it’s then possible to actually practice. But, of course, one can’t really practice without a gym, balls and goals. For the most part, this is a logistical hurdle that can be solved pretty easily with money. Balls and goals can be purchased or in the case of goals, built. Sometimes, USA Team Handball or some other organization can even come through with a donation. A gym to practice in can be a little more tricky. Depending on where the club is being started there may well be issues with finding a gym that’s big enough for a handball court and that can rented for practice at a reasonable cost. And, finding a gym that will allow stickum is also becoming tougher as well.
Which leads to another point: cost. Athletes brand new to a sport are often
reluctant to contribute to the logistical overhead associated with a club. This inevitably means that the fully
committed have to front a lot of these costs.
This can be problematic depending on the number of people willing to
contribute, as well as the financial situation of those people. For the most part, wherever there’s a new
club starting up, it’s a pretty safe to assume that somebody is paying out of
pocket to make it happen.
Hurdle 4) Finding
Opponents to Play
This hurdle is sometimes forgotten, but in the big picture
of things has to be considered. The U.S.
is a huge country and some clubs have better “geography” than others. For the most part this means not being “too
far” from other clubs. Ideally, being
able to drive to competition that is less than 5 hours away. Beyond that distance generally requires
flying for competition and finding enough athletes willing to do that can be
really challenging for a new club.
Changing the Sequence
of Club Organization
I’m sure some reading this have mentally noted that the
order of these hurdles can be altered.
In particular, finding a gym to practice (Hurdle) 3 can be moved
up. This, however, is a risky venture
because it’s not yet certain that the players needed will indeed get
successfully recruited. (You, don’t want
5 people playing catch in an empty gym you’ve rented out.) And, this creates a bit of an awkward chicken
and egg situation. As in, you need
players to practice, but you also need a gym and equipment for those players to
practice.
Insurmountable
Hurdles?
Finally, would be organizers have to also take a hard, critical overview of the overall situation. Are there just too many hurdles? Or, is one hurdle simply too high? The answer to these questions is sometimes yes. I know people like to think that “if there is a will, there is a way” and I guess that’s true to a certain extent. I mean some dynamic handball loving guy in Nome, Alaska could put his heart and soul into establishing a handball team there, but there would be some serious mountains to climb. No handball expats, limited population base and a flight to Vancouver or Seattle just to play some matches. It is theoretically possible that it could be done, it’s just not very unlikely.
A Current Example: Detroit Handball
I’ve been around a while and I’ve seen quite a few clubs
come and go, and even come back. And,
one can generally look at the location and the people behind the effort and
assess what their likelihood of success.
Recently, Joey Williams, has taken on the task of starting a new club in Detroit, Michigan. Joey has been a goalie on the Jr National Team and is pretty high on the “passionate scale” when it comes to handball, having attended a goalie camp in Croatia and trained in Denmark on his own dime.
As I highlighted at the beginning of this article it
generally takes someone pretty committed to take on the effort of starting a
club and Joey is nearly off the charts in that department. Failure in this instance won’t be for lack of
trying.
In terms of recruitment he’s been very active and has been using social media effectively. He’s done an Instagram Takeover of the USA Team Handball Instagram account and recently posted a short infomercial on the new club. “Critical Mass” has not been achieved yet, but generally that takes time.
Depending on how one defines the Detroit metropolitan area there is between 3.7M to 5.3M so that’s quite a few people to draw from. According to this list of metropolitan areas, Detroit is the 11 largest metro area in the U.S. (And, no surprise here: you’ll see quite the correlation between U.S. Handball club locations and the top end of this population ranking.) In fact, one might wonder why there hasn’t been a club effort in Detroit sooner. It’s hard to say for sure, but I would speculate that the economic downturn probably has something to do with it. And, in turn, I’m guessing that has resulted in fewer young expats with a handball background finding their way to the Motor City. Not to say there aren’t some there just that it might be fewer than other cities which are perceived as hipper.
In terms of geography and distance to other clubs Detroit is in pretty good shape. Chicago, Pittsburgh and Columbus, Ohio are within 5 hours drive. And, maybe the development of a Detroit club will spur development of a club program at the University of Michigan so that the Ohio St – Michigan rivalry can be extended to Team Handball.
In terms of logistics, there are a number of suitable gyms,
although they are still looking for one that will allow stickum. And, the capital outlay necessary for balls
and goals is still needed.
Taking into account all of these factors, I would put the
likelihood of a club successfully being established in Detroit as fairly high,
but with one huge caveat. And, that
caveat is that everything seems to be pretty much revolving around one highly
dedicated guy. If Joey can’t continue to
fully dedicate himself to the effort or has to move somewhere else there isn’t
enough of a club established yet to sustain what’s been started.
This is nothing new. In just about every instance of a club being established it has been due to the efforts of a few key (or even just one) individual. And, the same is true in regards to the folding of most clubs. Generally they have folded due to the departure of a few (or even just one) key individual. The clubs that stick around in most cases have been the ones that create a “village” of dedicated individuals that share the load.
If you want to help Joey Williams and the Detroit Handball Club they’ve set up a crowdfunding site. Check out that link and others below.
Detroit Handball Club – Crowdfunding Site: Link – Website: Link – Facebook: Link – Instagram: Link
This grainy screen capture shows the moment the ball contacted Spain’s Ainhoa Hernandez on the goalkeepers throw with 7 seconds left. (Source: Uniformed Handball Hour Tweet: Link)
The Netherlands beat Spain yesterday 30-29 in a compelling match that saw Spain fight it’s way back into the contest in the closing minutes. With 10 seconds left a shot is taken by Alexandrina Cabral and blocked by Dutch keeper Tess Wester. Dutch players streak down to the other end of the court and it appears that a well executed throw from Wester would result in a fast break scoring opportunity. But, Wester’s throw is blocked by Spain’s, Ainhoa Hernandez, and for a moment it appears the game is headed to extra time.
But, only for a moment as Hernandez is shown a red card and a penalty shot is awarded. Lois Abbingh steps up to the 7 m line and calmly scores the game winner as the clock expires.
What exactly was the foul that resulted in the penalty throw? Was it the correct call? And, are the so called “Last 30 Seconds” rules right for the game?
What exactly was the foul that resulted in the penalty throw?
The referee ruled that Hernandez improperly interfered with the goalkeeper’s throw. She did this by touching the ball prior to the ball having left the goalkeeper’s area. Normally, this would be awarded with a 2 minute penalty, but because the infraction occurred in the last 30 seconds of a game a red card and a penalty shot was awarded.
Rule 12:2 The goalkeeper throw is considered to have been taken, when the ball thrown by the goalkeeper has completely crossed the goal-area line. The players of the other team are allowed to be immediately outside the goal-area line, but they are not allowed to touch the ball until it has completely crossed the line (15:4, 15:9, 8:7c).
Rule 6:4 The ball is considered to be ‘out of play’ when the goalkeeper controls the ball in the goal area (12:1). The ball must be put back into play through a goalkeeper throw (12:2).
Rule 8:10 C) if during the last 30 seconds of a game the ball is out of play, and a player or team official prevents or delays the execution of a throw for the opponents, in order to prevent them from being able to take a shot on goal or to obtain a clear scoring chance, the guilty player / official is to be disqualified and a 7m throw is to be granted to the opponents. It applies to any type of interference (e.g., with only limited physical action, interfering with the execution of a throw such as intercepting a pass, interference with the reception of the ball, not releasing the ball).
Was it the correct call?
So, the rules are actually pretty clear. If a player interferes improperly with a goalkeeper’s throw in the last 30 seconds of a match than it’s a red card and a penalty shot.
What’s less clear, though, is whether this is actually what happened. I’ve reviewed this play multiple times and I can’t really tell whether or not the ball was touched by Hernandez inside the 6 meter line or outside the 6 meter line. And, what we are really talking about here is an imaginary plane at the 6 meter line that extends from the floor to the ceiling. Further the ball has to be 100% on the other side of this imaginary plane in order for the ball to be legally touched by a court defender.
Hernandez is fairly close to the line, but she also jumps straight up. It’s only her arms that are swinging forward as they go to block the throw. Are her arms forward enough at the point of impact for it to be a foul? Maybe… Probably? The video’s point of view is center court and it’s really hard to tell from that angle. Whereas the referee (one of the Bonaventura twins) that made the call was actually in a pretty good position to make that call, almost right on the 6 meter line with a perpendicular view.
Based on these circumstances I would go with her call rather than our crappy angle view of a fuzzy video replay. And, if VAR had been available to review this call I can’t imagine a replay official confidently overturning it.
So, the answer is: Yes, it probably was the right call. And, we don’t have sufficient evidence to suggest otherwise.
Are the so called, “Last 30 Seconds” rules right for the game?
This last question is simply opinion, and I’ll make both cases, though I’m really biased in terms of my own view.
Not right for the game: It’s pretty obvious that Fernandez didn’t intentionally interfere with the goalkeeper’s throw. And, this innocent foul resulted in a penalty shot to win the game. Handball is handball and we shouldn’t have different rules at the end of a match. What a horrible way to decide such a tight contest!
Right for the game: Hmm. Looks to me like this foul prevented what would likely have been a fast break goal to win the match. Good thing those last 30 seconds rules are in place. Heck, under those old rules Fernandez could have even entered the goalkeeper’s area and grabbed Wester’s arm to prevent the throw. And, all that would have happened is a red card. Why, some folks would have criticized her for not having done so to ensure the match was won.
As you might guess from my framing of the answers I’m a big proponent of the last 30 seconds rules. And, this advocacy goes back a long ways. At least 10 years. For the whole sordid history check out this podcast on the introduction of the last 30 seconds rules in 2016 with links to earlier articles on the subject. Podcast: Handball’s New Rules (Part 2): Link
The cliff notes version: 2 minute penalties are just simply an inadequate form of punishment at the end of a match. This is because the benefits of disrupting play and preventing the other team from scoring far outweigh the impact of losing one player for a few seconds. With increasing frequency players were taking advantage of this situation with deliberate fouls at the end of the match. Two minutes, red card, suspension in the next match… whatever dude… we still won the match.
The new last 30 seconds rules have put an end to this mockery of the game. For fans of Spain yesterday, those new rules might seem pretty harsh, but the players and coaches know those rules. There were no complaints at the press conference.
Maybe, one could argue that referees should be given the power to weigh player intent. To assess whether the intent was to illegally disrupt play or just to simply play defense. While Fernandez’s block may be an example of intent simply to play it doesn’t take much imagination to think of other examples where actual intent would be much harder to discern. Hence, I would think long and hard about granting referees such mind reading powers to decide match outcomes.
We’ll see what happens, though. Sometimes consequential calls in big matches like this have a way of changing the rules. But, if I had to bet, I’m thinking the more likely outcome will be this match serving as a lesson and reminder of what not to do in the last 30 seconds of a match.
Goalkeeper, Silvia Navarro and Spain will battle the Netherlands for Gold. Both nations are hoping to secure their first world championship. (Photo: Stregspiller.com)
The IHF Women’s World Championships finish up on Sunday with bronze and gold medal matches. Both matches will be broadcast in the U.S. on a tape delayed basis on the NBC Olympic Channel on Sunday afternoon. Fans, that don’t want to wait, however, can watch the Olympic Channel Web Stream (either live or delayed). Both matches are also available on the IHF web stream, but depending on where you live you may need to use VPN.
Sunday, 15 December All Times Local (CET is -8 hrs / US ET is -14 hrs) Odds courtesy of Nordic Bet
NBC TV Schedule: Link How to watch the matches not on NBC: Link
17:30 Bronze Medal Match: Norway vs Russia (-1) (With Commentary from Paul Bray) – Match airs (delayed) in the U.S on the NBC Olympic Channel at 4:00 PM (US ET) – Olympic Channel Video Link (No VPN Required in U.S.) – IHF Website Video Link (VPN Required for some countries) – IHF Match Preview: Link
Hey, wait a second… Wasn’t this was supposed to the the gold medal match? It sure was. Both nations were favored in the semifinal, but came up short. Russia narrowly lost to the Netherlands, 33-32, while Norway played a lackluster match and was dominated by Spain, 28-22. Now playing for bronze it will be interesting to see how both teams respond after such a let down.
My money is on Russia and right back, Anna Vyakhireva. You wouldn’t know by looking at her short stature, 5’6″, but I think she might be the best women’s player in the world now. Certainly, the top passer. Check out this assist compilation: Link. Clever and quick she seems to play a role in most of Russia’s goals. Either by scoring, assisting or doing something that sets up the offensive opportunity one pass later.
20:30 Netherlands (-.5) vs Spain (With commentary from Paul Bray) – Match airs (delayed) in the U.S on the NBC Olympic Channel at 5:30 PM (US ET) on Sunday; Also airs on Tuesday at 10:30 PM (US ET) on the NBC Sports Network – Olympic Channel On Demand Video Link (No VPN Required in U.S.) (posted after the match) – IHF Website Video Link (VPN Required for some countries) – IHF Match Preview: Link
Well, anyone who predicted this as the final coming into the tournament is either a genius or lucky. The Netherlands was 16 to 1 to win the title and Spain was a 33 to 1 long shot.
Spain played consistently for the most part in the preliminary and main rounds, but seemed done for after their last main round match, a comprehensive 36-26 loss to Russia. But, thanks to Montenegro’s defeat of Sweden they got a backdoor entry into the semifinals. And, they didn’t look back. They broke open a close semifinal match (13-13 at halftime) with a dominating performance that shut down Norway offensively on the way to a 28-22 win.
The Netherlands also needed help just to make the semifinals. Fortunately, for them, Norway beat Germany, giving them a back door entry. And, like Spain, they took advantage of the opportunity given to them, beating Russia, 33-32. In doing so, they were also the first team to give the Russians a 60 minute game. The Netherlands have been very consistent in their major tournament performance with a semifinal berth in the last 3 WC, last 2 EC and the 2016 Olympics. But, while consistent they’ve yet to win a title. I’m thinking that may very well change with this World Championship.
Side note: While located in Europe, the Netherlands is not what one would call a “Handball Nation.” There are some clubs in the Netherlands, but it is not nearly as popular or as professional of a sport as it is in Germany, Denmark or France. And, their success may have elements from which nations like the U.S. can draw upon. For more on this topic check out this podcast from 2016
Podcast: Netherlands Women’s Handball: How their 10 year development plan has vaulted them into the world’s elite: Link
Drew Donlin and Ademar Leon Take on Barcelona at 1:00 PM (US ET)
It’s a rest day for the Women’s World Championships. It’s also one of the deadest Saturdays of the year for U.S. sports fans. The college bowl games haven’t started yet, so all that’s on TV is Army vs Navy and some college basketball.
However, there are other options, including an American handball player taking the court against one of the best handball clubs in the world. Really? (Yes, really). Drew Donlin and his club, Ademar Leon will be playing Barcelona at 1:00 PM (US ET) in the semifinals of the ASOBAL cup in Valladolid, Spain.
Dinah Eckerle and Germany must win in order to keep their Olympic hopes alive. (Photo: www.stregspiller.com)
Friday is a big day with two semifinal matches to be broadcast in the U.S. on a tape delayed basis on the NBC Olympic Channel. Fans, that don’t want to wait, however, can watch the Olympic Channel Web Stream (either live or delayed). All matches, including the placement matches, where Germany is in a must situation for Olympic Qualification are also available on the IHF website, but depending on where you live you may need to use VPN.
Friday, 13 December All Times Local (CET is -8 hrs / US ET is -14 hrs) Odds courtesy of Bet365
NBC TV Schedule: Link How to watch the matches not on NBC: Link
11:30 Serbia (-.5) vs Montenegro – IHF Website Video Link (VPN Required for some countries)
This match for 5th place between neighbors has only limited importance as both nations have definitely qualified for one of three separate Olympic Qualification Tournaments. The result of this match will just determine which tournament (#2 or #3) they will be placed in. As of now, it’s pretty uncertain as to which tournament will have a stronger field and present a tougher path to the Olympics meaning there isn’t a whole lot to play for beyond pride.
14:30 Germany (-1) vs Sweden (With commentary from Paul Bray) – IHF Website Video Link (VPN Required for some countries) – IHF Match Preview: Link
On Wednesday, both Germany and Sweden were in a position to make the semifinals. However, they both lost so instead of playing for a medal, they are now playing for 7th place. And, Germany, is now playing for Olympic qualification. Sweden, by virtue of their performance at the 2018 European Championships has already earned a slot for Olympic Qualification Tournament (Tourney #2).
However, Sweden also has something to play for as the winner of this match will be placed into Olympic Qualification Tourney #1. And, unlike tourneys #2 and #3 this tourney is highly desirable to be in since it will include only 2 European Teams fighting for the 2 Olympic slots. Nothing against Argentina and Senegal, but they will clearly be a less formidable foe than either Hungary or Romania. Translation: The winner of this match will qualify for the Olympics with at least 95% certainty.
17:30 Netherlands vs Russia (-3.5) (With Commentary from Paul Bray) – Match airs (delayed) in the U.S on the NBC Olympic Channel at 2:30 PM (US ET) – Olympic Channel Video Link (No VPN Required in U.S.) – IHF Website Video Link (VPN Required for some countries) – Olympic Channel Live Stream: Link – IHF Match Preview: Link
Russia has been on roll and very impressive so far in this tournament. Really, nobody has threatened them. On Wednesday they demolished Spain 36-26. No team has come closer than 7 goals. The Netherlands has played well, but still has three blemishes on their record. In the preliminary round they lost by 6 to Slovenia (which failed to make the main round end up in 19th place) Then in the Main Round they lost to Germany and Denmark, but still managed to squeak through to the semifinal with 6 points. They will need to step up their game if they are to have any hope of stopping Russia.
20:30 Norway (-3.5) vs Spain (With commentary from Paul Bray) – Match airs (delayed) in the U.S on the NBC Olympic Channel at 10:00 PM (US ET) – Olympic Channel Video Link (No VPN Required in U.S.) – IHF Website Video Link (VPN Required for some countries) – Olympic Channel Live Stream: Link – IHF Match Preview: Link
On paper this match should be more interesting than the first semifinal. Norway has played consistently with only a 30-28 loss to the Netherlands. Consistent, but they haven’t been overpowering teams the way Russia has. Spain has also played well, but the heavy loss to Russia and their collapse vs Sweden (a nine goal lead that ended as a draw) would seem to indicate that they are just one Norwegian run of several unanswered goals from being taken out of the match.
Germany will meet Norway in what might be a winner take all showdown for a semifinal berth.
Main Round Play conclude for both Groups today with 6 matches. Who will make the semifinals? Who will get a slot in an Olympic Qualification Tourney. Two of the matches are available in the U.S. on the NBC Olympic Channel. The rest are available on the IHF Website.
NBC TV Schedule: Link How to watch the matches not on NBC: Link IHF Daily Preview: Link
Wednesday, 11 December All Times Local (CET is -8 hrs / US ET is -14 hrs) Odds courtesy of Unibet
Main Group I
Note: Main Group I is pretty complicated in terms of projecting semifinal and Olympic Tournament qualification. So complicated, it got it’s own separate article: Link
15:00 S Korea vs Netherlands (-5) – IHF Website Video Link (VPN Required for some countries)
Any chance the Netherlands has of qualifying for the semifinals starts with beating S Korea first. They will need some help to slip into second place, but it’s possible. South Korea is simply playing for pride. A bit of a disappointing end for a team that did so well in the preliminary round.
18:00 Denmark (-2.5) vs Serbia – IHF Web Stream Video Link (VPN Required for some countries)
Serbia has an outsider’s chance of getting to the semifinals while Denmark can finish no better than 3rd. But, what’s on the line for sure: A chance at Olympic Qualification. The winner will at least finish 4th where they would play in the 7th place match for entry in an Olympic Qualification Tournament; the loser will do no better than 5th and their Olympic dreams are over.
20:30 Norway (-3.5) vs Germany – IHF Web Stream Video Link (VPN Required for some countries)
There are multiple scenarios at play, but by the time this match starts only three scenarios will be left. The most entertaining scenarios: Winner qualifies; Loser takes 3rd. I won’t get in to all the possibilities. It would take too long. For all the possibilities check out this Link
Main Round Group II
15:00 Spain vs Russia (-2.5) (With Commentary from Paul Bray) – Match airs live in the U.S on the NBC Olympic Channel at 1:00 AM (US ET) – Olympic Channel Video Link (No VPN Required) – IHF Website Video Link (VPN Required for some countries)
Russia is undefeated and has already qualified for the semifinals. With a win or a draw they will finish 1st. Spain can take 1st with a win and will take 2nd with a draw. They can also still qualify for the semifinals even if they lose, but it will depend on what Sweden does. If Sweden wins they would be level on points with Spain. And, since Spain and Sweden tied the next tie breaker will be GD in all matches. Spain is currently at +18 and and Sweden is at +12, so the combination of Spain’s loss and a Sweden win will need to be greater than 6 goals. And, then if it’s 6 goals exactly the next tie breaker is total goals scored. And, if that is tied… well then they will draw lots.
18:00 Japan (-2) vs Romania – IHF Website Video Link (VPN Required for some countries)
Not a whole lot to say about this match. Both teams are winless in Main Round play and this match is just for pride.
20:30 Sweden (-1) vs Montenegro (With commentary from Paul Bray) – Match airs live in the U.S on the NBC Olympic Channel at 6:30 AM (US ET) – Olympic Channel Video Link (No VPN Required) – IHF Website Video Link (VPN Required for some countries)
As previously discussed, Sweden may have a chance to pass Spain on goal differential and qualify for the semifinals. But, they likely will have their hands full just beating Montenegro. Regardless, the outcome of this match will determine 3rd and 4th place which actually means something. The 3rd place team will have a guaranteed entry into one of the Olympic Qualification tournaments, whereas 4th place in the group will face off against the other 4th place team in Group 1 for 7th place overall and the last slot for the Olympic Qualification tournaments.
Capturing all the possible scenarios for Main Round Group I will make your head spin. Here’s one problematic scenario that could very well happen.
Main Round action concludes tomorrow (Wednesday) at the 2019 IHF Women’s World Championships. And, with a bunched up standings in (Group I) the possible scenarios are about as complicated as it can get.
Main Round Group I (heading into the final day)
Four teams (Norway, Germany, Netherlands and Serbia) can finish 1st or 2nd and qualify for the semifinals. And, each of these four teams could also fail to qualify.
Adding further complexity, is that there is more to play for than a semifinal berth since final placement at these World Championship will also factor into 2020 Olympic Qualification. The winner automatically qualifies for the 2020 Olympics while places 2-7 will get an entry into an Olympic Qualification tournament.
So placing 3rd in the group will earn an entry and placing 4th will mean playing for an entry in the 7th place match. Norway can finish no worse than 3rd and Germany can finish no worse than 4th. The Netherlands, Serbia and Denmark, however, could find themselves finishing 5th and out of that possibility. (Note: S. Korea as the Asian Champion has already qualified for Tokyo, but they can still play a spoiler role.)
All the Scenarios
With 3 matches to play and 3 possible outcomes (win, lose or draw) for each match that means there are 27 top level scenarios heading into Wednesday’s play. Those scenarios are displayed below. For each scenario the top level standings (points only) is displayed and where teams are level on points, I’ve applied the appropriate tiebreakers. (Those tiebreakers are displayed at the very bottom of this post.) For the most part those tiebreaker standings are known, but there are a few where the final GD might apply, although it is unlikely. (Those scenarios have an asterisk in them.)
How to use the charts: The Netherlands and S. Korea will play the first match. There are 9 scenarios associated with each outcome (win, lose, draw) of that match. So, after the outcome of that match is known, 2 of the charts below will no longer apply, leaving only 1 chart with 9 possibilities. Serbia and Denmark will then play. After that match is completed there were only be 3 scenarios left for the final match between Germany and Norway.
If the Netherlands beats S. Korea
If S. Korea beats the Netherlands
If the Netherlands and S. Korea play to a draw
How these scenarios apply to each nation
Norway: If Norway wins or draws vs Germany they will finish 1st in the Group. If Norway loses to Germany they will finish 2nd or 3rd. 3rd if the Netherlands beats S. Korea. 2nd if the Netherlands loses or draws with S. Korea.
Germany: If Germany beats Norway they will finish 1st in the Group. If Germany loses or draws vs Norway they will finish 2nd, 3rd or 4th. I won’t go in to detail here. (That’s what the chart is for)
Netherlands: If the Netherlands beats S. Korea they will likely finish 2nd in the Group. The only thing that could possibly slip them up is a draw between Germany and Norway. If they play to a draw with S. Korea there is one scenario where they still could capture 2nd and they can finish no worse than 4th. If they lose to S. Korea they will finish 4th, 5th and 6th depending on the outcomes of other matches.
Serbia: Serbia has an outside chance of finishing 2nd in the group. In order to finish 2nd, they first need the Netherlands to lose or draw vs S. Korea. Then, Serbia needs to beat Denmark. And, then finally, they need Norway to beat or play to a draw vs Germany. In terms of Olympic Tournament qualification a Serbian win or draw vs Denmark guarantees a group finish of 4th or better. A loss, however, means either a 5th or 6th place finish.
Denmark: Denmark cannot finish 1st or 2nd so their match vs Serbia is just for Olympic qualification. A win will guarantee a 3rd or 4th place finish. A loss means 5th or 6th. A draw might mean a 4th place finish, but only if S. Korea can beat the Netherlands.
S. Korea: S. Korea has already qualified for the 2020 Olympics and can finish no higher than 4th. But, they will be looking to win and should they do so they would likely put a damper in the Netherlands Olympic plans.
A Problematic Scenario (That’s Quite Possible, Too)
Should the Netherlands first beat S. Korea and then Denmark beats Serbia in the day’s second match these will be the 3 possible outcomes heading into the Germany – Norway match.
If one just looks at “win” outcomes Germany and Norway are essentially playing an elimination match. Winner takes 1st and qualifies for the semifinal. The loser finishes 3rd. But, should Germany and Norway play to a draw… both teams go through and the Netherlands finishes 3rd. Now, I highly doubt that either team will start out playing for a draw. For sure, both teams would probably prefer to finish 1st in the group and possibly avoid Russia. But, in the closing minutes with the score tied might this reality change. It very well could. An aggressive attack might win the match, but a turnover and a fast break goal would cost a semifinal berth.
Montenegro takes on Russia in Main Round Group II action.
Main Round Play continues with Group II now playing 3 matches while Group I has a rest day. Two of these matches are available in the U.S. on the NBC Olympic Channel.
NBC TV Schedule: Link How to watch the matches not on NBC: Link IHF Daily Preview: Link
Tuesday, 10 December All Times Local (CET is -8 hrs / US ET is -14 hrs) odds courtesy of 10bet
Main Round Group II
Main Round Group II after 3 matches
15:00 Montenegro vs Russia (-3) – IHF Website Video Link (VPN Required for some countries)
Russia has been the most impressive team of the tournament so far, with no team coming closer than 8 goals. Montenegro has also played well with their only loss being to the other undefeated team in the group, Spain.
18:00 Japan vs Spain (-5.5) (With Commentary from Paul Bray) – Match airs live in the U.S on the NBC Olympic Channel at 4:00 AM (US ET) – Olympic Channel Video Link (No VPN Required) – IHF Website Video Link (VPN Required for some countries)
On Monday Spain appeared to be on track for an easy victory against Sweden, leading by 8 goals in the 2nd half. Somehow they let that lead slip away ending the match with a 28-28 draw. They will look to rebound from that disappointing draw with a win today against Japan. The hosts have played competitively, but have yet to get a signature win against a European side at this tournament
20:30 Sweden (-5) vs Romania (With commentary from Paul Bray) – Match airs live in the U.S on the NBC Olympic Channel at 6:30 AM (US ET) – Olympic Channel Video Link (No VPN Required) – IHF Website Video Link (VPN Required for some countries)
Sweden salvaged a draw yesterday to keep their semifinal hopes alive. They take on Romania which has struggled and at this point is playing for a 4th place finish and entry into an Olympic Qualification Tournament.
Main Round Play continues with Group I playing 3 matches while Group II takes the day off. Two of these matches are available in the U.S. on the NBC Olympic Channel.
NBC TV Schedule: Link How to watch the matches not on NBC: Link IHF Daily Preview: Link
Monday, 9 December All Times Local (CET is -8 hrs / US ET is -14 hrs) odds courtesy of Bwin
Main Round Group I
Main Round Group I after 3 matches
15:00 Serbia vs Germany (-2) – IHF Website Video Link (VPN Required for some countries)
Germany looks to solidify their chances for the semifinals while Serbia hopes to make it two wins in a row after after their victory over S. Korea yesterday. Making the semifinals for Serbia, will require quite a bit of help though so Serbia may more realistically be shooting for 4th in the group to qualify for an Olympic Qualification Tournament.
18:00 Denmark vs Netherlands (-1) (With Commentary from Paul Bray) – Match airs live in the U.S on the NBC Olympic Channel at 4:00 AM (US ET) – Olympic Channel Web Stream Video Link (No VPN Required in U.S.) – IHF Web Stream Video Link (VPN Required for some countries)
Both teams lost yesterday and will be looking to rebound with a win. The Netherlands will still make the semifinals if they win their next two matches. Denmark, like Serbia is probably playing for 4th place now.
20:30 Norway (-3.5) vs South Korea (With commentary from Paul Bray) – Match airs live in the U.S on the NBC Olympic Channel at 6:30 AM (US ET) – Olympic Channel Web Stream Video Link (No VPN Required in U.S.) – IHF Web Stream Video Link (VPN Required for some countries)
Norway got off to a slow start yesterday, but came back for a key win over Denmark. A win today sets up a possible showdown match vs Germany on Wednesday for a semifinal slot. S Korea suffered their first lost of the tournament yesterday vs Serbia. Any hopes of making the semifinals will probably mean beating Norway today and then knocking off the Netherlands on Wednesday.
Norway takes on Denmark in their first Main Round match. Watch it live on the NBC Olympic Channel at 6:30 AM (US ET)
Preliminary Group Play is over and the top 3 teams from Groups A and B have combined to form Main Round Group I and Groups C and D have combined to form Main Round Group II. The top 2 teams from each group will make the semifinals.
All of the teams that didn’t advance to the Main Round have been vanquished to consolation play in the President’s Cup.
There are also more viewing options in the United States as the NBC Olympic Channel will now be airing two matches on TV each day. And, this is really good news: The schedule has changed with more live matches and without truncation to one hour. NBC TV Schedule: Link
18:00 Germany vs Netherlands (-2.5) (With Commentary from Paul Bray) <Will air in the U.S on the NBC Olympic Channel at 4:30 PM (US ET)> – Olympic Channel Video Link(No VPN Required) – IHF Website Video Link (VPN Required for some countries)
20:30 Norway (-2.5) vs Denmark Video Link (With commentary from Paul Bray) <LIVE in the U.S on the NBC Olympic Channel at 6:30 AM (US ET)> – Olympic Channel Video Link(No VPN Required) – IHF Website Video Link (VPN Required for some countries)
This group starts with a bang as the Netherlands takes on Germany in a battle of Group leaders. Norway takes on Denmark in the other NBC match. Should be interesting to see if Norway can bounce back from their loss to the Netherlands.
Main Round Group II Standings (Preliminary Group Games Carried Through)
15:00 Romania vs Russia (-6) Video Link 18:00 Montenegro (-3.5) vs Japan Video Link 20:30 Spain (-1.5) vs Sweden Video Link
Russia should have no problem with a Romanian side that just squeaked into the Main Round. Hosts Japan take on Montenegro and Sweden will try to draw level on points with Spain.
Not a whole lot to say regarding the President’s Cup other than it will be interesting to see how some of the continents outside of Europe fare against each other. And, that it’s really something to see the defending champions, France playing for 13th.
President’s Cup (13th – 16th)
12:30 Angola vs France (-6) Video Link 12:30 Hungary (-7) vs Argentina Video Link
President’s Cup (17th – 20th)
15:00 Slovenia (-1.5) vs Brazil Video Link 18:00 Senegal (-5.5) vs DR Congo Video Link
President’s Cup (21st – 24th)
10:00 Cuba (-10) vs Australia Video Link 12:30 Kazakhstan vs China (-2.5) Video Link