Final Four 3rd Place and Championship (CET is 6 hours ahead of US ET)
EHF Champions League Final Four
Seven months later than planned due to the coronavirus pandemic the EHF Champions League Final Four takes center stage this Monday and Tuesday. It will be a little surreal seeing the normally sold out Laxness Arena in Cologne empty, but it will still be handball well worth watching.
How to Watch: If there is no TV contract where you live the matches will be available live on ehfTV. In the U.S and Canada the only way you can watch will be on beIN Sports XTRA, which is a free streaming service: More Info List of TV contracts by nation: Link Tom ‘Brannagáin will be providing English commentary for all 4 matches.
Odds: Barcelona, which is undefeated this season in all competitions, is a big favorite: Here are the odds for each team to win the tournament:
TSV Bayer Dormagen vs Gummersbach (-2.5) (Wednesday, 1930 CET): Link (VPN required; More info; What I use)
Ian and Patrick Hueter play for Dormagen. Dormagen is on a roll and will finish 202 with a huge challenge, taking on VFL Gummersbach which has lost only one game all season
Would you like to be informed as to when handball can be streamed online? If yes, follow Team Handball News on social media for updates like this as well as breaking alerts for unplanned opportunities like the free HBL matches that seem to pop up from time to time.
The EHF Champions League Final Four will only be on beIN Sports XTRA in the U.S. and Canada
Attention American and Canadian handball fans: If you are planning on watching the EHF Champions League Final Four this coming Monday and Tuesday (28-29 December) on ehfTV I’ve got some bad news for you:
The bane of handball fans everywhere, the dreaded geo-block, will be in force at ehftv.
The good news, however, is that the matches will be available for free on beIN Sports Xtra. beIN Sports Xtra is a free streaming service that is now available with multiple streaming channels.
How to Watch beIN Sports XTRA on Roku
To watch on your Roku, go to your home screen and look for the “Roku Channel” icon. It’s a streaming channel just like Netflix or Hulu and should be readily available. (If not, you can add it just like you would any other channel.) Click on the Roku Channel icon and then scroll down until you see “beIN Sports XTRA” icon. Click on it and the channel should start playing. It’s live so, there are commercials just like what you would see on a TV channel.
How to Watch Over The Air
The Roku channel is also available “Over the Air” on the following digital channels in these cities. Yes, many of us are used to our cable/satellite options, but in these cities you can switch your TV input to Digital and watch over the air in HD.
Another Option: VPN
I guess there’s another option. One could also use VPN to watch from another country. However, as VPN sometimes results in a less quality signal and beIN Sports XTRA is free there aren’t too many good reasons to resort to VPN. I suppose if none of the multiple methods for watching beIN Sports XTRA are available it could be an alternative. More info on VPN: Link
beIn Sports XTRA Final Four Schedule
Would you like to be informed as to when handball can be streamed online? If yes, follow Team Handball News on social media for updates like this as well as breaking alerts for unplanned opportunities like the free HBL matches that seem to pop up from time to time.
Ian Hueter and Dormagen take on Wilhelmshaven in a Boxing Day Matchup
Most of the pro leagues have shut down for the winter break, but the German Bundesliga marches on. Odds courtesy of Unibet.
American Athletes in Action
Germany HBL 2:
TV Wilhelmshaven vs TSV Bayer Dormagen (Pick em) (Saturday, 1930 CET): Link (VPN required; More info; What I use)
Ian and Patrick Hueter play for Dormagen. Dormagen had a huge win over VfL Lübeck-Schwartau on Wednesday and they have climbed the table to 4th place. Wilhelmshaven is in 12th place and 2 points will solidify their place in the standings. Dormagen has one more match to play and it’s a big one. On the 30th they will host 2nd place Gummersbach which is coached by the Icelandic legend, Guðjón Valur Sigurðsson.
Leipzig vs Flensburg (-2.5) (Sunday, 1430 CET): Link (VPN might be required; More info; What I use)
1st Place Flensburg travels to 6th place Leipzig. Flensburg needs every point to stay ahead of Kiel while Leipzig wants to move up in the standings for a shot at a European League slot for next year.
Would you like to be informed as to when handball can be streamed online? If yes, follow Team Handball News on social media for updates like this as well as breaking alerts for unplanned opportunities like the free HBL matches that seem to pop up from time to time.
The following is an English translation of an article that appears in the latest edition of the German magazine, HANDBALL Inside
The Los Angeles Project
By Erik Eggers
Because qualification was canceled due to the Coronavirus, the USA received a wildcard for the 2021 World Championships. This unexpected participation is only one step on the ambitious road to the Olympic Games in 2028.
Ian Hüter, 23, was sitting at his desk in Neuss and was completely immersed in his studies. He is working on his Bachelors Degree in International Business in Venlo. But then his WhatsApp almost knocked him off his chair: Robert Hedin, the USA head coach, in short, informed the team that they had received a wild card for the upcoming World Championships in Egypt from the IHF. “I got goose bumps when I read that,” says Hüter. “That’s really sheer madness”!
And so he will, Hueter realized, soon lead Team USA onto the court in Egypt against France, Norway and Austria. The center back for second division Bayer Dormagen has been the captain of the team for a while and his brother Patrick is also a member of the squad. “It will be fantastic, we are all just happy to be part of it “, he reports in an interview with HANDBALL inside. “We are all nuts for it, everyone can easily imagine that.”
This wildcard fuels the long-term project to bring handball in the USA up to world-class by the Olympic Games 2028 in Los Angeles and to popularize the sport on the most important market in the world (see “Utopia of handball”, Inside Handball Edition # 23) . The influx of potential candidates is increasing. “Since it has become clear that we will be at this World Championship already, a lot of players with an American passport have contacted us,” confirms national coach Hedin.
Among them were two professionals or semi-professionals from the Liga ASOBAL, the top Spanish league. “For one of the two players the World Championship won’t be happening this time, since his passport won’t be ready in time,” says Hedin. But he will invite the second player, Alexandré Chan Blanco (Dicsa Modular Cisne) to the preparatory training camp. Another will be a Hungarian pro who sent Hedin a video of himself playing against Veszprém in the Hungarian league. “I will also take a very close look at him during the camp,” says Hedin.
The criticism, especially in the Scandinavian media, that Greenland didn’t get the wild card award because the IHF has was only interested in economic goals, has little effect on the Swedish coach. “There will always be people who are dissatisfied with it,” says the European champion from 1994. The IHF simply had to make a decision after the qualifying tournaments in Mexico and Puerto Rico were cancelled.
From an athletic point of view, he cannot understand the allegations anyway. Says Hedin, “In comparison, we are no worse than Greenland.” With players like the Hüter brothers or circle runner, Domagoj Srsen, (Wilhelmshaven), we have already made progress. Circle runner, Drew Donlin, who also played in Dormagen, is meanwhile gaining valuable experience with Ademar Leon.
The national team is logistically controlled from Germany. The team manager is Andreas Hertelt, who won the European Cup in 1989 under Hotti Bredemeier with TuRu Düsseldorf (see also questions in Handball Inside Edition #29). Hertelt is looking for ways to organize the training camp originally planned in Norway. “It looks like we’ll all meet in Denmark at the beginning of January,” says Hedin, explaining the current state of affairs.
Hertelt, who lives in Krefeld, is also trying to acquire additional sponsors for the World Cup on short notice. A major sponsor has been emblazoned on the jersey since January: the American communications company Verizon. Its CEO, Hans Erik Vestberg, was once the president of the Swedish Handball Federation. In the long term, sponsor acquisition should also be easier, because the IHF Council has already decided to provide Team USA with a wildcard for the World Championships in 2025 (in Croatia, Denmark and Norway) and 2027 (in Germany) in order to help the team be more competitive at the 2028 Olympic tournament.
Also embedded in the US project is Stefan Bögel from Solingen, who used to work as a player’s agent in the Bundesliga, but now is primarily responsible for the female second division team HSV Solingen-Gräfrath. Bögl specifically coordinates the scouting of the younger age groups who are eligible for the 2028 Olympics, today’s A and B youth (ages 16-19) players. “The prospect of participating in the Olympic Games in Los Angeles is extremely tempting,” says Bögl.
PROMISING OUTLOOK
When they showed up with a US team at the Sauerland Cup in January, many young people with a U.S. passport had already approached him. Unfortunately, the coronavirus pandemic prevented further scouting. A training camp planned in Luxembourg was canceled. “A lot has been destroyed by Corona,” complains Bögl, who emphasizes that the US association does not find players with money. “We are not Qatar, which has naturalized ready-made professionals with a lot of money,” he says.
“For a long time many players even have had to pay for their own transatlantic flight tickets,” assures Bögl. Ian Hüter confirms that. Yes, that happened in his early days with the program, especially during the training camp in Alabama. “We paid for the flight to Atlanta ourselves,” he says. “But for the PANAM Games in Lima in 2019, the Federation paid all the costs.”
Even before the surprising wildcard at the beginning of November, the U.S. federation was testing some highly talented junior players. Hedin has high hopes for Luke Bolte from Tiffin, Ohio. The 20-year-old pivot, who is 1.95 meters tall, weighs over 100 kilograms and has a perfect physique for handball, made his debut during the Sauerland Cup. Bolte will also take part in the Pre-World Championships training camp, said Hedin.
Most of all, however, there is Tristan Morawski, 15, a very promising left-handed backcourt whose father played for the Polish national team and who is not shy about aiming for very big goals: “I want to become the Michael Jordan of handball,” the over two meter tall teenager announced in conversation with the Olympic Channel. Hedin says he thinks it’s good when kids set high goals for themselves. But for the World Championships in Egypt Morawski will not be able to participate. “The age limit is 16 years.” Morawski’s 13-year-old brother Kailan is also assessed as having excellent talent.
Tristan Morawski also made his debut at the Sauerland Cup in January playing for the U.S. U19 team as a 14-year-old and has been even more motivated ever since. “I want to be the best,” he says, emulating his role model, Mikkel Hansen. “I want to play in the Olympics, win gold and be an MVP.” He dreams that handball will be as popular as basketball in the US in the not too distant future. It is his goal to expose handball to a larger audience, said Morawski.
Initially, however, he will also benefit from the support program established by the Forum Club Handball (FCH) to provide handball training for talented prospects. The association of the leading European top clubs is spending a total of seven figures on this, announced its managing director, Gerd Butzeck, in this magazine two years ago. The German goalkeeper René Ingram is now with IFK Kristianstad, and the talented goalkeeper Nico Robinson moved from the upper division TuS Dotzheim to Elverum this past summer.
Circle runner, Bolte, and Morawski are to be trained at the SG Flensburg-Handewitt Academy. “I can’t even put into words how much I’m looking forward to it,” says the young left-hander. “I can hardly wait.” Exactly the same development is intended for the female talents, because the US women will also have a team at the 2028 Olympic Games in Los Angeles.
FEMALE ADVANCEMENT
The idea behind the training program is that sustainable development is only possible if the US prospects are fully immersed in the handball environment associated with a top club. It would be a mistake to rely solely on athletes like winger Gary Hines, who played for a long time in the 3rd division at HSC Bad Neustadt and now, as a 36-year-old, is finishing out his career with Bögel’s home club Solingen-Gräfrath while concentrating on his coaching education. “Gary is incredibly fit,” says Bögel about the man who has already proven his physique several times on the RTL show “Ninja Warrior Germany”. “But, of course, you can tell that he didn’t play handball in his youth.”
A strong US team for Los Angeles is one thing. “The other thing is that handball has to grow in the USA,” says Hedin. “At some point we need a league system in the United States that also generates presence in the U.S. media.” Jean Brihault, the former EHF president, who also sees opportunities in college sport, has been working towards this goal for more than two years (see Interview in Handball Inside Edition #23: Translation). Initiatives like this have, of course, taken place in the past: The successful participation of the U.S. team in the 1972 Olympic Games in Munich fizzled out, as did as the international match between Germany and Poland, which the German Horst-Dieter Esch, who was in charge of USA Team Handball at the time, played and organized in Chicago in 2010. In any case, there is a lot of work ahead for the handball developers in the USA.
In Egypt, however, as everyone involved is well aware, they will have to set their sights quite a bit lower. “I’m afraid we will get kicked in the face really hard at the World Cup,” Bögel suspects. “It’s not going to be enough for France and Norway” Hedin says and laughs out loud on the phone. We will probably end up in the Presidents Cup, in which places 25 to 32 will be determined. “Our goal is to win USA’s first World Championships game,” says Hedin. “Every game at this level is important for our development.”
Captain Ian Hüter regrets he won’t encounter injured legend Nikola Karabatic on the Giza pitch. “But there are also a lot of other great players that we will be up against, like Sander Sagosen,” he said. Above all, he is looking forward to meeting the French double world champion Kentin Mahé, who was trained like Hüter in Dormagen. “Kenny even went to the same school as me then,” says Hüter, “and as a kid I stood in the stands when he played. Of course, I looked up to him.” Perhaps in Giza there will be an opportunity to chat with his former idol about Dormagen. Or even outplay him and score a goal.
Thanks to Erik Eggers for providing a copy of the article and to Christa Ingram who assisted with its translation.
A few notes:
Luke Bolte will not be taking part in the Pre World Championship training camp mentioned in the article.
Tristan Morawski is already training at the Flensburg Academy.
Pal Merkovszki, a GK for Gyöngyösi KK is the unnamed Hungarian player.
Analysis of the USA’s 20 man roster for the World Championships: Link
For more on the Forum Club Handball’s support to USA athletes check out this podcast interview with Andreas Hertelt: Link
Istres hosts Montpellier on Youtube Channel LNH TV... Would you believe me if I said saw these two sides play each other in a neutral site match in Florida?
It’s getting closer to the winter break, but there’s still a smattering of matches this week. Odds courtesy of Bet MGM.
American Athletes in Action
Germany HBL 2:
TSV Bayer Dormagen vs VfL Lübeck-Schwartau (Wednesday, 1930 CET): Link (VPN required; More info; What I use)
TV Wilhelmshaven vs TSV Bayer Dormagen (Saturday, 1930 CET): Link (VPN required; More info; What I use)
Ian and Patrick Hueter play for Dormagen. While many of the national leagues have shut down for Christmas, that’s not the case with Germany. In fact, Dormagen has yet another game scheduled for the 30th.
Granollers (-5.5) vs Nava (Tuesday, 1900 CET) Video Link
Would you like to be informed as to when handball can be streamed online? If yes, follow Team Handball News on social media for updates like this as well as breaking alerts for unplanned opportunities like the free HBL matches that seem to pop up from time to time.
Times above are CET. The Bronze Medal Match will air at 9:30 AM (US ET) and the Gold Medal Match will air at 12:00 PM (US ET)
Sunday, 20 December(Herning, Denmark) All Times Local (CET) / US ET is -6 hrs) Odds courtesy of BetMGM
Bronze Medal Match 15:30Croatia vs Denmark (-5.5) (Live on ehfTV) (Commentary: Paul Bray)
The bronze medal match features hosts Denmark vs “just happy to be here” Croatia. Going into the tournament my one prediction was that this tournament would be unpredictable. And, I guess I was somewhat right. Croatia making the semifinals is a truly out of nowhere outcome that no one saw coming. They came back down to earth on Friday vs France and they would surely like to put on a better show today vs Denmark.
Denmark is surely smarting from the loss to Norway. A game that looked liked within their reach, but gradually slipped away. I suspect, however, that they will shake off that disappointment for a bronze medal. 5.5 goals seems about right to me, though, and I’m staying away from any wage on this match.
Gold Medal Match 18:00 France vs Norway (-2.5) (Live on ehfTV and beIN Sports Xtra: How to watch) (Commentary: Paul Bray) EHF Euro website preview: Link
Well, it took awhile for everything to sort itself out, but the 2 strongest favorites going into the tournament will indeed meet each other in Final. Norway looked unstoppable until Friday when they had to dig themselves out of a 3 goal halftime hole vs Denmark. They erased that deficit and went on to win, 27-24. Meanwhile France had no problems whatsoever in their semifinal, easily defeating Croatia, 30-19.
I like France in this match, mostly for their tough, physical defense that can cause real problems for Norway in their set offense. How good can France’s defense be when they put their mind to it? They held Croatia to 5 goals in the first half. Now, obviously, Norway has quite a bit more firepower than Croatia, but that same type of defensive effort should give France a leg up in this match. I like France (+270) to win this match outright.
Will the incredible Croatian fairy tale continue? Photo courtesy of Stregspiller. Check out their Website and Instagram Account.
Friday, 18 December(Herning, Denmark) All Times Local (CET) / US ET is -6 hrs) Odds courtesy of BetMGM
5th Place Match 15:30Russia (-1.5) vs Netherlands (Live on ehfTV) (Commentary: Paul Bray)
The big question regarding this match? Why is it even being played? The EHF is awarding 4 direct tickets to the 2021 World Championships and the 5th place match in many instances would serve to identify the 4th ticket. This is because one of the semifinalists might already have a World Championships slot. However, since Spain and the defending World Champions, Netherlands, both failed to make the semifinal all four semifinalists have taken all the direct tickets. Therefore this match is essentially a pointless friendly. And, really pointless in the middle of a pandemic.
Semifinal #1 18:00 France (-4.5) vs Croatia (Live on ehfTV and beIN Sports Xtra: How to watch) (Commentary: Paul Bray) EHF Euro website preview: Link
Heading into the tournament Croatia were 100-1 odds to win it all. 40-1 odds to finish in the top 3. They’ve been underdogs in all 6 matches they’ve played and they are outright winners in 5 of those matches, losing like every other team, to Norway. And, get this:
The Croatian women have never played in a semifinal at a major international tournament before.
Never? Yes, kind of surprising when one things of all the success the Men’s team has had over the years. Can they buck all the odds and naysayers yet one more time?
I just don’t think so. On paper, France is clearly the better and more experienced team. Strong defense accompanied by fast breaks should make things rather tough for Croatia. Yes, unfortunately, I think this great story will likely come to an end.
Semifinal #2 20:30 Norway (-4.5) vs Denmark (Live on ehfTV and beIN Sports Xtra: How to watch (Commentary: Paul Bray) EHF Euro website preview: Link
Norway has steam rolled over the competition so far barely breaking a sweat. They’ve won the 6 matches they’ve played by an average of 11.5 goals. The Netherlands came closest losing to Norway by just 7 goals. Are they that good? Or… have they largely benefitted from a grouping of weaker competition with a depleted Netherlands side actually being the best team they’ve faced so far?
Meanwhile Denmark has had to fight it out with France and Russia. Could they be the battle tested side ready to take down mighty Norway? Denmark did play Norway close in a couple of friendly matches before the tournament. Losing both contests by scores of 29-26 and 27-25.
Normally, this match would be in front of a packed house with a Danish crowd cheering on the hosts. Perhaps willing the home team on towards an upset. In the time of Coronavirus, however, it will be a rather quiet surreal affair. And, because of this I suspect the clinical Norwegian side will gradually wear down the Danes for a comfortable victory.
Irun hosts Barcelona in a Liga ASOBAL battle at the top of the table. It could be the best chance for an ASOBAL foe to knock off Barca this season.
The Women’s European Championship wraps up this weekend, but at the same time, there’s still plenty of Men’s pro club action. Odds courtesy of Bet MGM.
American Athletes in Action
Germany HBL 2: TV Emsdetten (Pick em) vs TSV Bayer Dormagen (pickn (Friday, 1930 CET): Link (VPN required)
Ian and Patrick Hueter play for Dormagen. Dormagen hung tough with co-league leaders, Hamburg earlier in the week for most of the way, but ended up losing 32-26. They will be looking to rebound with 2 points vs Emsdetten, a team that is currently in the relegation zone.
You also might want to check out this video feature on the Hueter Brothers: Link (in German).
France Pro Ligue: Angers vs Besancon (Friday, 2000 CET): Link
Abou Fofana plays for Angers. Last weekend Angers had a dismal 28-20 loss to Sarrebourg, another struggling team at the bottom of the league table. On Friday night they get a chance to end the first half of the season on a positive note as they host Besancon a team just 4 points ahead of them in the standings.
Spain Liga Asobal: Huesca vs Leon (-1.5) (Saturday, 1800 CET): Link
Circle Runner, Drew Donlin plays for Leon. Should be a good battle between 4th place Leon and 5th place Huesca. <<Postponed due to positive COVID tests>>
Paul Bray: 30+ Years and Over 2,000 Handball Matches
Perhaps you’ve been enjoying the 2020 Women’s European Handball Championship and the commentary provided by Paul Bray for the matches in Herning. What you may not know, however, is that Bray has been commentating on handball for over 30 years. Yes, he was commentating even when I was still playing. I’ll never forget watching watching matches during the 1993 World Championships in our hotel room and everyone laughing at the British voice calling an offensive foul… barging.
The IHF World Handball magazine has a great story on Paul Bray to mark his now 30 years of handball commentary. (See images below; for some reason it’s not available yet at the IHF website) It’s a wonderful trip down memory lane for old timers and some great education for newcomers as to just how far handball broadcasts have come.
Some of the same history was covered in this podcast interview with Paul Bray from the 2007 World Championships in Germany. We even speculated a bit about how web streaming might help the sport in the years to come. Dare I say it: we even seem prescient.
Upstarts Croatia take on Germany in one of two direct duel matches for a semifinal berth. (Denmark vs Russia is the other)
It’s decision day for the 2020 Women’s European Handball Championships as the final day of Main Round Group play concludes with 6 matches. When the dust settles we’ll know who will play who in the semifinals on Friday. Here are the standings, scenarios, video links, odds and some preview articles that were written before these matches were played.
Tuesday, 15 December All Times Local (CET) / US ET is -6 hrs) Odds courtesy of BetMGM
Main Round Group I (Herning, Denmark)
Main Round Group I Standings (Prior to Matches on 15 Dec)
Main Round Group I Daily Preview at the Euro 2020 official site: Link
16:00 Montenegro vs Spain (-1.5) (Live on ehfTV) (Commentary: Paul Bray)
18:15 France (-5.5) vs Sweden (Live on ehfTV) (Commentary: Paul Bray)
20:30 Denmark vs Russia (-1.5) (Live on ehfTV and beIN Sports Xtra: How to watch (Commentary: Paul Bray)
France will play Sweden first and then Denmark will take on Russia. Here are the 9 different possible outcomes for the combination of results for those 2 matches:
Main Round Group I Scenarios
Scenarios to Make the Semifinals
Here is what each nation needs to do to advance to the semifinals:
Denmark: Denmark has to beat Russia in order to qualify for the semifinals.
France: If France wins or draws vs Sweden they will qualify for the semifinals. If France loses to Sweden they can still qualify if Russia beats Denmark or the Russia-Denmark match is a draw. They can even still qualify if Russia loses to Denmark, but it is a mathematical improbability. (See note below)
Russia: If Russia wins or draws vs Denmark they will qualify for the semifinals. If Russia loses to Denmark they will still likely qualify if Sweden beats France. (See note below)
What About 1st Place and Avoiding Norway?
Norway has looked very strong and has already won Main Round Group II. This means finishing first in the Group and avoiding Norway in the semifinals is highly desirable.
There are multiple scenarios, but Russia is in the strongest position as they are likely to win any tiebreakers with France. France is in the next strongest position as they win any tiebreakers with Denmark. Finally, Denmark does have one possibility for finishing first: Demark beating Russia and Sweden beating France
A side note on a mathematical improbability*
Russia and France are level on points and played to a 28-28 draw earlier in the competition. This means that should they finish level on points the first tiebreaker will be goal differential in all matches. Russia is currently +14 and France is +5. This means that if both France/Russia lose or both France/Russia win, France would have to gain 10 goals on Russia in the matches played. While this is possible given the teams playing it seems unlikely that much ground could be made up. Additionally, Russia playing second would know exactly what margin they would need to maintain a goal differential advantage.
Main Round Group II (Kolding, Denmark)
Main Round Group II Standings (Prior to Matches on 15 Dec)
Main Round Group II Daily Preview at the Euro 2020 official site: Link
16:00 Netherlands (-4.5) vs Romania (Live on ehfTV) (Commentary: Clayton Lucas)
18:15 Croatia vs Germany (-1.5) (Live on ehfTV) (Commentary: Clayton Lucas)
20:30 Hungary vs Norway (-7.5) (Live on ehfTV) (Commentary: Clayton Lucas)
Norway is undefeated and has already beaten Germany and Croatia so no matter the outcomes of matches played Tuesday they will finish first. This leaves Croatia and Germany fighting for 2nd. The Netherlands can no longer qualify, but their match vs the Romania may have an impact on which team gets second. Here are the 9 different possible outcomes for the combination of results for those 2 matches:
Main Round Group II Scenarios
Scenarios to Make the Semifinals
Here is what each nation needs to do to advance to the semifinals:
Norway: Norway is guaranteed to finish first. Their match vs Hungary will have no bearing on the final standings.
Croatia: If Croatia wins or draws vs Germany they will qualify for the semifinals. If the Netherlands beats Romania they can also still qualify for the semifinals with a 1 goal loss to Germany. (See note below)
Germany: If Germany wins vs Croatia they will qualify for the semifinals. They will also have to win by 2 goals in the Netherlands beats Romania. (See note below)
Why the Netherlands has been eliminated, but their match with Romania could still impact qualification
Should the Netherlands beat Romania and Germany beat Croatia all three teams will be level on 6 points. The next tiebreaker is head to head goal differential n the 3 matches played. The table below depicts the current goal differential for each team and how that goal differential will change based on Germany’s margin of victory in the their match vs Croatia
As you can see the Netherlands has already played their two matches and is stuck at -1 goal differential. And, it is a mathematical impossibility for a -1 goal differential to ever head to the top of the table. If the Netherland had managed a 2 or larger goal win they would have had ever increasing chances. As it is, however, Croatia goes through if Germany wins by 1. If Germany wins by two or more they will go through to the semifinals.
A big challenge for Dormagen and the Hueter brothers on Tuesday
The 2020 EHF Women’s Handball European Championships is in full swing, but there’s still plenty of Men’s club action to watch this week as well. Here’s a summary of the next 3 days.
American Athletes in Action
Germany HBL 2: Hamburg (-3.5) vs Dormagen (Tuesday, 1800 CET): Link (VPN Required)
The Hueter brothers, Ian and Patrick play for Dormagen
Dormagen looked sharp last Friday, a 27-19 victory over Hamm-Westphalia. Now they travel to Hamburg to take on 2nd place Hamburg. A side with clear aspirations to move up to the HBL next season
Hungary K&H League: Gyöngyös vs Eger (Wednesday, 1800 CET): Link
GK, Pal Merkovszki, plays for Gyongyos
This will be the last game of the year for Gyongyos
Check out Merkovszki from this match earlier vs Komlo: Link
The Netherlands narrow 28-27 victory over Germany has made things clearing in Main Round Group II. Here are the standings with just the Hungary-Romania match remaining prior to the final match day on Tuesday.
Main Round Group II Standings (After NED-GER Match)
Norway is undefeated and has already beaten Germany and Croatia so no matter the outcomes of matches played Tuesday they will finish first. This leaves Croatia and Germany fighting for 2nd. The Netherlands can no longer qualify, but their match vs the Romania may have an impact on which team gets second. Here are the 9 different possible outcomes for the combination of results for those 2 matches:
Main Round Group II Scenarios
Scenarios to Make the Semifinals
Here is what each nation needs to do to advance to the semifinals:
Norway: Norway is guaranteed to finish first. Their match vs Hungary will have no bearing on the final standings.
Croatia: If Croatia wins or draws vs Germany they will qualify for the semifinals. If the Netherlands beats Romania they can also still qualify for the semifinals with a 1 goal loss to Germany. (See note below)
Germany: If Germany wins vs Croatia they will qualify for the semifinals. They will also have to win by 2 goals in the Netherlands beats Romania. (See note below)
Why the Netherlands has been eliminated, but their match with Romania could still impact qualification
Should the Netherlands beat Romania and Germany beat Croatia all three teams will be level on 6 points. The next tiebreaker is head to head goal differential n the 3 matches played. The table below depicts the current goal differential for each team and how that goal differential will change based on Germany’s margin of victory in the their match vs Croatia
As you can see the Netherlands has already played their two matches and is stuck at -1 goal differential. And, it is a mathematical impossibility for a -1 goal differential to ever head to the top of the table. If the Netherland had managed a 2 or larger goal win they would have had every increasing chances. As it is, however, Croatia goes through if Germany wins by 1. If Germany wins by two or more they will go through to the semifinals.
The Netherlands and Germany square off today in a Main Round match that both need to win to improve their chances of qualifying for the semifinals. The Netherlands is a 1.5 goal favorite, but I’m taking them with an alternative handicap bet of -2.5 goals at +155. Here’s my rationale for this pick.
The Netherlands are the defending World Champions. Yes, they miss Estavana Polman big time. At times during the European Championships it’s been almost painful to watch how anemic their attack has been. But, after 4 matches they are starting to show some signs of life. In particular, their 2nd half (15-16) vs Norway on Sunday was a good sign.
Germany’s match vs Norway, an eye popping 42-23 loss shows what can happen to Germany if things go south a bit. As, in they can really, really go south. Could strong defense and goal keeping from Tess Wester lead to a flurry of fast breaks? Yes, it sure could.
The only scenario for the Netherlands to make the semifinals requires that there be a 3 way tie at 6 points with the Netherlands, Germany and Croatia. The Netherlands lost to Croatia 27-25 so they are already at -2. This hole means that they really need to win by 4 or 5 goals to get their margin up to +2 or +3. Even higher would be better.
Honestly, if Bet MGM was offering -3.5 or -4.5 I probably would look at putting a wager at that handicap too.