James Madison’s Nick Federovitch looks to score as Pittsburgh’s Pau Sanchez and Joshua Donaton clamp down defensively.
This past Saturday (1 Feb 2020), James Madison welcomed fellow Northeast Team Handball League foes Pittsburgh and Virginia for D2 South Division match play.
Match 1: Pittsburgh 18, James Madison 17
In the first match of the day Pittsburgh edged James Madison 18 to 17. This was a closer score than their previous meeting in November, a 22-17 victory for Pittsburgh, so perhaps JMU is narrowing the gap. Freshman, Pau Sanchez, led Pitt in scoring with 6 goals, while Nick Kocher added 5 and Dylan Baird 4. James Madison was led in scoring by Nick Federovitch and Keith Plunkett who both netted 6 goals.
Video: Bryan Cothorn interviews JMU’s Nick Federovitch after the match (Note: Audio is lost about halfway through): Link
Match 2: Pittsburgh 23, Virginia 17
Match 2 saw Pittsburgh easily take care of Virginia. Pittsburgh led 12-6 at the half and kept that lead for a 23-17 victory. Brian Hoover led a balanced scoring attack with 4 goals with 5 other Pitt players netting 3 goals a piece. Zachary Palas led Virginia’s scoring with 5 goals.
Video: Bryan Cothorn interviews Virginia’s Ashton Emmanuel and Pittsburgh’s Brian Hoover and Pau Sanchez: Link
Match 3: James Madison 26, Virginia 25
The final match of the day was a tight affair throughout. The teams were tied 12-12 at the break and James Madison ended up winning the match 26-25. TC Nance led JMU scoring with 7 goals and Kevin Plunkett added 6. Virginia’s attack was led by Ben Kilpatrick (9 goals) and Lincoln Ambrose (8)
Video: Bryan Cothorn interviews Virginia’s Ben Kilpatrick to talk about the match, Virginia’s program and the Jay Cutler/Handball controversy: Link
Video: Bryan Cothorn interviews JMU’s Tom Fonti to talk about the match and his game winning goal: Link
JMU’s Tom FontiJMU’s TC Nance looks to score one of his 7 goals in the contest.JMU’s David Gregor.
Pittsburgh is undefeated in league play and barring a melt down on the final match day of the season they should win the D2 South title. Both JMU and Virginia will be headed to Chapel Hill, NC for the annual Carolina Blue Cup on 14-16 February, and all 3 teams are planning to attend College Nationals on 3-5 April in Columbus, OH.
2nd Team Matches (North Carolina vs James Madison)
North Carolina’s 2nd Team made the journey north to take on James Madison’s 2nd Team. The Tar Heels were dominant in both matches winning the first match, 24-8, and the second match, 22-12. North Carolina’s Joe Reinhardt scored 11 goals in the first match and Alex Irmscher had 8 goals in the two matches.
Video: Post Game Interviews with North Carolina’s Ross Whipkey and Joe Reinhardt and JMU’s Nick Lapchak: Link
Video: Post Game Interviews with JMU’s David Marzi and North Carolina’s Zak Hudspeth: Link
JMU 1st and 2nd teams combined. 25 players strong.
Former NFL Quarterback, Jay Cutler, thinks he could get a team together to take Gold at the Olympics; He’s not the only one with this “highly questionable” take.
It’s always great to see team handball get a little publicity on TV and yesterday the sport got around 3 and a half minutes of analysis on ESPN’s Highly Questionable, a show with a question and answer format resulting in some irreverent takes on a variety of topics.
The first handball question was, “Are you with Jay Cutler that he could win a gold in handball?” The clip then shows, the former NFL quarterback discussing handball on the Barstool Sports, Pardon My Take, Podcast. The episode is here (1:18:45 – 1:19:53), but ESPN rebroadcasts most of the handball discussion.
Co host, Domonique Foxworth, a former NFL cornerback, has the typical take we hear every fours during the Olympics, “I’m sorry if it’s disrespectful to handballers everywhere, but I’ve watched that game before… You know who plays handball. The people that couldn’t make it in soccer, couldn’t make it in football… Me, Jay Cutler and Lebro will go win a handball championship.”
While Sarah Spain, has a more accurate assessment, “I do feel like there are probably some sports where the very best of our athletes could excel if they spent the time and energy.”
The second question was “Do you guys want to see what the U.S. handball team currently looks like?” At which point they showed footage of a 2016 promotional video done by the residency program at Auburn. At which point Sarah reverses course and agrees that Dom and Jay Cutler would dominate.
Of course, the problem with that video is that is most definitely not our current team. The residency program has been shut down and most of the men’s national team now consists of dual citizens playing in Europe, some at a fairly high level. And, trust me, this U.S. Men’s team would make short work of some inexperienced wannabe handball athletes in their mid 30’s, no matter how good they are in other sports.
Past Commentaries on this Topic
Like clockwork every four years during the Olympics this topic comes up. In 2016, LeBron’s potential as a would be handball player was front in center.
Could LeBron James really become the best handball player in just 6 months?
Part 1: Do I really have to explain how crazy that notion is? Link
Part 2: Why it’s just not going to happen, but what about Lebon lite? Link
More recently the dismal showing of the U.S. Men’s Basketball team shows just how silly the notion is that the U.S. could win a gold medal in a sport with all newcomers: Link
Future USA Team Handball Plans Related to this Topic?
The old saying, “Any publicity is good publicity” certainly applies here. Even if it’s nonsense takes, it’s totally awesome for team handball to be a topic of discussion on Barstool Sports and ESPN.
What has me a bit worried, however, is that USA Team Handball’s CEO, Barry Siff, is brand new to the sport and seems to buy into these takes to a certain degree. In several interviews he’s talked about talent transfer and the possibility of turning water polo players into handball players. He’s already jumped on the possibility of getting Jay Cutler to an open tryout for our National Team.
Now, obviously Cutler at 36 is simply too old for such a transfer, but make no mistake he would have been a great handball player. According to his Wikipedia article, in addition to football, he was a first team Indiana All State basketball player and honorable mention All State shortstop in baseball. That’s a strong pedigree, but there’s virtually no way he would have given up an NFL career to choose handball.
And, this is where the discussion becomes, “Well, maybe we can’t get Jay Cutler or Lebron James, but what about Lebron Lite?” And, then you have a boat load of questions to take into consideration:
How much “lighter” in raw talent?
At what age can you get that athlete to switch?
How long does it take to make that athlete a great handball player?
How much is it going to cost you to transition that athlete?
And, the biggest question of all… If you focus on such athletes what are the opportunity costs in time and resources diverted from growing traditional grass roots?
I take on some of these questions in Moneyball Handball series:
Part 1: Broad Categories for Athlete Identification: Link
Part 2: Pushing the Outside of the Recruiting Envelope: Link
Overall, I’m hopeful that these national team tryouts (now apparently planned for this summer in LA and NYC) are primarily marketing tools for publicity, but I could be wrong. Regardless, the publicity won’t hurt. I just hope it doesn’t become the primary focus and eat up too much of the budget.
Membership: Arguably, the Most Important Metric for a
National Governing Body (NGB)
A National Governing Body (NGB) in the sporting world serves many purposes, but serving its members is probably its most important function. One just has to look at the USA Team Handball By-Laws and the 275 times that members or membership is mentioned to get a clear picture as to how important members are.
Aside from By-Law references and common sense, membership is
also a major revenue source. Or, ideally
it should be. For many NGBs it clearly
is. This table highlights the membership
revenue for several team sport NGBs using data from their 2016 IRS Form 990s
and Annual Reports
NGB Membership Data Comparison (2016 Data)
As can be readily seen USA Team Handball revenue, as well
as, total members is significantly smaller than most other team sport NGBs. Orders of magnitude smaller.
Additionally, while membership has its own dedicated revenue line it also indirectly impacts every other line to a significant extent. If an NGB wants to bring in more revenue for events and clinics then doing so will be greatly enhanced by a larger membership. And, it goes without saying that activating sponsorships for a membership base that doesn’t crack a 1,000 can be a pretty tough sell.
But, if you increase membership revenue and the total
numbers of members everything becomes a bit easier. Convincing would be sponsors becomes
easier. Convincing a TV network to air
handball matches becomes easier… which also makes selling sponsorship easier.
The Fuzzy Math Behind
NGB Membership
The importance of a large membership base is therefore very clear. Or, if it’s not large, it’s good to be showing some real growth from year to year. Make no mistake: This is a reality not lost on NGBs. Yes, amusingly, multiple sports have at different points in the recent past or present have laid claim to the title, “Fastest growing sport in the U.S.” And, since data is sketchy and can be manipulated they all probably can make the claim without being called out. Heck, depending on how growth is defined/calculated from time period to time period they all could be right.
If an NGB wants to increase membership there are steps that can be taken. To a certain extent membership can be boosted by lowering the cost. Or, it can be boosted by making a huge push via reduced cost youth memberships. Or, memberships can be tied to directly to participation in high interest competitions. Because of these potential step it’s important to look at membership revenue in addition to the total membership. But, as I’ve learned recently even membership revenue can be manipulated to an extent by making membership revenue to the NGB a “pass through” revenue that is mostly distributed back to regional bodies. (or, in the case of USA Rugby, was supposed to have been distributed back to regional bodies.)
Tracking Membership
and Officially Taking the Mantle of Fastest Growing Sport
So, what is USA Team Handball’s membership total? I hate to say this, but I really don’t know. I’m not even sure if USA Team Handball knows. I have asked this question multiple times in
the past and have never gotten a definitive straight answer. Instead I’ve usually been given a deflected
answer with maybe a low and high range value. Over the years I’ve heard numbers as low as
300 and as high as 1,200. I think there
are a couple of reasons for this.
Firstly, I don’t think USA Team Handball has ever had a decent system for tracking this number. Either back in the old days when membership was handled by check or more recently with the Top Score management system that is now being replaced. On top of that, the number of members changes depending on the time of the year. So, if you ask for the number early in the yearly cycle it’s going to be lower since a lot of people don’t sign up until… well, until they have to. Old timers might well remember the long membership sign up line at the National Championships. As in, you couldn’t play if you weren’t a member. And, if USA Team Handball picked a bad location for nationals and fewer people showed up I bet the membership suffered that year.
Still despite these handicaps, it’s not rocket science. There should be a yearly official membership
number, but, believe it or not, I don’t recall ever seeing it written down in
official documentation. As someone who
likes crunching and assessing data you can probably guess what I think about
that.
Of course, that’s all in the past. It’s a new day and we’ve got a new membership platform (Sport:80) Whatever the membership number is we can bet that it’s being closely tracked now. It’s surely a low number and while we could whine about it being such a low number, we can also look at it as a crazy good opportunity to show improvement. Because with better revenue flows and the IHF grant to support college development, it’s hard to imagine not improving upon it significantly. And, when you’re starting with a small number percentage growth can be really impressive. For instance, if our current membership is let’s say 800 and we were to simply add 400 members next year we would have a 50% growth rate. A growth rate that would be nearly impossible for sports like Ultimate, Cricket, Rugby and Lacrosse to match.
And, USA Team Handball shouldn’t just track the top level number, but track membership data by age, region and club. And, then track that data from year to year. To see where members are being gained, lost and retained. This data is “gold” and it can really show what’s working and not working in terms of development efforts.
I suppose I’m getting a bit ahead of myself. That I’m eyeing some end goals in terms of membership and, in turn, the number of clubs in the U.S. But, then again it’s hard to set such goals if one doesn’t first fully understand what one has to begin with.
And, I’m getting a bit tired of the drudgery associated with capturing “What We Have”. Why, believe it or not, some folks have even accused me of not being forward thinking and stuck in the past. As if? Everybody knows it’s more fun to dream up solutions. And, far less fun to do the homework.
I’ve done a lot of homework. Not that I probably won’t backtrack some, but it’s time to start delving into the “What We Want” portion of this effort.
Air Force’s Nate Luther looks to score on West Point GK, Spencer Knudsen.
This past weekend both Air Force and Army participated in the Cal Cup tournament and the two sides met in a college vs college match to open the tournament Friday night.
The two long time rivals had previously met this season at the Air Force Academy with Army dominating that contest for a 40-28 win. Starting out it appeared that this match was heading to a similar scoreline as Army led 10-4 midway through the first half. Air Force then changed tactics on defense with a man to man defense at half court that transitioned to a more traditional defense as Army moved the ball forward. This tactic disrupted Army’s offensive flow, created some turn overs and hurried shots and allowed Air Force to cut the lead to 12-11 before Army closed out the half with 3 goals for a 15-11 lead.
The two team traded goals for much of the second half and Air Force cut the lead to 1 goal several times, but never could quite tie the match. Towards the end of the match Army went on a bit of a run and extended the lead to 30-24 with 3 minutes left. Air Force again applied the pressure and was able to cut into the lead for the final 31-29 victory.
Army’s Luke Windish led all scorers with 9 goals. Kendrick Thomas added 8, while Air Force scoring was led by Quinton Riddle and Anthony Sanders-Oseguera with 7 goals each.
Both teams later lost to Alberta and Cal Heat 2 in pool play and failed to make the semifnals. Both teams did, however, pick up wins vs Chicago Inter in consolation play on Sunday. As far as the overall tournament results go, San Francisco Cal Heat won the Men’s Title and Alberta won the Women’s Title.
Army Team Captain Kendrick Thomas: Whenever Army and Air Force get together, it’s always a hard fought match. Thankfully Army pulled through with the win. We as a team were thankful to be a part of this tournament. We had some great competition out here. It was definitely a learning experience. We are excited for the competition coming up in the future.
Air Force Team Captain Austin Faulkner: The Cal Cup was a huge step in the right direction as we had all our starters for the first time and were missing only two 1st team players.
Despite having a 1-3 tourney record when we look at the quality of the matches and the scores we feel great moving forward. In the game against West Point turnovers hurt us early and often, but we settled in and lost 31-29 which is great compared to how the game at home went. We held Alberta tight and they are a very talented club with some Canadian national team players. The Cal Heat II game was a tough 19-20 loss, but their goalies put forth an amazing effort. The final day we came out and put together a win against a Chicago Inter team that has been competitive in recent tournament and we feel good about our next competition, the Valley of the Sun Tournament in Arizona.
Finally, it was great to see our coach, Mike Cavanaugh, honored for his efforts to develop team handball in California.
Scoring
Army Luke Windish 9 Kendrick Thomas 8 Michael Turner 5 Will Considine 4 Blake Havern 2 Cedric Davis 1 Robert Purdy 1
Air Force Anthony Sanders-Oseguera 7 Quinton Riddle 7 Richard Vaughn 6 Emari Hill 4 Nathan Luther 2 Tevin Miller 1 Mark Simpson 1 Benjamin Pagel 1
LINKS
Match Video: Link Match Photos: Link Full Tournament Results: Link
Sunday, 26 January All Times Local (CET) / US ET is -6 hrs) Odds courtesy of 10Bet <Open an account>
The match can be seen live on Free TV in the the U.S. on beIN Sports XTRA. (How to watch) Check it out. I like ehfTV, but I personally get a better viewing experience with beIN Sports XTRA. The picture quality is better and it’s more reliable than the web stream.
The final will also be rebroadcast in prime time on the beIN Sports Network (regular TV) at 8:00 PM (US ET).
16:30 Spain (-1) vs Croatia (For 1st Place/Gold) Match Video (On Demand): Link (Commentary: Paul Bray)
Betting Predictions
For this tournament we’ve doing some betting predictions using an imaginary starting bankroll of a 1,000 Euros. Joining me will be professional handball bettor, Samo Košmerl, from Slovenia.
John’s Pick(s): – Current Bankroll: 994.92 Euros – Yesterday’s Result: Germany (-1.5) vs Portugal (1.84, -119); Bet 100 Euros to win 84.03. ; Win 84.03 Euros as Germany won 29-27. – Today’s Pick: Alternate point spread; Spain (-2.5) vs Croatia (2.3, +130); Bet 100 Euros to win 130. I’ve got nothing to add to Samo’s detailed analysis. He’s got me totally convinced. Heck, I’m tempted to take Spain (-4.5) at (3.45, +245), but I’ll play it relatively safe.
Samo’s Pick(s): – Current Bankroll: 1795.25 Euros – Yesterday’s Results: Did not bet – Today’s Pick: Money Line bet; Spain to win (1.64/-155); Bet 100 Euros to win 64.51
Today, Spain will try to defend the title they won in at the 2018 EURO in Croatia. And, for multiple reasons I think they will indeed win back to back titles.
First of all, Vargas – Corrales GK duo is much better than Šego – Ašanin. I know both Šego and Ašanin have made some big saves in the final minutes of important matches during this tournament, but Vargas is consistent throughout. He is one of the best goalkeepers in the world and even if he is having a slightly worse day, there is always Corrales, another world class GK. There is just no debate: Spain have better goalkeepers.
Croatia’s strongest asset is their back line, but will Cindrić be ready? He has problems with his knee and he wasn’t able to play in the semifinal the way we all expect him to. But ok, they still have Karačič and most importantly, Duvnjak. What a player! He set everything up in the final minutes and overtime. And, not just one overtime, but two overtimes against Norway.
And yes, this 80 minute match will impact their play today. Croatia doesn’t have a great bench, and players like Mamič/Šarac/Hrstič are not (yet) players who can make a big impact in a EURO final. And we all saw how tired were Karačič and Duvnjak at the end of last couple of matches. Sure, there is also Stepančič, their ONLY right back. (I still don’t understand how Červar didn’t bring another RB.) And, because Stepančič is playing 50+ minutes per match in both attack and defense his shooting has not been the best. Only 52% and he is also taking a lot of shots: 54 attempts in 8 matches.
Marič, Croatia’s pivot, had a great match vs Norway, but Spain plays a different style of defense and I don’t think he will get very many useful balls today. As far as wingers go, Spain is much better at this positionl. Their wingers are playing for Barcelona and both of Croatia’s wingers are playing for Zagreb: Enough said.
Finally, let’s talk about each side’s defense. Croatia’s 5-1 defense has been fantastic. Duvnjak should probably win the best defensive player award as well as MVP. He has been amazing. But, will the 5-1 work so well against Spain? Spain is using their wings a lot, and if they can past Duvnjak in the middle they can stretch this Croatian defense out. And, I think they have players to do so. Dujshebaev is playing fantastic, he is in great form and working great with Entrerrios. Plus, there are also Sarmiento, Fernandez and Maqueda, all with solid tournaments so far and this allows Ribera to rotate and keeping playing at a high tempo in attack. Croatia will really need to perform on another level in defense to stop all the possible threats Spain has to offer.
The best part of this Spain team is (still) their defense. Combined, Morros and Guardiola are 71 years old, but they are still one of the best defensive pairs in the world. Croatia are the most dangerous in the middle, but this is also where Spain’s defense is the strongest. Any and all turnovers are punished as we saw in semifinal against Slovenia. And, rest assured with Croatia playing their 9th match in 17 days, there will be mistakes. Croatia will try to slow down the game to limit Spain’s fast break opportunities much the same way they did against Norway.
Overall, Croatia has an amazing back line, but you need more than that to win against Spain. They will have 10k+ fans behind them and players will feel like they are playing at home, but Spain won their last EURO with fewer fans backing them and they are just too good to not do it again.
16:00 Germany (-1.5) vs Portugal (For 5th Place) Match Video (Live): Link (Commentary: Paul Bray)
18:30 Norway (-2.5) vs Slovenia (For 3rd Place/Bronze) Match Video (Live): Link (Commentary: Paul Bray)
The 5th place match between Germany and Portugal doesn’t have any ramification for qualification, but as both teams are somewhat rested they may well put on a decent show. Meanwhile, Norway and Slovenia, both undoubtedly exhausted after yesterday’s matches will play for bronze and a direct ticket to the 2021 World Championships. So, they actually have something to play for as the loser will have to play a 2 leg qualification match for World Championship qualification in June.
Betting Predictions
For this tournament we’ve doing some betting predictions using an imaginary starting bankroll of a 1,000 Euros. Joining me will be professional handball bettor, Samo Košmerl, from Slovenia.
John’s Pick(s): – Current Bankroll: 910.89 Euros – Yesterday’s Result: Norway’s Sander Sagosen, Under 6.5 goals; (2.1, +210); Bet 100 Euros to win 110; Lost 100 Euros as Sagosen poured in 10 goals. – Today’s Pick: Germany (-1.5) vs Portugal (1.84, +119); Bet 100 Euros to win 84.03. Germany plays solid defense and they will stifle Portugal’s creative offense. They simply are the better team here and it’s impossible now for Portugal to sneak up on anybody anymore. Germany will be ready.
Samo’s Pick(s): – Current Bankroll: 1795.25 Euros – Yesterday’s Results: Norway’s Goran Johannessen Total Goals – Over 3.5@ (2.00 /+100); Bet 100 Euros to win 100; Win 100 Euros as Johannessen scored 4 vs Croatia – Today’s Pick: No picks today.
It’s kind of complicated as to how the dominoes fall, so I’ve created a chart (above) that shows which nations could be placed in each tournament based on how high each nation will place at either the European or African Championships which are both ongoing.
A few notes of explanation.
Hierarchy of Qualification
There are several ways to qualify for the Olympics, but a nation can only qualify once and there is a hierarchy to that qualification.
Host Nation (Japan)
World Champion (Denmark)
Continental Champion
Asia (Bahrain)
Pan America (Argentina)
Africa (Egypt or Tunisia)
Europe (Spain or Croatia)
Olympic Qualification Tourney (6 nations from 3 Tourneys)
Seeded based on WC places 2-7
2nd (Norway)
3rd (France)
4th (Germany)
5th (Sweden)
6th (Croatia)
7th (Spain)
8th – Egypt
9th – Brazil
Seeded based on 2nd or 3rd at Continental Championship
So with this hierarchy, there is a domino effect. As an example if Norway were to win the European Championship they will qualify as a continental champion and they will be removed from the Olympic Qualification Tourney seeding. And, then every nation on the list would move up one spot and slide over to another tournament based on the arrows indicated.
2020 African Championships
Egypt and Tunisia will play in the gold medal match and Angola and Algeria will play for Bronze on Sunday, 26 January.
Africa was the 2nd best continent at the 2019 World Championships so Africa has 2 slots in the Olympic Qualification Tournaments. Egypt was also the 8th place team at the World Championships, so if they lose to Tunisia on Sunday they will secure an OQT slot through that path. If that happens Africa will have 3 nations qualifying for an OQT. Tunisia, will automatically qualify, Egypt will be in Tourney #1 and then Angola and Algeria will have the Africa 2 and Africa 3 slots. However if Egypt wins Tunisia will be Africa 2 and the winner of the Angola-Algeria match will be Africa 3.
2020 European Championships
Thinks are a lot more clear now with the European Championships.
Only 1 Domino: With Croatia being the 6th place team at the last world championships and Spain being 7th there’s only 2 possible outcomes. Either Spain or Croatia will automatically qualify for the Olympics and the loser will be slotted into Tournament #2.
Europe 2 and Europe 3 slots are now set
Slovenia will finish either 3rd or 4th and has secured the Europe 2 slot
Portugal will finish either 5th or 6th and has secured the Europe 3 slot.
Brazil’s Situation
Brazil will qualify for Tournament #1 if Egypt wins the African Championship
Easy – Peasy Tournament #1
As usual, on paper, Tournament #1 is the place to be as it will only have 1 European nation fighting for 2 slots. France would surely have preferred for Norway to win the title. Now they will face their new nemesis, Portugal and the loser of Spain-Croatia. Nothing against Chile and S. Korea, but they just aren’t at the level of those sides.
I will update this article as more results become known.
Friday, 24 January All Times Local (CET) / US ET is -6 hrs) Odds courtesy of 10Bet <Open an account>
EHF Preview of today’s matches: – Slovenia vs Spain: Link – Norway vs Croatia: Link
Both semifinal matches can be seen live on Free TV in the the U.S. on beIN Sports XTRA. (How to watch) Check it out. I like ehfTV, but I personally get a better viewing experience with beIN Sports XTRA. The picture quality is better and it’s more reliable than the web stream.
Both matches will also be rebroadcast in prime time on the beIN Sports Network (regular TV) at 7:00 PM (US ET) and 8:30 PM (US ET)
18:00 Norway (-2) vs Croatia Match Video (On Demand): Link (Commentary: Paul Bray)
20:30 Spain (-3) vs Slovenia Match Video (On Demand): Link (Commentary: Paul Bray)
Betting Predictions
For this tournament we’ve doing some betting predictions using an imaginary starting bankroll of a 1,000 Euros. Joining me will be professional handball bettor, Samo Košmerl, from Slovenia.
John’s Pick(s): – Current Bankroll: 1,010.89 Euros – Wednesday’s Result: Sweden (-1.5) vs Iceland 1.86/-115; Bet 100 Euros to win 86.95; Result: Win 86.95 Euros as Sweden won 32-25 – Today’s Pick: Norway’s Sander Sagosen, Under 6.5 goals; (2.1, +210); Bet 100 Euros to win 110. Norway has been on a roll and totally dominated Main Round Group II, but Croatia will be a tougher opponent than they’ve faced so far. Croatia is a veteran side and plays great defense. I think this will be a low scoring game and Croatia will keep Sagosen in check.
Samo’s Pick(s): – Current Bankroll: 1695.25 Euros – Wednesday’s Results: Portugal to win vs Hungary; 1.79/-133 Bet 100 Euros to win 75.82 ; Win 75.82 as Portugal won the match 34-26. – Today’s Pick: Norway’s Goran Johannessen Total Goals – Over 3.5@ (2.00 /+100); Bet 100 Euros to win 100; Johannessen will be very important for Norway today. Without Rod in attack they will need Reinkind in great form, but there is also Johannessen who has great shot and won’t hesitate to shoot as well. I think we will see big game from him today.
The new USA Verizon jersey signed by USA Team Handball CEO, Barry Siff and Verizon CEO, Hans Vestberg
Earlier this week the long awaited USA Team Handball – Verizon Sponsorship deal finally came to fruition. Long awaited in that it was no secret that USA Team Handball CEO, Barry Siff and Verizon CEO, Hans Vestberg were friends. And, that Vestberg is a big handball supporter, and the former President of the Swedish Handball Federation and the Swedish Olympic Committee.
As one might expect I was flooded with feedback regarding
the deal. I’ll give the glass half empty
/ glass half full perspectives and my own two cents.
Glass Half
Empty: Little Money and not Historic
Most of the negative feedback centers around the small dollar figure associated with the deal. (An official dollar figure was not revealed, but multiple sources have indicated that it is somewhere between $100K – $200K.) In terms of a total amount this is not historic… not even close. In fact, the biggest sponsorship signing for USA Team Handball was for $1M with “The Weather Channel” from 1994-1996. Factoring inflation that sponsorship deal would be worth around $1.7M in 2020 dollars or roughly 10 times the amount of the Verizon deal. Of course, that deal was directly tied to the Atlanta Olympics, but even recent sponsorship deals related to the residency program at Auburn or with Grundfos in the 2009-10 time frame were of similar value.
Compared to the amount of sponsorship dollars Verizon pays to the NFL ($500M/year) and the reality that there is no other USA company so conveniently headed by such a stronger backer of handball the reaction of the naysayers is:
We waited for this? Is this all you got? This doesn’t even make a dent into the lack of revenue the organization currently has. A budget so paltry that our national team athletes have to pay for their own travel to represent their country in official competition.
Glass Half Full: A Real Big Opportunity for More Deals and
Better Promotion
While much of the feedback was negative there was also a lot of positive comments about getting such a “Name” sponsor on board. And, make no mistake, Verizon is a really big name. As Barry Siff told Sports Business Journal:
“Verizon’s a legitimizer for the sport of team
handball. It’s as simple as that”
Yes, putting Verizon on the front of U.S. jerseys is a
really good thing. And, there’s a solid
chance that other businesses might follow suit, thinking “What’s good enough
for Verizon, is good enough for us.”
Making me feel even better about the situation is the sales and marketing agency, Innovative Performance Group 360 that has been hired to help secure those new deals. If one checks out their website you’ll see that they’ve done this before. In particular, check out the testimonial and some of the work they’ve done for another U.S. Sports National Governing Body (NGB): Link
Yes, no surprise here as the new USA Team Handball CEO also sits on the USA Triathlon Board. Still, if one looks at some of their promotion work like this video it’s not hard to envision something similar or even better being done as handball is a tailored made spectator sport.
My Own Thoughts: A Glass that Could Well be Filled, but How is
that Money Going to be Spent?
Overall, I’m more in the glass half full category. Sure, I would like for the deal to have been for more money, but I also know how hard it is to sell team handball in this country. Getting companies and/or TV networks to even talk to you can be tough. We don’t even have a real handball product to market in the U.S. yet.
Now we’ve got somebody on board. A company (Verizon) with immense resources. And, a company (IPG 360) that knows how to sell and market. Based in Santa Monica too… Where the LA Olympics will be in 8 years. Plus, our once every four years Olympics TV boost is coming this summer. Oh, and a new mega 10 year EHF Champions League TV contract with requirements to market in the U.S. also starts this fall. Could handball broadcasts move to a major U.S. network? Really, there is a big confluence of events coming that could well be capitalized upon and it seems the wheels may be in motion to actually do it. That’s all good. It’s really good. In fact, it could really be legitimately historic. Epic even.
But… I then hear and read things about how some of that new money might be spent and I get a bit antsy. There’s going to be an Open National Team Tryout in a few months? Why that raises so many questions in terms of what is hoped to be accomplished and practicality that I don’t even know where to start. What would we do with great raw talent transfer athletes from say, water polo, if they show up? Start another residency program? Ship the newbies to some European club for a 3 year project?
The Sports Business Journal article talks about a Pro League starting in 2023 with 10 franchises costing from $3-5M. Hey, that sounds awesome… just not practical. Who’s going to invest that kind of money? Where are you going to find the players?
Sigh… Such efforts can be done, but they won’t be cheap. They would empty our newly flush bank account very quickly and more importantly, they would drain resources away from the long hard slog that is true grass roots development. Similar choices have been made in the past. Similar choices that have put the sport right where it is now.
But, what do I know? Maybe, I’m just someone part of the old culture that has kept handball from growing in the U.S. A culture of naysayers that think small when when they should have been thinking audaciously. Or, maybe… I’m someone who has seen it all before, knows what the challenges are, what has worked, what hasn’t worked and why. In short, someone who really knows what they are talking about.
Regardless, the next few months should be real interesting. Real interesting.
Roland Mikler and Hungary need a win vs Portugal to still have a chance at making the semifinals.
Main Round play at the 2020 Men’s European Handball Championships concluded today. Here are the video links, odds and some predictions for those matches.
16:00 Spain (-1) vs Croatia Match Video (On Demand): Link (Commentary: Clayton Lucas)
18:15 Belarus vs Austria (-0.5) Match Video (On Demand): Link (Commentary: Clayton Lucas)
20:30 Germany (-5) vs Czech Republic Match Video (On Demand): Link (Commentary: Clayton Lucas)
The Match of the Day in Group I will be the first match between Spain and Croatia. The winner here will top the Group and will likely avoid a tougher semifinal vs Norway. Belarus and Austria will then play a match to determine 4th place in the Group. At first glance this match appears meaningless, but depending on the results of the other Group and the Semifinals the winner could actually secure a slot to an Olympic Qualification Tournament. The day closes out with a match between Germany and the Czech Republic which is truly just for pride.
Current Standings
All 3 matches in this Group can be seen on Free TV in the the U.S. on beIN Sports XTRA. (How to watch) Check it out. I like ehfTV, but I personally get a better viewing experience with beIN Sports XTRA. The picture quality is better and it’s more reliable than the web stream.
16:00 Hungary vs Portugal (-1) Match Video (On Demand): Link (Commentary: Paul Bray)
18:15 Norway (-1.5) vs Slovenia Match Video (On Demand): Link (Commentary: Paul Bray)
20:30 Sweden (-1) vs Iceland Match Video (On Demand): Link (Commentary: Paul Bray)
All three matches in this Group will impact the standings and which nations will secure a semifinal berth and/or a slot in an Olympic Qualification Tournament. In the first match of the day, Hungary needs a win to keep it’s semifinal chances alive. Portugal has no chance for a semifinal, but they still have good chances for 3rd place and a likely slot in an Olympic Qualification Tournament. The importance of the second match will hinge on what Hungary does in the first game. If Hungary beats Portugal, Slovenia will be in a must win situation to make the semifinals. But, even if Hungary loses, Slovenia will still be interested in winning and securing the top spot in the Group. The final match of the day between Iceland and Sweden will impact the which nations get the “backup” Olympic Qualification slot. An Iceland win will put Iceland or Portugal in that slot, while a Swedish win will give that backup slot to the winner of Belarus – Austria in the other group.
For this tournament we’re doing some betting predictions using an imaginary starting bankroll of a 1,000 Euros. Joining me will be professional handball bettor, Samo Košmerl, from Slovenia.
John’s Pick(s): – Current Bankroll: 923.94 Euros – Yesterday’s Result: Norway (-3) vs Iceland 1.73/-135; Bet 100 Euros to win 74.07; Push, as a last second Iceland goal was scored for a 31-28 Norway win. – Today’s Pick: Sweden (-1.5) vs Iceland 1.86/-115; Bet 100 Euros to win 86.95; Result: Back to back matches will take more of a toll on Iceland and Sweden will look to finish strong in front of the home crowd.
Samo’s Pick(s): – Current Bankroll: 1619.43 Euros – Yesterday’s Results: Slovenia (-1.5) vs Portugal; 1.79/-133; Bet 100 Euros to win 75.82; Win 75.82 as Slovenia won the match 29-24. – Today’s Pick: Money Line Bet: Portugal to win vs Hungary; 1.79/-133 Bet 100 Euros to win 75.82; Hungary were still playing against Sweden just 18-19 hours ago. Awful scheduling and a big advantage for Portugal. Both are very motivated, but for me Portugal is the better team, with a lot of creativity in attack. Hungary’s confidence is hurt and I don’t think they will recover in such little time.
The final day of Main Round Group play for 2020 European Men’s Handball Championships is tomorrow and there are multiple scenarios impacting both the semifinals and slots for Olympic Qualification Tournaments. Here are the 27 top level scenarios based on the 3 matches to be played.
The first match of the day is Portugal vs Hungary and the following 3 charts reflect the 3 outcomes of that match (Portugal Win; Hungary Win and Draw). Then based on the outcome of that match 2 of the 3 big charts are eliminated. The 2nd match is Norway vs Slovenia and based on that match’s result 6 more accounts are eliminated. And, then for the final match there are only 3 possibilities left.
A few notes on semifinal qualification and slots for Olympic Qualification Tournaments
Norway and Slovenia have qualified for the semifinals
Europe has 2 slots for Olympic Qualification Tournaments. Slovenia, Hungary, Portugal, Iceland are eligible for these slots from Group II; Belarus and Austria are eligible in Group I.
Croatia, Spain and German (Group I) and Norway and Sweden (Group II) are not eligible for these slots since they already have earned slots from the World Championships
Whoever qualifies for the semifinals (Slovenia or Hungary) will receive the Europe 2 slot if they don’t win the tournament. The Europe 3 slot will then go the Main Round Group II team that finishes 3rd. (Germany will finish 3rd in Main Round Group I)
If Slovenia wins the European Championship the Europe 2 slot will go the Main Round Group II team that finishes 3rd (Portugal). The Europe 3 slot will then likely be awarded to the Main Round Group II team that finishes 4th (Hungary). This is likely because the 4th place teams in Main Round Group I (either Belarus or Austria) are way behind in goal differential. If, however, Sweden places 4th in Main Round Group II, the winner of the Belarus-Austria will secure the Europe 3 slot.
In the chart above the nation in Green will receive either the Europe 2 or Europe 3 slot. If Slovenia wins the Championship, the nation in Blue will receive the Europe 3 slot. If Sweden finishes 4th (depicted in Orange) than either Belarus or Austria will get the Europe 3 slot.
More detail on Olympic Qualification Tournaments: Link
The 2020 Men’s European Handball Championships continues today with the first matches of Main Round Group II. Here are the video links, odds and some predictions for those matches.
All 3 matches can be seen on Free TV in the the U.S. on beIN Sports XTRA. (How to watch) Check it out. I like ehfTV, but I personally get a better viewing experience with beIN Sports XTRA. The picture quality is better and it’s more reliable than the web stream.
16:00 Slovenia (-1.5) vs Portugal Match Video (On Demand): Link (Commentary: Paul Bray)
18:15 Norway (-3) vs Iceland Match Video (On Demand): Link (Commentary: Paul Bray)
20:30 Sweden (-0.5) vs Hungary Match Video (On Demad): Link (Commentary: Paul Bray)
You gotta love Main Round Group II and the dog fight it has become. Norway leads the group and seems to be on a glide path to qualification. Sweden has been disappointing and has been eliminated from semifinal contention. But, the other 4 teams (Slovenia, Hungary, Portugal and Iceland)? They’ve been up and down and these 2 days of back to back games are going to be really interesting.
Betting Predictions
For this tournament we’re doing some betting predictions using an imaginary starting bankroll of a 1,000 Euros. Joining me will be professional handball bettor, Samo Košmerl, from Slovenia.
John’s Pick(s): – Current Bankroll: 923.94 Euros – Yesterday’s Result: Austria’s Nikola Bilyk (Under 5.5 goals) 1.80/-125; Bet 100 Euros to win 80 ; Won 80 Euros as Bilyk scored 5 goals in the match. – Today’s Pick: Norway (-3) vs Iceland 1.73/-135; Bet 100 Euros to win 74.07; This match should be a total track meet and in the end, I don’t think Iceland has enough depth to keep up for 60 minutes. I’m even tempted to go with an alternative spread with a blowout win, but I’ve learned my lesson and will just go with the conservative -3 goals.
Samo’s Pick(s): – Current Bankroll: 1,543.61 Euros – Yesterday’s Results: Croatia vs Czech Republic (over 52.5); 1.8/-125; Bet 100 Euros to win 80 Euros . Lost 80 Euros as Croatia won the low scoring match 22-21. – Today’s Pick: Slovenia (-1.5) vs Portugal; 1.79/-133; Bet 100 Euros to win 75.82; I can’t wait for this match. Two teams with creative offenses in a super important match for both teams. I think Slovenia has the slightly better team and they are a lot more experienced than Portugal. These advantage should be crucial today.
It’s kind of complicated as to how the dominoes fall, so I’ve created a chart (above) that shows which nations could be placed in each tournament based on how high each nation will place at either the European or African Championships which are both ongoing.
A few notes of explanation.
Hierarchy of Qualification
There are several ways to qualify for the Olympics, but a nation can only qualify once and there is a hierarchy to that qualification.
Host Nation (Japan)
World Champion (Denmark)
Continental Champion
Asia (Bahrain)
Pan America (Argentina)
Africa (Egypt, Tunisia, Algeria, Angola)
Europe (Spain, Croatia, Norway or Slovenia)
Olympic Qualification Tourney (6 nations from 3 Tourneys)
Seeded based on WC places 2-7
2nd (Norway)
3rd (France)
4th (Germany)
5th (Sweden)
6th (Croatia)
7th (Spain)
8th – Egypt
9th – Brazil
Seeded based on 2nd or 3rd at Continental Championship
So with this hierarchy, there is a domino effect. As an example if Norway were to win the European Championship they will qualify as a continental champion and they will be removed from the Olympic Qualification Tourney seeding. And, then every nation on the list would move up one spot and slide over to another tournament based on the arrows indicated.
2020 African Championships
Four nations (Egypt, Tunisia, Algeria and Angola) have already qualified for the semifinals. On Wednesday, 22 January they will play for semifinal seeding. On Friday, 24 January the semifinals will be played and on Sunday, 26 January the Finals will be played.
Africa was the 2nd best continent at the 2019 World Championships so Africa has 2 slots in the Olympic Qualification Tournaments. Egypt was also the 8th place team at the World Championships, so they might be in a position to secure an OQT slot through that path. But, that path will only open up if Norway, Croatia or Spain win the European Championships. If that happens, it’s possible that Africa could end up with 3 nations qualifying for an OQT. One scenario would be Tunisia winning the title and qualifying automatically, Egypt finishing second (securing the WC slot) and then Angola and Algeria securing the Africa 2 and Africa 3 slots.
2020 European Championships
A lot is still up in the air with the European Championships. I’ll try and break down some of the key scenarios.
Dominoes or No Dominoes: 3 of the 12 nations still playing (Norway, Croatia and Spain) have WC slots and if they win the title they will move those dominoes. 4 nations in Main Round Group II (Slovenia, Hungary, Portugal and Iceland) do not have a WC slot and if one of these nations wins the title there will be no dominoes. (Sorry Egypt; Sorry Brazil)
What different places (final ranking) could secure the Europe 2 and Europe 3 slots? You might think this would be a simple determination, but there are actually several possibilities.
2nd, 3rd or 4th place: Slovenia could secure the Europe 2 position by qualifying for the semifinals and then failing to win the championship
5th/6th place: Portugal has secured the Europe 2 or Europe 3 position by finishing 3rd in Main Round Group II. They will play Germany for 5th place, but since German has a WC slot the match result wouldn’t matter
7th/8th place: If Slovenia wins the title then the Europe 3 slot will go to the 7th place team. Since the 7th place team, Sweden, has already qualified for an OQT via the World Championship, the next ranked team (Austria) will get a slot as Europe 3.
Brazil’s Situation
Brazil will qualify for OQT #1 if both of these events occur – Norway, Croatia or Spain win the European Championship – Egypt wins the African Championship
And, both of these events are quite possible so they will likely be doing some scoreboard watching on Sunday
Easy – Peasy Tournament #1
As usual, on paper, Tournament #1 is the place to be as it will only have 1 or 2 European nations fighting for 2 slots. France will surely be cheering on Norway to win the title so they can slide into that cup cake tourney. Seriously, here’s a possible tourney 2 lineup: France, Spain, Tunisia, Portugal. Nothing against Chile and S. Korea, but they just aren’t at the level of those side.
I will update this article as more results become known.